Svendborg vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Nov 2013

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 95-88

28-27 28-22 23-26 16-13

Position#3

Record8-1

FormWWWWW

Points / game85.7

Allowed / game73.2

Svendborg 🏆

Vaerlose

Position#10

Record2-8

FormLWLLL

Points / game72.4

Allowed / game86.2

BasketligaenRound 11

Other2013-14

Meetings · Svendborg v Vaerlose

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Svendborg winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Vaerlose winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Svendborg

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Aalborg

94-70

+24

A28/09

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

77-99

-22

H10/10

Basketligaen

Sisu

77-71

A13/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

90-77

+13

H16/10

Basketligaen

Horsholm

80-60

+20

H19/10

Basketligaen

Horsholm

79-73

H25/10

Denmark Cup

Randers

89-65

+24

A30/10

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

#10

102-60

102

+42

A07/11

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

99-68

+31

H13/11

Denmark Cup

Horsens

79-78

H21/11

Basketligaen

30-25

14-14

21-19

29-12

18-18

30-24

10-23

19-34

18-11

29-23

15-17

15-20

28-15

19-22

16-16

27-24

13-17

28-20

27-8

12-15

15-17

25-24

21-21

18-11

22-19

17-16

35-14

15-16

27-22

29-12

24-10

22-16

31-26

25-8

27-13

16-21

25-22

26-13

11-27

17-16

158.7Avg total

86.6Scored

72.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	85.7	73.2	158.9	+12.4	89%
Season at home (5)	81.8	78.6	160.4	+3.2	80%
Season away (4)	90.5	66.5	157.0	+24.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	86.6	72.1	158.7	+14.5	90%
Last 5 (5)	89.6	68.8	158.4	+20.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	77.0	99.0	176.0	-22.0	0%
vs Similar (10)	83.6	81.0	164.6	+2.6	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	86.9	75.4	162.3	+11.4	83%

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vaerlose

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bakken Bears

74-85

-11

H29/09

Basketligaen

Sisu

81-80

H09/10

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

75-88

-13

A12/10

Basketligaen

Sisu

70-85

-15

A15/10

Denmark Cup

Horsholm

66-87

-21

H17/10

Basketligaen

Aalborg

66-67

-1

A24/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

78-70

H31/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

60-102

102

-42

H07/11

Basketligaen

Randers

63-105

105

-42

A20/11

Basketligaen

Aalborg

79-83

-4

H24/11

Basketligaen

15-22

21-24

24-19

14-20

23-22

22-14

21-22

15-22

14-16

15-25

18-18

28-29

17-25

18-17

11-29

24-14

19-23

20-23

8-25

19-16

17-25

7-12

26-15

16-15

21-16

17-15

23-18

17-21

22-27

12-29

10-24

16-22

14-29

14-26

18-18

17-32

20-16

17-20

23-23

19-24

156.4Avg total

71.2Scored

85.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	72.4	86.2	158.6	-13.8	20%
Season at home (6)	73.0	84.5	157.5	-11.5	33%
Season away (4)	71.5	88.8	160.2	-17.2	0%
Last 10 (10)	71.2	85.2	156.4	-14.0	20%
Last 5 (5)	69.2	85.4	154.6	-16.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	75.3	87.3	162.7	-12.0	26%
vs Similar (4)	85.2	83.5	168.8	+1.8	50%
vs Weaker (2)	80.5	65.5	146.0	+15.0	100%

This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SvendborgVaerlose

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	20.8	42.8	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.7	21.4	42.1	-0.7	39%	-
Last 30 away (12)	23.8	19.9	43.8	+3.9	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	19.2	41.9	+3.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	21.2	45.2	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.3	21.2	42.5	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.9	20.9	43.9	+2.0	61%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	23.1	44.3	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	21.7	43.1	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	24.4	45.5	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	22.1	40.3	-3.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	22.6	41.4	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	20.4	22.9	43.3	-2.4	35%	-
vs Similar (4)	24.5	25.5	50.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	26.0	19.5	45.5	+6.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	19.5	41.5	+2.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	22.7	19.8	42.5	+2.9	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.9	19.1	40.0	+1.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	17.6	41.8	+6.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	14.6	39.0	+9.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	30.0	24.0	54.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.6	21.6	43.2	+0.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.6	17.8	39.4	+3.8	61%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	20.3	37.8	-2.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	19.2	37.8	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.5	21.3	37.9	-4.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	20.5	36.8	-4.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.4	20.4	33.8	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	17.2	21.0	38.2	-3.7	30%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.2	17.2	34.5	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	20.0	42.0	+2.0	50%	-

SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Aalborg

44-39

A28/09

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

48-42

H10/10

Basketligaen

Sisu

47-34

+13

A13/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

47-37

+10

H16/10

Basketligaen

Horsholm

41-37

H19/10

Basketligaen

Horsholm

40-41

-1

H25/10

Denmark Cup

Randers

39-35

A30/10

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

#10

56-34

+22

A07/11

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

56-34

+22

H13/11

Denmark Cup

Horsens

51-35

+16

H21/11

Basketligaen

83.7Avg total

46.9Scored

36.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	40.3	84.3	+3.7	73%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	43.4	41.2	84.6	+2.3	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	44.8	39.0	83.8	+5.8	92%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.9	36.8	83.7	+10.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.4	35.8	84.2	+12.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	48.0	42.0	90.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Similar (10)	42.9	42.8	85.7	+0.1	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	44.6	38.8	83.3	+5.8	83%	-

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bakken Bears

36-46

-10

H29/09

Basketligaen

Sisu

45-36

H09/10

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

29-41

-12

A12/10

Basketligaen

Sisu

35-42

-7

A15/10

Denmark Cup

Horsholm

39-46

-7

H17/10

Basketligaen

Aalborg

24-37

-13

A24/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

38-31

H31/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

34-56

-22

H07/11

Basketligaen

Randers

28-55

-27

A20/11

Basketligaen

Aalborg

37-36

H24/11

Basketligaen

77.1Avg total

34.5Scored

42.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	43.3	82.1	-4.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.0	40.9	80.9	-0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.6	45.7	83.3	-8.1	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.5	42.6	77.1	-8.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.2	43.0	75.2	-10.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	37.7	43.8	81.5	-6.2	26%	-
vs Similar (4)	41.8	42.8	84.5	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	48.0	39.5	87.5	+8.5	100%	-

This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	18.3	39.4	+2.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.7	18.2	38.9	+2.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.7	18.5	40.2	+3.2	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	16.8	37.5	+3.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	17.0	40.6	+6.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	10.0	23.0	33.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.7	17.8	39.5	+3.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.3	18.2	39.6	+3.1	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.6	39.3	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	19.9	39.9	+0.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	21.3	38.7	-3.8	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	21.1	39.3	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.6	39.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	19.3	21.5	40.8	-2.2	30%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.2	16.5	34.8	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.0	13.5	30.5	+3.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.1	38.7	+0.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.6	20.3	40.9	+0.2	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.2	17.3	35.5	+0.8	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	16.0	33.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	19.0	34.0	53.0	-15.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.3	19.7	37.0	-2.4	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.0	18.4	39.4	+2.6	78%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.9	39.5	-2.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	15.7	20.5	36.3	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	21.3	42.7	+0.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	21.5	40.0	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	22.8	39.8	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	18.4	22.0	40.4	-3.6	17%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.8	20.5	40.2	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	15.5	12.5	28.0	+3.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	37.5	78.1	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	41.2	38.6	79.8	+2.7	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	39.8	35.8	75.7	+4.0	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	35.3	75.0	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	33.0	74.2	+8.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	29.0	57.0	86.0	-28.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	39.0	37.5	76.5	+1.5	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	42.3	36.7	79.0	+5.7	72%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	41.5	78.8	-4.2	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.7	40.4	76.1	-4.7	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.9	42.5	81.4	-3.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	42.6	79.3	-5.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	42.4	79.4	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	37.7	43.5	81.2	-5.8	22%	-
vs Similar (4)	38.0	37.0	75.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	32.5	26.0	58.5	+6.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Svendborg wins

Vaerlose wins

Date	Game	Score
07/11/13	Vaerlose v Svendborg	60-102
14/03/13	Svendborg v Vaerlose	98-88
11/03/13	Vaerlose v Svendborg	69-97
07/03/13	Svendborg v Vaerlose	86-71
23/02/13	Svendborg v Vaerlose	89-92
08/11/12	Vaerlose v Svendborg	75-82
10/10/12	Vaerlose v Svendborg	82-99
15/03/12	Svendborg v Vaerlose	100-72
12/03/12	Vaerlose v Svendborg	76-83
08/03/12	Svendborg v Vaerlose	99-91 OT

Svendborglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/11/13	H	Horsens	79-78
13/11/13	H	Stevnsgade	99-68
07/11/13	A	Vaerlose	102-60
30/10/13	A	Randers	89-65
25/10/13	H	Horsholm	79-73
19/10/13	H	Horsholm	80-60
16/10/13	H	Team FOG Naestved	90-77
13/10/13	A	Sisu	77-71
10/10/13	H	Bakken Bears	77-99
28/09/13	A	Aalborg	94-70

Vaerloselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/11/13	H	Aalborg	79-83
20/11/13	A	Randers	63-105
07/11/13	H	Svendborg	60-102
31/10/13	H	Horsens	78-70
24/10/13	A	Aalborg	66-67
17/10/13	H	Horsholm	66-87
15/10/13	A	Sisu	70-85
12/10/13	A	Herlev Wolfpack	75-88
09/10/13	H	Sisu	81-80
29/09/13	H	Bakken Bears	74-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Svendborg

Basketligaen 2013-14

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	89%
Home	WLWWW	80%
Away	WWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	89%	80%	100%
Points / game	85.7	81.8	90.5
Allowed / game	73.2	78.6	66.5
Point differential	+12.4	+3.2	+24.0
Avg total	158.9	160.4	157.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	56%	40%	75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Vaerlose

Basketligaen 2013-14

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	20%
Home	WLWLL	33%
Away	LLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	6	4
Win %	20%	33%	0%
Points / game	72.4	73.0	71.5
Allowed / game	86.2	84.5	88.8
Point differential	-13.8	-11.5	-17.2
Avg total	158.6	157.5	160.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	50% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	10	10	0	100%	93.0	69.5	+23.5
2	Svendborg	9	8	1	89%	85.7	73.2	+12.4
3	Randers	10	8	2	80%	87.7	79.2	+8.5
4	Horsholm	10	5	5	50%	78.8	79.9	-1.1
5	Team FOG Naestved	10	4	6	40%	75.6	83.5	-7.9
6	Sisu	11	4	7	36%	80.2	84.9	-4.7
7	Horsens	10	3	7	30%	73.9	75.2	-1.3
8	Herlev Wolfpack	10	3	7	30%	74.4	78.7	-4.3
9	Aalborg	10	3	7	30%	75.4	85.0	-9.6
10	Vaerlose	10	2	8	20%	72.4	86.2	-13.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Svendborg	28	28	23	16	95
Vaerlose	27	22	26	13	88

← all games of the day

Svendborg vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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