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Hottur vs Keflavik Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 93-123
21-29 15-25 31-37 26-32
Position#8
Record1-0
FormWWLWL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#1
Record1-0
FormWLWWL
Points / game103.0
Allowed / game87.0
IcelandIcelandic CupIcelandic Cup - Quarter-finals· MVA-hollin Egilsstodum
Other2023-24
Meetings · Hottur v Keflavik
28 Jan 2027
HOTT v KEFL
upcoming
10 Oct 2024
HOTT120
KEFL115
21 Jan 2024
HOTT93
KEFL123
09 Nov 2023
HOTT83
KEFL75
16 Mar 2023
HOTT84
KEFL89
10 May 2021
HOTT62
KEFL74
16 Nov 2017
HOTT66
KEFL92
29 Jan 2016
HOTT66
KEFL69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hottur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keflavik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HotturIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHottur
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#3
W
83-75
83
75
+8
76avg 75
H09/11
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
69-80
69
80
-11
55avg 75
A17/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
89-72
89
72
+17
85avg 75
H23/11
Premier league
Haukar
#10
L
85-93
85
93
-8
77avg 75
A30/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
71-83
71
83
-12
56avg 75
A07/12
Premier league
Hamar
#9
W
84-82
84
82
+2
74avg 75
A10/12
Icelandic Cup
Alftanes
#6
W
78-73
78
73
+5
66avg 75
H14/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
71-78
71
78
-7
67avg 75
H04/01
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
86-78
86
78
+8
78avg 75
A11/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
85-88
85
88
-3
78avg 75
H18/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
17-10
12-21
31-21
28-16
24-26
9-17
8-21
21-12
19-21
29-21
20-18
16-20
23-30
23-15
23-28
18-20
12-25
22-16
19-22
22-14
19-24
26-24
17-20
22-14
22-25
17-13
17-21
13-22
14-25
25-18
19-13
22-12
27-15
19-14
18-37
24-21
28-35
11-13
22-19
160.3Avg total
80.1Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)84.082.0166.0+2.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)84.082.0166.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.180.2160.3-0.150%
Last 5 (5)80.879.8160.6+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)80.589.7170.2-9.225%
vs Similar (8)82.883.2166.0-0.538%
vs Weaker (9)87.380.0167.3+7.378%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Hottur
#8
L
75-83
75
83
-8
66avg 87
A09/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
97-78
97
78
+19
87avg 87
H17/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
111-82
111
82
+29
113avg 87
A24/11
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
100-86
100
86
+14
90avg 87
H30/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
W
103-82
103
82
+21
99avg 87
A08/12
Premier league
Selfoss
#13
W
103-87
103
87
+16
94avg 87
A11/12
Icelandic Cup
Thorl
#4
L
102-103
102
103
-1
97avg 87
H15/12
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
100-88
100
88
+12
85avg 87
H04/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
99-86
99
86
+13
92avg 87
H10/01
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
82-105
82
105
-23
73avg 87
A18/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
10-17
21-12
21-31
20-17
27-16
24-24
26-21
28-25
29-10
29-29
25-18
25-21
20-27
31-22
24-16
17-19
34-21
27-15
25-27
27-23
30-19
29-18
17-27
17-28
31-32
28-25
26-18
31-17
21-20
29-23
19-28
32-33
21-25
18-16
28-12
14-28
20-24
28-32
20-21
185.2Avg total
97.2Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)103.087.0190.0+16.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)103.087.0190.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)97.288.0185.2+9.270%
Last 5 (5)97.293.8191.0+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)87.995.6183.4-7.729%
vs Similar (13)92.290.8183.0+1.346%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)95.690.4186.0+5.167%
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
HotturKeflavik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HotturLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#3
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H09/11
Premier league
Valur
#1
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A17/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H23/11
Premier league
Haukar
#10
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A30/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A07/12
Premier league
Hamar
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A10/12
Icelandic Cup
Alftanes
#6
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H14/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H04/01
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
49-27
49
27
+22
A11/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H18/01
Premier league
82.4Avg total
41.4Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.642.983.5-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.241.180.3-1.940%-
Last 30 away (15)42.144.786.7-2.640%-
Last 10 (10)41.441.082.4+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)42.641.484.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.146.086.1-5.925%-
vs Similar (8)39.944.984.8-5.025%-
vs Weaker (9)42.037.679.6+4.467%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hottur
#8
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A09/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H17/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
57-35
57
35
+22
A24/11
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H30/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A08/12
Premier league
Selfoss
#13
W
57-42
57
42
+15
A11/12
Icelandic Cup
Thorl
#4
L
48-60
48
60
-12
H15/12
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H04/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H10/01
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A18/01
Premier league
92.2Avg total
47.7Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.945.592.4+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.646.094.6+2.650%-
Last 30 away (16)45.545.190.6+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)47.744.592.2+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)48.849.898.6-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.146.088.1-3.943%-
vs Similar (13)48.044.992.9+3.154%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)48.046.394.3+1.744%-
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hotturtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hottur: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.5 points a game
45%
41%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.0
50.1%
51.2%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.39.7
31.0%
35.4%29.1
🏀 Free throws16.612.0
72.3%
74.2%12.0
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 96.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.5 points a game
45%
41%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.921.2
57.5%
51.2%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.012.9
35.8%
35.4%38.7
🏀 Free throws21.615.7
72.7%
74.2%15.7
They take 72.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hottur
LWLWWLLWLW
Keflavik
LWWLWWWWWL
#8
League position
#1
-0.9
Net rating
+11.0
99.2
Offensive rating
112.8
100.1
Defensive rating
101.8
48.5%
Effective FG%
55.6%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
19.4%
Turnover %
14.4%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
21.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.0%
3-point %
35.8%
52.3%
Assist %
51.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence99.2 · 112.8Defence100.1 · 101.8Shooting48.5% · 55.6%3-point %31.0% · 35.8%Ball care19.4% · 14.4%Off. rebounds29.1% · 21.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Hottur   ■ Keflavik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hottur wins
7
Keflavik wins
DateGameScore
09/11/23Hottur v Keflavik83-75
16/03/23Hottur v Keflavik84-89
08/12/22Keflavik v Hottur71-62
10/05/21Hottur v Keflavik62-74
01/03/21Keflavik v Hottur93-73
12/02/18Keflavik v Hottur93-95
16/11/17Hottur v Keflavik66-92
29/01/16Hottur v Keflavik66-69
30/10/15Keflavik v Hottur99-69
Hotturlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/24HNjardvik85-88
11/01/24ABreidablik86-78
04/01/24HGrindavik71-78
14/12/23HAlftanes78-73
10/12/23AHamar84-82
07/12/23ATindastoll71-83
30/11/23AHaukar85-93
23/11/23HStjarnan89-72
17/11/23AValur69-80
09/11/23HKeflavik83-75
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/24AValur82-105
10/01/24HTindastoll99-86
04/01/24HHamar100-88
15/12/23HThorl102-103
11/12/23ASelfoss103-87
08/12/23ANjardvik103-82
30/11/23HBreidablik100-86
24/11/23AGrindavik111-82
17/11/23HAlftanes97-78
09/11/23AHottur75-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hottur
Icelandic Cup 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game84.0-84.0
Allowed / game82.0-82.0
Point differential+2.0-+2.0
Avg total166.0-166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Keflavik
Icelandic Cup 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game103.0-103.0
Allowed / game87.0-87.0
Point differential+16.0-+16.0
Avg total190.0-190.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stjarnan220100%93.076.5+16.5
2 Keflavik110100%103.087.0+16.0
3 Tindastoll220100%86.070.5+15.5
4 Alftanes110100%92.078.0+14.0
5 Grindavik110100%88.080.0+8.0
6 Hottur110100%84.082.0+2.0
7 Valur21150%103.586.5+17.0
8 KR Basket21150%91.591.0+0.5
9 Hamar1010%82.084.0-2.0
10 Breidablik1010%81.089.0-8.0
11 Haukar1010%80.088.0-8.0
12 Fjolnir1010%78.092.0-14.0
13 Selfoss1010%87.0103.0-16.0
14 Throttur1010%99.0123.0-24.0
15 Armann1010%74.0102.0-28.0
16 KV mfl.kk.1010%89.0128.0-39.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hottur2115312693
Keflavik29253732123
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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