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Houston vs Troy Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 62-42
33-11 29-31
Position#9
Record5-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game58.2
Houston 🏆
USA
vs
Position#68
Record5-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game70.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Troy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HoustonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#139
W
100-95 OT
100
95
+5
H25/03
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H30/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
W
97-40
97
40
+57
H05/11
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H10/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
91-45
91
45
+46
H14/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#237
W
80-44
80
44
+36
H23/11
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
80-85 OT
80
85
-5
A27/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
65-54
65
54
+11
H28/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
70-73 OT
70
73
-3
H01/12
NCAA
Butler
#266
W
79-51
79
51
+28
H07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
43-38
43-48
22-23
29-31
52-13
45-27
33-28
36-46
51-25
40-20
48-18
32-26
36-34
42-44
39-31
26-23
30-25
35-40
28-18
51-33
139.7Avg total
78.2Scored
61.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.958.2137.1+20.662%
Season at home (7)78.754.4133.1+24.371%
Season away (1)80.085.0165.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)78.261.5139.7+16.760%
Last 5 (5)74.861.4136.2+13.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)58.565.5124.0-7.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)76.560.8137.3+15.685%
This opponent (Troy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#214
L
79-82 OT
79
82
-3
A02/03
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H09/03
NCAA
Toledo
#167
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H05/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
78-61
78
61
+17
A09/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
L
49-65
49
65
-16
A14/11
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
61-82
61
82
-21
A17/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
84-65
84
65
+19
A20/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H26/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#164
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H29/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#155
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H01/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-30
32-41
30-33
38-41
43-29
41-45
43-20
35-41
27-26
22-39
23-38
38-44
47-28
37-37
42-29
44-43
32-43
36-29
41-36
43-38
146.2Avg total
74.1Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)74.270.6144.9+3.662%
Season at home (4)80.573.0153.5+7.575%
Season away (4)68.068.2136.2-0.250%
Last 10 (10)74.172.1146.2+2.050%
Last 5 (5)76.673.0149.6+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (3)58.769.7128.3-11.033%
vs Weaker (27)78.071.0149.0+7.070%
This opponent (Houston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +12.9+12.91st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: -3.2-3.2
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +12.9+12.91st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: -3.2-3.2
HoustonTroy
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
HoustonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#139
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H25/03
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
22-23
22
23
-1
H30/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
W
52-13
52
13
+39
H05/11
NCAA
Auburn
#12
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H10/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H14/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#237
W
48-18
48
18
+30
H23/11
NCAA
Alabama
#34
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A27/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H28/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H01/12
NCAA
Butler
#266
W
28-18
28
18
+10
H07/12
NCAA
63.5Avg total
38.2Scored
25.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.726.061.7+9.783%-
Last 30 at home (21)36.023.059.0+13.090%-
Last 30 away (9)35.033.168.1+1.967%-
Last 10 (10)38.225.363.5+12.990%-
Last 5 (5)36.225.261.4+11.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)26.526.052.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)37.126.063.1+11.188%-
This opponent (Troy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#214
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A02/03
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H09/03
NCAA
Toledo
#167
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H05/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
43-20
43
20
+23
A09/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A14/11
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A17/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A20/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H26/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#164
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H29/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#155
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H01/12
NCAA
67.9Avg total
36.7Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.231.468.6+5.873%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.031.470.4+7.680%-
Last 30 away (15)35.331.466.7+3.967%-
Last 10 (10)36.731.267.9+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)37.034.871.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (3)24.330.054.3-5.733%-
vs Weaker (27)38.631.670.1+7.078%-
This opponent (Houston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Houston wins
0
Troy wins
No previous meetings.
Houstonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24HButler79-51
01/12/24HSan Diego State70-73 OT
28/11/24HNotre Dame65-54
27/11/24AAlabama80-85 OT
23/11/24HHofstra80-44
14/11/24HLouisiana Lafayette91-45
10/11/24HAuburn69-74
05/11/24HJackson State97-40
30/03/24HDuke51-54
25/03/24HTexas A&M100-95 OT
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24HEastern Kentucky84-74
29/11/24HMerrimack Warriors68-72
26/11/24HUTSA Roadrunners86-72
20/11/24AWest Georgia84-65
17/11/24AOregon61-82
14/11/24AArkansas49-65
09/11/24ANew Orleans78-61
05/11/24HToledo84-74
09/03/24HTexas State68-74
02/03/24ATexas State79-82 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW62%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games871
Win %62%71%0%
Points / game78.978.780.0
Allowed / game58.254.485.0
Point differential+20.6+24.3-5.0
Avg total137.1133.1165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %25%14%100%
Troy
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game74.280.568.0
Allowed / game70.673.068.2
Point differential+3.6+7.5-0.2
Avg total144.9153.5136.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona State98189%80.071.1+8.9
2 Cincinnati87188%82.058.9+23.1
3 Iowa State87188%87.864.8+23.0
4 Texas Tech97278%84.765.4+19.2
5 West Virginia97278%77.966.1+11.8
6 Kansas97278%78.868.1+10.7
7 Colorado97278%76.069.7+6.3
8 UCF Knights97278%79.474.8+4.7
9 Utah Utes86275%87.064.8+22.2
10 Brigham Young86275%84.567.4+17.1
11 Oklahoma State86275%81.475.8+5.6
12 Baylor96367%83.971.6+12.3
13 Kansas State96367%80.469.3+11.1
14 Houston85362%78.958.2+20.6
15 TCU95456%73.067.2+5.8
16 Arizona84450%87.172.8+14.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State107370%76.665.5+11.1
2 Arkansas State107370%77.169.5+7.6
3 Appalachian State96367%72.864.3+8.4
4 South Alabama96367%73.466.1+7.3
5 Troy85362%74.270.6+3.6
6 James Madison106460%76.768.7+8.0
7 Georgia Southern106460%75.778.5-2.8
8 Marshall95456%76.472.2+4.2
9 Southern Miss84450%77.677.8-0.1
10 Coastal Carolina94544%67.067.8-0.8
11 Georgia State94544%75.678.1-2.6
12 Louisiana Monroe103730%71.970.9+1.0
13 Old Dominion103730%67.678.1-10.5
14 Louisiana Lafayette91811%68.480.4-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Houston332962
Troy113142
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