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Horsens vs Holbaek-Stenhus Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 97-83
23-18 43-24 0-0 31-41
Position#3
Record3-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game80.4
Horsens 🏆
Denmark
vs
Position#7
Record2-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game89.4
DenmarkBasketligaen· Forum Horsens
Other2026-27
Meetings · Horsens v Holbaek-Stenhus
15 Oct 2026
HORS97
HOLB83
03 Dec 2025
HORS87
HOLB72
19 Jan 2025
HORS87
HOLB77
08 Oct 2023
HORS97
HOLB74
12 Jan 2023
HORS84
HOLB79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Horsens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Holbaek-Stenhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HorsensDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHorsens
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#2
W
103-82
103
82
+21
92avg 75
H20/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
79-89
79
89
-10
68avg 75
A27/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
64-103
64
103
-39
44avg 75
H30/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
67-110
67
110
-43
51avg 75
A04/05
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
78-103
78
103
-25
66avg 75
A14/05
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
W
92-70
92
70
+22
86avg 75
A17/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
64-83
64
83
-19
52avg 75
A24/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
73-101
73
101
-28
66avg 75
H27/09
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
99-79
99
79
+20
104avg 75
H02/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
W
80-69
80
69
+11
72avg 75
A10/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-29
25-17
26-28
23-8
23-30
15-19
19-22
22-18
18-31
24-21
15-20
7-31
20-26
11-30
12-28
24-26
22-23
22-27
14-28
20-25
24-13
16-25
23-13
29-19
13-27
21-19
21-10
9-27
15-31
21-28
15-24
22-18
20-25
26-16
21-21
32-17
16-22
21-20
27-13
16-14
168.8Avg total
79.9Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.680.4162.0+1.260%
Season at home (2)86.090.0176.0-4.050%
Season away (3)78.774.0152.7+4.767%
Last 10 (10)79.988.9168.8-9.040%
Last 5 (5)81.680.4162.0+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)79.989.1168.9-9.231%
vs Similar (4)83.078.0161.0+5.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)91.178.7169.8+12.490%
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
BMS Herlev
#10
W
80-65
80
65
+15
no box
A01/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
L
86-98
86
98
-12
69avg 70
A08/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
85-101
85
101
-16
75avg 70
H12/04
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
103-83
103
83
+20
99avg 70
A17/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
83-89
83
89
-6
72avg 70
H23/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
84-100
84
100
-16
67avg 70
H17/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
56-117
56
117
-61
40avg 70
A24/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
75-86
75
86
-11
61avg 70
A26/09
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
80-77
80
77
+3
74avg 70
H01/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
88-67
88
67
+21
86avg 70
H10/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
24-18
14-9
26-14
23-21
18-27
28-17
17-33
20-23
32-21
18-27
15-30
24-25
19-25
29-20
31-13
12-24
23-23
26-19
22-23
22-21
32-33
12-26
18-20
21-27
10-32
10-27
15-31
29-20
20-22
16-22
10-22
21-26
16-12
25-16
18-23
15-14
24-21
21-14
28-18
170.3Avg total
82.0Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.689.4166.0-12.840%
Season at home (3)84.081.3165.3+2.767%
Season away (2)65.5101.5167.0-36.00%
Last 10 (10)82.088.3170.3-6.340%
Last 5 (5)76.689.4166.0-12.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.398.3174.6-22.06%
vs Similar (13)88.284.5172.8+3.746%
vs Weaker (1)80.077.0157.0+3.0100%
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -2.7-2.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -2.7-2.7
HorsensHolbaek-Stenhus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#2
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H20/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A27/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H30/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A04/05
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A14/05
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A17/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A24/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
36-59
36
59
-23
H27/09
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H02/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A10/10
Basketligaen
88.1Avg total
40.2Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.743.184.8-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.040.085.0+5.071%-
Last 30 away (16)38.945.884.6-6.925%-
Last 10 (10)40.247.988.1-7.730%-
Last 5 (5)38.645.283.8-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)40.246.086.2-5.825%-
vs Similar (4)38.238.076.2+0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.540.485.9+5.180%-
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BMS Herlev
#10
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A01/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A08/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H12/04
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A17/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H23/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H17/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
31-59
31
59
-28
A24/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A26/09
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H01/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H10/10
Basketligaen
88.0Avg total
42.1Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.945.486.3-4.637%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.245.686.9-4.438%-
Last 30 away (14)40.445.285.6-4.836%-
Last 10 (10)42.145.988.0-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)42.045.687.6-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)41.149.190.1-8.031%-
vs Similar (13)40.941.582.5-0.646%-
vs Weaker (1)37.038.075.0-1.00%-
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Horsenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Horsens: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.722.7
54.4%
55.2%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.66.6
29.2%
31.2%19.8
🏀 Free throws24.714.6
59.1%
68.0%14.6
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.522.0
51.8%
55.2%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.0
31.0%
31.2%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.614.0
68.0%
68.0%14.0
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Horsens
WWLLWLLLLW
Holbaek-Stenhus
WWLLLLWLLW
#3
League position
#7
-10.1
Net rating
-8.6
89.3
Offensive rating
87.9
99.4
Defensive rating
96.4
50.7%
Effective FG%
49.8%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
16.2%
Turnover %
18.2%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.30
29.2%
3-point %
31.0%
58.4%
Assist %
45.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence89.3 · 87.9Defence99.4 · 96.4Shooting50.7% · 49.8%3-point %29.2% · 31.0%Ball care16.2% · 18.2%Free throws0.38 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Horsens   ■ Holbaek-Stenhus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Horsens wins
0
Holbaek-Stenhus wins
Horsenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26ACopenhagen80-69
02/10/26HVaerlose99-79
27/09/26HTeam FOG Naestved73-101
24/09/26ABakken Bears64-83
17/09/26ASvendborg92-70
14/05/26ASvendborg78-103
04/05/26ABakken Bears67-110
30/04/26HBakken Bears64-103
27/04/26ABakken Bears79-89
20/04/26HTeam FOG Naestved103-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26HBears Academy88-67
01/10/26HBMS Herlev80-77
26/09/26ASvendborg75-86
24/09/26ATeam FOG Naestved56-117
17/09/26HRanders84-100
23/04/26HVaerlose83-89
17/04/26AVejen103-83
12/04/26HBears Academy85-101
08/04/26AAmager86-98
01/04/26ABMS Herlev80-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Horsens
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game81.686.078.7
Allowed / game80.490.074.0
Point differential+1.2-4.0+4.7
Avg total162.0176.0152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game76.684.065.5
Allowed / game89.481.3101.5
Point differential-12.8+2.7-36.0
Avg total166.0165.3167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved440100%106.262.5+43.8
2 Bakken Bears440100%101.577.2+24.2
3 Svendborg54180%89.278.8+10.4
4 Randers53260%95.088.2+6.8
5 Horsens53260%81.680.4+1.2
6 Copenhagen42250%75.076.5-1.5
7 Vejen42250%83.092.2-9.2
8 Holbaek-Stenhus52340%76.689.4-12.8
9 Vaerlose51420%81.289.2-8.0
10 Gladsaxe51420%77.487.8-10.4
11 Bears Academy51420%78.291.0-12.8
12 BMS Herlev51420%75.896.0-20.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Horsens234303197
Holbaek-Stenhus182404183
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