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Iceland vs Turkey Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 31 Aug 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 73-110
14-33 23-27 19-20 17-30
Position#60
Record3-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game91.4
vs
Turkey 🏆
Position#4
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game72.6
EuropeWorld CupRound 2· Laugardalsholl
Other2027
Meetings · Iceland v Turkey
31 Aug 2026
ICEL73
TURK110
23 Feb 2025
ICEL83
TURK71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iceland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Turkey winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIceland
Date
Competition
Poland
#9
L
75-84
75
84
-9
no box
A31/08
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
79-87
79
87
-8
79avg 70
H02/09
EuroBasket
France
#5
L
74-114
74
114
-40
60avg 70
A04/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#29
W
81-76
81
76
+5
no box
A27/11
World Cup
Great Britain
#81
L
84-90
84
90
-6
no box
H30/11
World Cup
Lithuania
#41
W
86-85
86
85
+1
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Lithuania
#41
L
82-99
82
99
-17
no box
A02/03
World Cup
Italy
#29
L
83-102
83
102
-19
no box
H02/07
World Cup
Great Britain
#81
W
88-86
88
86
+2
no box
A05/07
World Cup
Serbia
#21
L
73-102
73
102
-29
no box
A28/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
16-22
19-20
24-23
20-21
15-15
11-24
33-27
9-36
25-30
12-24
28-24
21-21
17-13
23-20
20-22
17-17
18-26
16-26
33-21
24-21
19-23
11-24
32-17
14-26
19-26
23-27
26-20
25-27
21-31
16-26
21-18
19-24
22-25
21-20
26-17
27-25
15-27
19-18
12-32
173.0Avg total
80.5Scored
92.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.491.4173.9-9.043%
Season at home (3)84.392.3176.7-8.033%
Season away (4)81.090.8171.8-9.850%
Last 10 (10)80.592.5173.0-12.030%
Last 5 (5)82.494.8177.2-12.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)73.588.5162.1-15.020%
vs Similar (10)85.285.5170.7-0.350%
vs Weaker (5)76.673.6150.2+3.080%
This opponent (Turkey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTurkey
Date
Competition
Poland
#9
W
91-77
91
77
+14
90avg 86
H09/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
W
94-68
94
68
+26
94avg 86
A12/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
83-88
83
88
-5
73avg 86
H14/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#57
W
93-71
93
71
+22
no box
H27/11
World Cup
Switzerland
#43
W
85-60
85
60
+25
no box
A30/11
World Cup
Serbia
#21
W
82-78
82
78
+4
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Serbia
#21
W
94-86
94
86
+8
no box
H02/03
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#57
W
82-75
82
75
+7
no box
A02/07
World Cup
Switzerland
#43
W
95-72
95
72
+23
no box
H06/07
World Cup
Lithuania
#41
W
94-66
94
66
+28
no box
H28/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
27-13
19-18
26-27
26-16
23-15
23-20
22-17
22-24
24-16
21-26
16-22
29-20
17-25
21-13
26-13
23-17
18-8
24-17
20-18
22-13
24-18
11-23
25-24
28-21
20-23
28-19
18-23
17-18
17-21
25-18
23-18
22-19
25-22
29-11
19-20
27-13
28-21
20-13
19-19
163.4Avg total
89.3Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)89.372.6161.9+16.7100%
Season at home (4)94.073.8167.8+20.2100%
Season away (3)83.071.0154.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.374.1163.4+15.290%
Last 5 (5)89.475.4164.8+14.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.881.2156.0-6.30%
vs Similar (5)80.270.2150.4+10.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)88.372.2160.4+16.195%
This opponent (Iceland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +1.3+1.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +1.3+1.3
IcelandTurkey
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IcelandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poland
#9
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A31/08
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H02/09
EuroBasket
France
#5
L
34-66
34
66
-32
A04/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#29
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A27/11
World Cup
Great Britain
#81
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H30/11
World Cup
Lithuania
#41
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H27/02
World Cup
Lithuania
#41
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A02/03
World Cup
Italy
#29
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H02/07
World Cup
Great Britain
#81
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A05/07
World Cup
Serbia
#21
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A28/08
World Cup
85.4Avg total
37.9Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.842.678.5-6.827%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.241.177.3-4.823%-
Last 30 away (17)35.543.879.4-8.329%-
Last 10 (10)37.947.585.4-9.610%-
Last 5 (5)41.051.092.0-10.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)33.844.378.1-10.520%-
vs Similar (10)39.141.480.5-2.330%-
vs Weaker (5)35.440.075.4-4.640%-
This opponent (Turkey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TurkeyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poland
#9
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H09/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A12/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H14/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#57
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H27/11
World Cup
Switzerland
#43
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A30/11
World Cup
Serbia
#21
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A27/02
World Cup
Serbia
#21
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H02/03
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#57
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A02/07
World Cup
Switzerland
#43
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H06/07
World Cup
Lithuania
#41
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H28/08
World Cup
82.0Avg total
45.8Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.336.979.2+5.467%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.138.481.5+4.667%-
Last 30 away (12)41.234.675.8+6.667%-
Last 10 (10)45.836.282.0+9.690%-
Last 5 (5)46.037.883.8+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.343.782.0-5.317%-
vs Similar (5)39.235.474.6+3.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.435.279.5+9.284%-
This opponent (Iceland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Icelandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iceland: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.5
51.2%
-35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.4
30.0%
-25.2
🏀 Free throws18.713.7
73.3%
-13.7
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Turkeytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Turkey: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.8
57.1%
-41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.510.3
40.4%
-30.9
🏀 Free throws21.316.2
76.1%
-16.2
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Aug 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Iceland
LWLLWLWLLL
Turkey
WWWWWWWLWW
#60
League position
#4
-13.1
Net rating
+22.6
100.0
Offensive rating
123.2
113.1
Defensive rating
100.6
48.4%
Effective FG%
58.6%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
17.2%
Turnover %
15.5%
25.0%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
30.0%
3-point %
40.4%
70.7%
Assist %
69.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Iceland   ■ Turkey
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Iceland wins
1
Turkey wins
DateGameScore
23/02/25Iceland v Turkey83-71
25/02/24Turkey v Iceland76-75
Icelandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/08/26ASerbia73-102
05/07/26AGreat Britain88-86
02/07/26HItaly83-102
02/03/26ALithuania82-99
27/02/26HLithuania86-85
30/11/25HGreat Britain84-90
27/11/25AItaly81-76
04/09/25AFrance74-114
02/09/25HSlovenia79-87
31/08/25APoland75-84
Turkeylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/08/26HLithuania94-66
06/07/26HSwitzerland95-72
02/07/26ABosnia & Herzegovina82-75
02/03/26HSerbia94-86
27/02/26ASerbia82-78
30/11/25ASwitzerland85-60
27/11/25HBosnia & Herzegovina93-71
14/09/25HGermany83-88
12/09/25AGreece94-68
09/09/25HPoland91-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iceland
World Cup 2027
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL43%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game82.484.381.0
Allowed / game91.492.390.8
Point differential-9.0-8.0-9.8
Avg total173.9176.7171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Turkey
World Cup 2027
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.394.083.0
Allowed / game72.673.871.0
Point differential+16.7+20.2+12.0
Avg total161.9167.8154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia880100%101.870.0+31.8
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada770100%101.479.6+21.9
4 Turkey770100%89.372.6+16.7
5 Croatia1211192%99.273.5+25.8
6 France87188%85.171.6+13.5
7 Poland87188%95.882.2+13.5
8 Germany87188%93.682.1+11.5
9 Argentina76186%86.667.9+18.7
10 Brazil76186%93.178.0+15.1
11 Mexico54180%96.683.4+13.2
12 Dominican Republic54180%91.880.2+11.6
13 Senegal97278%86.370.6+15.8
14 South Sudan97278%82.068.6+13.4
15 Ivory Coast97278%88.276.1+12.1
16 Cameroon97278%76.471.6+4.9
17 New Zealand86275%97.279.8+17.5
18 Japan86275%91.074.8+16.2
19 Lebanon86275%89.674.6+15.0
20 Serbia86275%87.178.1+9.0
21 Ukraine129375%83.275.9+7.3
22 Uruguay75271%85.073.1+11.9
23 Angola96367%86.873.0+13.8
24 Guinea96367%75.266.1+9.1
25 Mali96367%81.478.0+3.4
26 Jordan85362%85.571.0+14.5
27 Spain85362%90.178.8+11.4
28 Iran85362%74.967.8+7.1
29 Italy85362%83.076.9+6.1
30 China85362%84.581.6+2.9
31 Georgia85362%85.582.6+2.9
32 Finland85362%80.679.2+1.4
33 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
34 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
35 Nigeria95456%79.976.9+3.0
36 Tunisia95456%71.769.9+1.8
37 Portugal84450%83.879.5+4.2
38 Hungary126650%80.977.9+3.0
39 Greece84450%77.174.5+2.6
40 Latvia84450%83.481.2+2.1
41 Lithuania84450%85.984.6+1.2
42 Switzerland168850%73.172.8+0.3
43 Slovenia84450%84.083.8+0.2
44 Philippines84450%76.976.8+0.1
45 South Korea84450%78.479.1-0.8
46 Sweden84450%81.183.5-2.4
47 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
48 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
49 Qatar84450%75.981.5-5.6
50 Montenegro84450%71.879.1-7.4
51 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
52 Egypt94544%75.973.1+2.8
53 Bahamas73443%92.393.6-1.3
54 Austria146843%83.084.9-1.9
55 Colombia73443%83.691.4-7.9
56 Iceland73443%82.491.4-9.0
57 Netherlands125742%82.181.1+1.0
58 Bosnia & Herzegovina83538%78.177.1+1.0
59 Estonia83538%80.483.0-2.6
60 Saudi Arabia83538%76.479.6-3.2
61 Chile62433%72.277.2-5.0
62 Cape Verde93633%75.681.3-5.8
63 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
64 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
65 Jamaica62433%86.3102.8-16.5
66 D.R. Congo93633%68.885.7-16.9
67 Puerto Rico72529%87.491.7-4.3
68 Panama72529%74.487.3-12.9
69 Israel82625%79.283.5-4.2
70 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
71 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
72 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
73 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
74 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Syria82625%66.889.9-23.1
77 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
78 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
79 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
80 Venezuela61517%79.087.5-8.5
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium6060%71.880.0-8.2
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua4040%72.095.5-23.5
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Cyprus6060%60.299.0-38.8
93 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Iceland1423191773
Turkey33272030110
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