New Zealand Breakers vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 24 Jan 2013

Tip-off: 06:30

Final 95-76

29-20 29-20 19-26 18-10

Position#2

Record15-3

FormWWWWW

Points / game77.2

Allowed / game70.8

New Zealand Breakers 🏆

Sydney

Position#6

Record10-9

FormLWLLL

Points / game74.4

Allowed / game76.9

NBLRound 16

Other2012-13

Meetings · New Zealand Breakers v Sydney

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Zealand Breakers winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sydney winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Zealand Breakers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

64-89

-25

A22/11

NBL

Melbourne United

94-64

+30

H30/11

NBL

Sydney

62-75

-13

A08/12

NBL

Cairns

97-76

+21

H13/12

NBL

Adelaide

71-66

A28/12

NBL

Cairns

66-61

A31/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

78-76

A05/01

NBL

Townsville

82-78

A11/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

72-71

H17/01

NBL

Adelaide

84-66

+18

A20/01

NBL

27-28

8-17

8-19

21-25

29-16

25-21

19-10

21-17

11-24

20-15

17-14

14-22

18-18

33-19

21-15

25-24

14-28

14-21

19-12

24-5

16-8

19-16

19-20

12-17

16-20

27-22

19-14

16-20

16-23

14-22

29-20

23-13

14-14

16-23

23-16

19-18

18-18

20-20

24-10

22-18

149.2Avg total

77.0Scored

72.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	77.2	70.8	147.9	+6.4	83%
Season at home (8)	81.6	71.6	153.2	+10.0	88%
Season away (10)	73.6	70.1	143.7	+3.5	80%
Last 10 (10)	77.0	72.2	149.2	+4.8	80%
Last 5 (5)	76.4	70.4	146.8	+6.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	85.8	90.8	176.5	-5.0	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	80.6	71.3	152.0	+9.3	91%

This opponent (Sydney) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sydney

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

83-76 OT

A23/11

NBL

Perth

56-75

-19

A30/11

NBL

Adelaide

88-85

A02/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

75-62

+13

H08/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

70-63 OT

H15/12

NBL

Perth

61-95

-34

H30/12

NBL

Adelaide

86-82

H05/01

NBL

Melbourne United

71-74

-3

A06/01

NBL

Adelaide

64-82

-18

A13/01

NBL

Melbourne United

74-77

-3

H18/01

NBL

24-19

20-13

8-15

16-21

14-11

5-26

23-22

14-16

21-20

25-12

15-20

27-33

24-11

15-20

14-17

22-14

21-13

12-9

14-17

9-17

11-29

17-20

19-22

14-24

19-17

22-20

21-22

24-23

22-19

18-20

12-16

19-19

21-22

14-22

10-16

19-22

15-21

21-20

13-12

25-24

149.9Avg total

72.8Scored

77.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	74.4	76.9	151.3	-2.5	53%
Season at home (9)	73.9	76.4	150.3	-2.6	56%
Season away (10)	74.9	77.3	152.2	-2.4	50%
Last 10 (10)	72.8	77.1	149.9	-4.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	71.2	82.0	153.2	-10.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	73.7	80.4	154.1	-6.6	29%
vs Similar (16)	77.2	78.4	155.7	-1.2	56%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

New Zealand BreakersSydney

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.3	42.2	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.3	19.5	41.8	+2.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.6	21.0	42.6	+0.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	19.7	37.6	-1.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	16.6	32.6	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	24.4	24.9	49.2	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.0	18.6	39.6	+2.4	55%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.5	37.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	18.2	37.1	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	18.8	38.4	+0.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	18.2	37.4	+1.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	21.6	39.2	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	18.6	18.6	37.1	+0.0	43%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.9	18.4	38.4	+1.5	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.2	40.2	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	20.1	42.2	+1.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	20.2	38.4	-1.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.6	39.2	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.6	39.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	19.6	22.5	42.1	-2.9	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	20.2	19.3	39.5	+0.9	59%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	19.9	37.8	-2.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.4	19.1	35.5	-2.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	20.7	39.8	-1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	18.2	35.1	-1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.4	38.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.8	20.9	38.7	-3.1	43%	-
vs Similar (16)	17.9	19.1	37.0	-1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

35-45

-10

A22/11

NBL

Melbourne United

54-37

+17

H30/11

NBL

Sydney

31-39

-8

A08/12

NBL

Cairns

51-37

+14

H13/12

NBL

Adelaide

28-49

-21

A28/12

NBL

Cairns

35-24

+11

A31/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

43-42

A05/01

NBL

Townsville

30-45

-15

A11/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

30-37

-7

H17/01

NBL

Adelaide

38-38

A20/01

NBL

76.8Avg total

37.5Scored

39.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	40.5	82.4	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.4	39.6	84.0	+4.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.8	41.2	81.0	-1.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	39.3	76.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	37.2	72.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	44.0	47.4	91.4	-3.4	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	41.2	38.0	79.1	+3.2	68%	-

This opponent (Sydney) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

44-32

+12

A23/11

NBL

Perth

19-37

-18

A30/11

NBL

Adelaide

46-32

+14

A02/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

39-31

H08/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

33-22

+11

H15/12

NBL

Perth

28-49

-21

H30/12

NBL

Adelaide

41-37

H05/01

NBL

Melbourne United

40-39

A06/01

NBL

Adelaide

35-44

-9

A13/01

NBL

Melbourne United

36-41

-5

H18/01

NBL

72.5Avg total

36.1Scored

36.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	38.4	75.6	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.4	37.3	72.6	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.8	39.4	78.2	-0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.1	36.4	72.5	-0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	42.0	78.0	-6.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	36.4	39.5	75.9	-3.1	50%	-
vs Similar (16)	37.9	37.5	75.4	+0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	17.1	36.9	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	18.1	39.2	+2.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	16.2	34.8	+2.3	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	15.0	34.8	+4.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	16.0	38.8	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	20.5	20.6	41.1	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	19.5	15.9	35.3	+3.6	73%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	18.7	36.3	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.9	18.5	36.4	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.2	18.9	36.1	-1.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.9	17.9	32.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	17.6	32.6	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.9	19.2	37.1	-1.3	43%	-
vs Similar (16)	17.2	18.2	35.5	-1.0	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.1	37.4	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.3	17.5	36.8	+1.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	17.9	37.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	17.2	35.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	17.2	19.8	37.0	-2.5	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	20.0	17.5	37.5	+2.5	59%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.6	39.5	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.0	19.4	37.4	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	21.6	41.4	-1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	21.3	40.2	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	22.4	42.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	16.4	18.8	35.1	-2.4	43%	-
vs Similar (16)	21.2	22.2	43.4	-1.0	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	35.2	74.2	+3.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.3	36.9	77.2	+3.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.9	33.8	71.6	+4.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	32.9	72.4	+6.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	33.2	74.4	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	37.8	40.4	78.1	-2.6	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	39.5	33.4	72.8	+6.1	77%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.5	39.3	75.8	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.9	37.9	73.9	-2.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.0	40.5	77.5	-3.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.8	39.2	73.0	-5.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	40.0	75.2	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	34.3	38.0	72.3	-3.7	43%	-
vs Similar (16)	38.4	40.4	78.9	-2.0	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

New Zealand Breakers wins

Sydney wins

Date	Game	Score
08/12/12	Sydney v New Zealand Breakers	75-62
02/11/12	New Zealand Breakers v Sydney	79-76
27/01/12	New Zealand Breakers v Sydney	93-64
28/10/11	New Zealand Breakers v Sydney	76-59
15/10/11	Sydney v New Zealand Breakers	61-98
17/03/11	New Zealand Breakers v Sydney	91-86
05/12/10	Sydney v New Zealand Breakers	80-94
16/10/10	Sydney v New Zealand Breakers	70-83

New Zealand Breakerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/01/13	A	Adelaide	84-66
17/01/13	H	Illawarra Hawks	72-71
11/01/13	A	Townsville	82-78
05/01/13	A	Illawarra Hawks	78-76
31/12/12	A	Cairns	66-61
28/12/12	A	Adelaide	71-66
13/12/12	H	Cairns	97-76
08/12/12	A	Sydney	62-75
30/11/12	H	Melbourne United	94-64
22/11/12	A	Perth	64-89

Sydneylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/01/13	H	Melbourne United	74-77
13/01/13	A	Adelaide	64-82
06/01/13	A	Melbourne United	71-74
05/01/13	H	Adelaide	86-82
30/12/12	H	Perth	61-95
15/12/12	H	Illawarra Hawks	70-63 OT
08/12/12	H	New Zealand Breakers	75-62
02/12/12	A	Adelaide	88-85
30/11/12	A	Perth	56-75
23/11/12	A	Cairns	83-76 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Zealand Breakers

NBL 2012-13

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	83%
Home	WWWWW	88%
Away	WWWWW	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	8	10
Win %	83%	88%	80%
Points / game	77.2	81.6	73.6
Allowed / game	70.8	71.6	70.1
Point differential	+6.4	+10.0	+3.5
Avg total	147.9	153.2	143.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	39%	50%	30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (7)	100% (3)	100% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Sydney

NBL 2012-13

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	53%
Home	WWLWL	56%
Away	WLWLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	53%	56%	50%
Points / game	74.4	73.9	74.9
Allowed / game	76.9	76.4	77.3
Point differential	-2.5	-2.6	-2.4
Avg total	151.3	150.3	152.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	22%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (10)	67% (3)	57% (7)
Overtime %	11%	11%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	South All Stars	1	1	0	100%	134.0	114.0	+20.0
2	New Zealand Breakers	18	15	3	83%	77.2	70.8	+6.4
3	Perth	16	12	4	75%	78.9	69.0	+9.9
4	Sydney	19	10	9	53%	74.4	76.9	-2.5
5	Illawarra Hawks	17	8	9	47%	73.8	72.2	+1.6
6	Melbourne United	15	6	9	40%	74.1	76.1	-2.0
7	Townsville	17	6	11	35%	74.1	80.6	-6.6
8	Adelaide	18	6	12	33%	74.9	77.7	-2.8
9	Cairns	16	5	11	31%	73.4	77.3	-3.9
10	North All Stars	1	0	1	0%	114.0	134.0	-20.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
New Zealand Breakers	29	29	19	18	95
Sydney	20	20	26	10	76

← all games of the day

New Zealand Breakers vs Sydney Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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