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Houston Rockets vs Cleveland Cavaliers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 117-100
32-24 28-22 30-17 27-37
Position#8
Record18-10
FormLWLLW
Points / game120.5
Allowed / game112.1
vs
Position#9
Record17-15
FormLLWWL
Points / game120.2
Allowed / game117.8
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Cleveland Cavaliers
03 Jan 2027
HOU v CLE
upcoming
27 Dec 2025
HOU117
CLE100
22 Jan 2025
HOU109
CLE108
16 Mar 2024
HOU117
CLE103
26 Jan 2023
HOU95
CLE113
02 Feb 2022
HOU115
CLE104
01 Mar 2021
HOU90
CLE101
17 Mar 2020
HOU v CLE
upcoming
11 Jan 2019
HOU141
CLE113
09 Nov 2017
HOU117
CLE113
12 Mar 2017
HOU117
CLE112
15 Jan 2016
HOU77
CLE91
01 Mar 2015
HOU105
CLE103
01 Feb 2014
HOU106
CLE92
22 Mar 2013
HOU116
CLE78
11 Dec 2010
HOU110
CLE95
09 Dec 2009
HOU95
CLE85
26 Feb 2009
HOU93
CLE74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cleveland Cavaliers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
121-95
121
95
+26
123avg 107
H04/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
117-98
117
98
+19
118avg 107
H06/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
109-122
109
122
-13
99avg 107
A07/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
115-113
115
113
+2
109avg 107
H12/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
125-128 OT
125
128
-3
119avg 107
A16/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
128-133 OT
128
133
-5
120avg 107
A19/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
115-101
115
101
+14
115avg 107
A20/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
124-125 OT
124
125
-1
119avg 107
A22/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
108-128
108
128
-20
102avg 107
A24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
119-96
119
96
+23
114avg 107
A26/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-26
23-26
36-19
34-24
24-31
44-27
29-14
20-26
26-29
31-28
20-37
32-28
29-29
22-25
27-28
37-31
30-24
21-34
35-31
31-28
33-24
34-21
32-38
20-36
26-29
27-16
29-21
33-35
31-30
37-27
23-25
21-30
35-29
23-34
24-35
26-30
37-25
26-28
29-21
27-22
232.0Avg total
118.1Scored
113.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)120.5112.1232.6+8.364%
Season at home (10)121.2108.5229.7+12.780%
Season away (18)120.1114.2234.2+5.956%
Last 10 (10)118.1113.9232.0+4.250%
Last 5 (5)118.8116.6235.4+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)124.0125.0249.0-1.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)115.2109.3224.5+5.960%
vs Weaker (14)123.2113.2236.4+10.071%
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCavaliers
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
110-122
110
122
-12
97avg 112
H04/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
130-117
130
117
+13
133avg 112
H06/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
94-99
94
99
-5
74avg 112
H07/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
130-126
130
126
+4
121avg 112
A13/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
111-119 OT
111
119
-8
99avg 112
H14/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
111-127
111
127
-16
104avg 112
A18/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
125-136
125
136
-11
117avg 112
H20/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
139-132
139
132
+7
138avg 112
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
141-118
141
118
+23
142avg 112
H24/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
124-126
124
126
-2
124avg 112
A25/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-36
25-32
27-31
25-23
30-35
34-37
44-19
22-26
18-12
18-33
26-27
32-27
35-24
27-36
23-40
45-26
29-33
18-24
32-31
32-23
34-33
24-29
30-33
23-32
32-32
23-34
44-35
26-35
33-36
37-27
34-32
35-37
32-22
37-38
41-31
31-27
38-23
20-37
38-24
28-42
243.7Avg total
121.5Scored
122.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)120.2117.8237.9+2.453%
Season at home (19)118.1115.6233.7+2.558%
Season away (13)123.2120.9244.1+2.246%
Last 10 (10)121.5122.2243.7-0.740%
Last 5 (5)128.0127.8255.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)118.0116.0234.0+2.040%
vs Similar ◀ (13)115.3118.0233.3-2.731%
vs Weaker (12)126.2117.7243.8+8.583%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -6.4-6.4Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -6.4-6.4Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
Houston RocketsCleveland Cavaliers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H04/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
68-58
68
58
+10
H06/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A07/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H12/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A16/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
67-45
67
45
+22
A19/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A20/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
68-57
68
57
+11
A22/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A26/12
NBA
112.9Avg total
58.7Scored
54.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.354.1112.4+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (11)58.155.3113.4+2.855%-
Last 30 away (19)58.453.5111.9+4.963%-
Last 10 (10)58.754.2112.9+4.550%-
Last 5 (5)61.852.6114.4+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)57.051.0108.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)56.252.7108.9+3.560%-
vs Weaker (14)60.655.9116.5+4.857%-
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H04/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
64-72
64
72
-8
H06/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H07/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
62-60
62
60
+2
A13/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H14/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A18/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
55-66
55
66
-11
H20/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H24/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A25/12
NBA
119.0Avg total
57.7Scored
61.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.059.8117.8-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (19)55.959.6115.5-3.737%-
Last 30 away (11)61.660.0121.6+1.645%-
Last 10 (10)57.761.3119.0-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)62.062.2124.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)59.261.2120.4-2.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)53.258.2111.5-5.023%-
vs Weaker (12)62.760.8123.5+1.867%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 118.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers68.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.334.1
55.6%
54.8%68.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.111.1
39.5%
35.8%33.3
🏀 Free throws21.416.6
77.6%
78.1%16.6
They take 89.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cleveland Cavalierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cleveland Cavaliers: 121.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.930.0
56.7%
54.8%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.614.3
34.4%
35.8%42.9
🏀 Free throws22.018.6
84.5%
78.1%18.6
They take 94.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
WLLWLLWLWW
Cleveland Cavaliers
LWWLLLWLWL
#8
League position
#9
+4.2
Net rating
-0.7
117.9
Offensive rating
115.3
113.7
Defensive rating
115.9
56.8%
Effective FG%
54.4%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
16.7%
Turnover %
12.3%
37.5%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.23
39.5%
3-point %
34.4%
57.5%
Assist %
65.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence117.9 · 115.3Defence113.7 · 115.9Shooting56.8% · 54.4%3-point %39.5% · 34.4%Ball care16.7% · 12.3%Off. rebounds37.5% · 26.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Cleveland Cavaliers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/25ALos Angeles Lakers119-96
24/12/25ALos Angeles Clippers108-128
22/12/25ASacramento Kings124-125 OT
20/12/25ADenver Nuggets115-101
19/12/25ANew Orleans Pelicans128-133 OT
16/12/25ADenver Nuggets125-128 OT
12/12/25HLos Angeles Clippers115-113
07/12/25ADallas Mavericks109-122
06/12/25HPhoenix Suns117-98
04/12/25HSacramento Kings121-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/12/25ANew York Knicks124-126
24/12/25HNew Orleans Pelicans141-118
23/12/25HCharlotte Hornets139-132
20/12/25HChicago Bulls125-136
18/12/25AChicago Bulls111-127
14/12/25HCharlotte Hornets111-119 OT
13/12/25AWashington Wizards130-126
07/12/25HGolden State Warriors94-99
06/12/25HSan Antonio Spurs130-117
04/12/25HPortland Trail Blazers110-122

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW64%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLWLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281018
Win %64%80%56%
Points / game120.5121.2120.1
Allowed / game112.1108.5114.2
Point differential+8.3+12.7+5.9
Avg total232.6229.7234.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%50%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)50% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %18%10%22%
Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL53%
HomeLLLWW58%
AwayLWWLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321913
Win %53%58%46%
Points / game120.2118.1123.2
Allowed / game117.8115.6120.9
Point differential+2.4+2.5+2.2
Avg total237.9233.7244.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%32%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %6%5%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder2925486%121.1107.9+13.3
2 Detroit Pistons3124777%119.5112.9+6.6
3 San Antonio Spurs2821775%120.2113.1+7.1
4 Denver Nuggets3122971%125.8117.5+8.3
5 New York Knicks2819968%120.0113.5+6.5
6 Los Angeles Lakers2819968%116.9116.9-0.1
7 Minnesota Timberwolves31201165%119.1114.4+4.7
8 Houston Rockets28181064%120.5112.1+8.3
9 Boston Celtics30191163%116.8110.4+6.4
10 Phoenix Suns30181260%116.0112.9+3.1
11 Toronto Raptors31181358%113.9112.3+1.6
12 Orlando Magic30171357%117.0115.0+2.0
13 Philadelphia 76ers29161355%116.1115.2+0.9
14 Miami Heat30161453%119.8117.4+2.4
15 Cleveland Cavaliers32171553%120.2117.8+2.4
16 Golden State Warriors31161552%114.5112.4+2.2
17 Chicago Bulls30151550%119.4122.3-3.0
18 Memphis Grizzlies31151648%115.4115.8-0.5
19 Atlanta Hawks32151747%118.6119.8-1.2
20 Milwaukee Bucks31121939%112.7116.5-3.7
21 Portland Trail Blazers31121939%116.6120.5-3.8
22 Utah Jazz30111937%120.3127.5-7.2
23 Dallas Mavericks33122136%113.5117.5-4.0
24 Charlotte Hornets31112035%115.6118.4-2.8
25 Brooklyn Nets2891932%109.3113.9-4.6
26 Los Angeles Clippers3092130%111.5115.3-3.8
27 Sacramento Kings3182326%112.0122.0-9.9
28 New Orleans Pelicans3382524%115.2122.6-7.3
29 Washington Wizards2962321%113.5125.8-12.3
30 Indiana Pacers3162519%109.6118.4-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets32283027117
Cleveland Cavaliers24221737100
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