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Horsholm vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 16 Feb 2015
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 95-78
27-21 26-19 19-21 23-17
Position#9
Record6-15
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game87.1
vs
Position#8
Record6-15
FormWLWWL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game81.3
DenmarkBasketligaenRound 22
Other2014-15
Meetings · Horsholm v Vaerlose
16 Feb 2015
HORS95
VAER78
17 Dec 2014
HORS92
VAER90
24 Oct 2014
HORS72
VAER82
11 Jan 2014
HORS78
VAER87
17 Nov 2012
HORS84
VAER79
17 Oct 2012
HORS91
VAER82
11 Jan 2012
HORS78
VAER64
03 Mar 2011
HORS84
VAER71
23 Feb 2011
HORS77
VAER75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Horsholm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HorsholmDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#3
L
80-90
80
90
-10
H10/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
W
92-90 OT
92
90
+2
H17/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
L
81-92
81
92
-11
A30/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#1
L
64-94
64
94
-30
A04/01
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
97-72
97
72
+25
H10/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
W
107-69
107
69
+38
H14/01
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
W
75-67
75
67
+8
A22/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#4
L
81-84
81
84
-3
H28/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
84-91
84
91
-7
A05/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H11/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-29
29-21
15-16
22-24
20-18
16-18
19-20
31-30
21-34
17-19
25-24
18-15
8-32
19-25
16-25
21-12
25-18
25-12
25-19
22-23
29-21
23-15
24-24
31-9
15-18
12-23
25-12
23-14
25-18
22-20
16-24
18-22
12-23
29-16
14-27
29-25
17-17
17-18
11-22
31-17
166.0Avg total
83.7Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.087.1169.1-5.129%
Season at home (12)84.686.2170.8-1.642%
Season away (9)78.688.3166.9-9.811%
Last 10 (10)83.782.3166.0+1.450%
Last 5 (5)84.677.0161.6+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)79.087.8166.8-8.824%
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.486.0167.4-4.633%
vs Weaker (3)91.774.7166.3+17.0100%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sisu
#7
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A11/12
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#9
L
90-92 OT
90
92
-2
A17/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
60-86
60
86
-26
H30/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
66-88
66
88
-22
A04/01
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H08/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
91-76
91
76
+15
A12/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#4
L
66-101
66
101
-35
A16/01
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
85-75 OT
85
75
+10
H21/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H29/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#1
L
78-107
78
107
-29
A05/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
27-22
20-27
20-16
18-20
18-16
20-19
30-31
11-23
18-22
19-21
12-20
22-22
14-22
15-28
15-16
22-24
20-19
19-11
16-30
27-21
16-28
31-16
17-11
18-30
24-25
10-19
14-27
20-19
11-15
24-14
12-19
22-8
14-19
15-18
23-26
24-28
33-17
16-30
5-32
162.8Avg total
76.9Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)73.981.3155.1-7.429%
Season at home (10)71.178.3149.4-7.230%
Season away (11)76.484.0160.4-7.627%
Last 10 (10)76.985.9162.8-9.040%
Last 5 (5)78.886.0164.8-7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)71.684.6156.2-13.011%
vs Similar ◀ (8)79.080.0159.0-1.038%
vs Weaker (2)89.068.5157.5+20.5100%
This opponent (Horsholm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: -6.4-6.4
HorsholmVaerlose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HorsholmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#3
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H10/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H17/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A30/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#1
L
27-57
27
57
-30
A04/01
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H10/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H14/01
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A22/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#4
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H28/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A05/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H11/02
Basketligaen
81.0Avg total
39.5Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.643.383.9-2.734%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.642.686.2+0.944%-
Last 30 away (13)37.044.181.1-7.123%-
Last 10 (10)39.541.581.0-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.237.878.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)40.145.585.5-5.424%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.741.681.2-1.944%-
vs Weaker (3)46.736.082.7+10.767%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sisu
#7
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A11/12
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A17/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H30/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A04/01
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H08/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A12/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#4
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A16/01
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H21/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H29/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#1
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A05/02
Basketligaen
80.8Avg total
39.4Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)39.639.679.2-0.139%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.039.576.5-2.531%-
Last 30 away (15)41.839.881.6+2.047%-
Last 10 (10)39.441.480.8-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)41.842.083.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)40.140.380.3-0.247%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)37.440.377.7-2.914%-
vs Weaker (2)42.531.574.0+11.050%-
This opponent (Horsholm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Horsholm wins
4
Vaerlose wins
DateGameScore
17/12/14Horsholm v Vaerlose92-90 OT
24/10/14Horsholm v Vaerlose72-82
20/10/14Vaerlose v Horsholm76-69
13/03/14Vaerlose v Horsholm72-82
11/01/14Horsholm v Vaerlose78-87
17/10/13Vaerlose v Horsholm66-87
28/02/13Vaerlose v Horsholm63-84
17/11/12Horsholm v Vaerlose84-79
17/10/12Horsholm v Vaerlose91-82
29/01/12Vaerlose v Horsholm86-82
Horsholmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/15HSvendborg76-74
05/02/15ARanders84-91
28/01/15HHerlev Wolfpack81-84
22/01/15ASisu75-67
14/01/15HBakken Bears107-69
10/01/15HAalborg97-72
04/01/15AHorsens64-94
30/12/14ATeam FOG Naestved81-92
17/12/14HVaerlose92-90 OT
10/12/14HSvendborg80-90
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/15AHorsens78-107
29/01/15HTeam FOG Naestved74-71
21/01/15HAalborg85-75 OT
16/01/15AHerlev Wolfpack66-101
12/01/15ARanders91-76
08/01/15HSisu77-84
04/01/15ABakken Bears66-88
30/12/14HSvendborg60-86
17/12/14AHorsholm90-92 OT
11/12/14ASisu82-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Horsholm
Basketligaen 2014-15
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW29%
HomeWWWLW42%
AwayLLLWL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %29%42%11%
Points / game82.084.678.6
Allowed / game87.186.288.3
Point differential-5.1-1.6-9.8
Avg total169.1170.8166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %5%8%0%
Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2014-15
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL29%
HomeLLLWW30%
AwayLLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %29%30%27%
Points / game73.971.176.4
Allowed / game81.378.384.0
Point differential-7.4-7.2-7.6
Avg total155.1149.4160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%10%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %10%10%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Horsens2118386%86.975.1+11.8
2 Bakken Bears1916384%95.882.5+13.3
3 Herlev Wolfpack2014670%90.481.0+9.3
4 Svendborg2113862%85.080.2+4.9
5 Team FOG Naestved21111052%80.779.5+1.2
6 Sisu2191243%86.287.5-1.3
7 Randers2191243%87.790.4-2.7
8 Horsholm2161529%82.087.1-5.1
9 Vaerlose2161529%73.981.3-7.4
10 Aalborg222209%75.596.8-21.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Horsholm2726192395
Vaerlose2119211778
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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