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Horsens vs Holbaek-Stenhus Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 15:15
Final 87-77
17-13 27-22 28-20 15-22
Position#3
Record11-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game80.3
Horsens 🏆
Denmark
vs
Position#7
Record4-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game93.7
DenmarkBasketligaen· Forum Horsens
Other2024-25
Meetings · Horsens v Holbaek-Stenhus
15 Oct 2026
HORS97
HOLB83
03 Dec 2025
HORS87
HOLB72
19 Jan 2025
HORS87
HOLB77
08 Oct 2023
HORS97
HOLB74
12 Jan 2023
HORS84
HOLB79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Horsens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Holbaek-Stenhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HorsensDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHorsens
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#2
L
67-78
67
78
-11
48avg 81
A07/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
95-59
95
59
+36
88avg 81
H14/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
82-92
82
92
-10
71avg 81
A28/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
95-64
95
64
+31
no box
H01/12
Denmark Cup
Amager
#6
W
117-94
117
94
+23
112avg 81
A12/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
80avg 81
A14/12
Denmark Cup
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
99-71
99
71
+28
94avg 81
H18/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
95-91
95
91
+4
83avg 81
H27/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
99-78
99
78
+21
93avg 81
H05/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
84-89
84
89
-5
70avg 81
A09/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
24-15
11-24
19-20
28-14
22-19
25-8
20-18
20-22
20-20
20-18
22-32
18-9
27-16
30-18
20-21
33-20
21-26
32-22
31-26
18-21
24-27
21-18
18-15
30-15
27-25
20-15
22-16
19-24
36-18
17-22
23-27
20-15
24-16
26-23
29-24
20-26
19-30
15-15
30-18
173.6Avg total
92.5Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)89.680.3169.9+9.373%
Season at home (7)90.677.6168.1+13.086%
Season away (8)88.882.8171.5+6.062%
Last 10 (10)92.581.1173.6+11.460%
Last 5 (5)93.884.8178.6+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.783.8164.5-3.233%
vs Similar (7)87.993.1181.0-5.329%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)91.677.7169.3+13.988%
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
85-107
85
107
-22
69avg 64
A29/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
70-103
70
103
-33
67avg 64
A07/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
92-102
92
102
-10
72avg 64
H14/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
86-100
86
100
-14
no box
A17/11
Denmark Cup
Vaerlose
#10
W
90-88
90
88
+2
74avg 64
A07/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
75-96
75
96
-21
52avg 64
H19/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
82-103
82
103
-21
63avg 64
A30/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
86-81
86
81
+5
75avg 64
H04/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
L
85-90 OT
85
90
-5
72avg 64
A10/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
69-104
69
104
-35
48avg 64
A14/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-27
19-32
19-25
18-23
14-27
21-32
19-28
16-16
19-35
26-29
28-14
19-24
18-24
19-30
29-29
20-17
21-18
25-26
22-26
22-18
22-21
12-26
23-25
18-24
16-26
25-27
21-26
20-24
13-15
29-18
22-16
22-32
17-16
25-27
15-19
23-18
12-23
13-31
24-29
20-21
179.4Avg total
82.0Scored
97.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.993.7174.6-12.927%
Season at home (7)86.393.4179.7-7.143%
Season away (8)76.194.0170.1-17.912%
Last 10 (10)82.097.4179.4-15.420%
Last 5 (5)79.494.8174.2-15.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)76.495.8172.2-19.46%
vs Similar (10)85.885.0170.8+0.850%
vs Weaker (2)72.079.0151.0-7.050%
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -6.4-6.4Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -1.9-1.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -6.4-6.4Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -1.9-1.9
HorsensHolbaek-Stenhus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#2
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A07/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H14/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A28/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H01/12
Denmark Cup
Amager
#6
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A12/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A14/12
Denmark Cup
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H18/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H27/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H05/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A09/01
Basketligaen
86.0Avg total
46.3Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.041.186.0+3.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.738.784.4+6.960%-
Last 30 away (15)44.343.487.7+0.953%-
Last 10 (10)46.339.786.0+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)47.443.490.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.043.286.2-0.250%-
vs Similar (7)43.644.187.7-0.629%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.239.185.3+7.271%-
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A29/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A07/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
45-64
45
64
-19
H14/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A17/11
Denmark Cup
Vaerlose
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A07/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H19/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A30/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H04/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A10/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
25-54
25
54
-29
A14/01
Basketligaen
90.5Avg total
39.5Scored
51.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.545.785.2-6.233%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.445.887.1-4.436%-
Last 30 away (16)37.845.683.4-7.831%-
Last 10 (10)39.551.090.5-11.520%-
Last 5 (5)36.846.082.8-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)38.348.686.9-10.318%-
vs Similar (10)42.342.985.2-0.650%-
vs Weaker (2)36.531.067.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Horsenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Horsens: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.820.6
51.8%
51.9%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.711.2
36.5%
32.6%33.6
🏀 Free throws21.315.2
71.4%
70.2%15.2
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.017.1
45.0%
51.9%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.69.6
27.7%
32.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws23.217.2
74.1%
70.2%17.2
They take 72.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Horsens
LWWWLWWLWL
Holbaek-Stenhus
LLWLLWLLLL
#3
League position
#7
+10.6
Net rating
-18.5
112.6
Offensive rating
95.3
102.0
Defensive rating
113.8
53.0%
Effective FG%
43.4%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
16.9%
Turnover %
19.2%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.5%
3-point %
27.7%
55.3%
Assist %
40.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence112.6 · 95.3Defence102.0 · 113.8Shooting53.0% · 43.4%3-point %36.5% · 27.7%Ball care16.9% · 19.2%Off. rebounds32.5% · 30.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Horsens   ■ Holbaek-Stenhus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Horsens wins
0
Holbaek-Stenhus wins
Horsenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/25ARanders84-89
05/01/25HCopenhagen99-78
27/12/24HBakken Bears95-91
18/12/24HHerlev Wolfpack99-71
14/12/24ABakken Bears92-95 OT
12/12/24AAmager117-94
01/12/24HVaerlose95-64
28/11/24ATeam FOG Naestved82-92
14/11/24HVaerlose95-59
07/11/24ASvendborg67-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/25ABakken Bears69-104
10/01/25ACopenhagen85-90 OT
04/01/25HBears Academy86-81
30/12/24AAmager82-103
19/12/24HSvendborg75-96
07/12/24AVaerlose90-88
17/11/24AVaerlose86-100
14/11/24HHerlev Wolfpack92-102
07/11/24ARanders70-103
29/10/24ATeam FOG Naestved85-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Horsens
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWLLWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %73%86%62%
Points / game89.690.688.8
Allowed / game80.377.682.8
Point differential+9.3+13.0+6.0
Avg total169.9168.1171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%43%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL27%
HomeWLLLW43%
AwayLWLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %27%43%12%
Points / game80.986.376.1
Allowed / game93.793.494.0
Point differential-12.9-7.1-17.9
Avg total174.6179.7170.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg1615194%89.272.6+16.6
2 Team FOG Naestved1715288%99.289.7+9.5
3 Bakken Bears1612475%93.980.6+13.4
4 Horsens1511473%89.680.3+9.3
5 Randers1711665%91.582.2+9.3
6 Copenhagen1651131%82.586.1-3.6
7 Holbaek-Stenhus1541127%80.993.7-12.9
8 Herlev Wolfpack1641225%78.988.2-9.4
9 Amager1641225%86.296.4-10.2
10 Vaerlose1641225%77.889.8-12.1
11 Bears Academy1631319%75.686.9-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Horsens1727281587
Holbaek-Stenhus1322202277
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