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Drake vs Illinois (Chi.) Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 74-57
45-28 29-29
Position#8
Record23-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game59.3
Drake 🏆
USA
vs
Position#154
Record16-11
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game74.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Drake v Illinois (Chi.)
21 Jan 2027
DRAK v ILLI
upcoming
12 Feb 2026
DRAK70
ILLI80
19 Feb 2025
DRAK74
ILLI57
03 Dec 2022
DRAK77
ILLI64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Drake winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois (Chi.) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#141
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H16/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
71-53
71
53
+18
A18/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H23/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
69-62 OT
69
62
+7
A25/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H30/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A01/02
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A05/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
85-81 OT
85
81
+4
H08/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A13/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H16/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-30
32-32
32-25
39-28
43-29
38-42
35-25
20-30
36-24
30-28
28-27
47-38
32-18
23-27
41-29
31-43
40-32
44-45
30-31
29-30
134.0Avg total
71.1Scored
62.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)71.259.3130.5+12.088%
Season at home (15)71.356.3127.6+14.987%
Season away (11)71.263.3134.5+7.991%
Last 10 (10)71.162.9134.0+8.290%
Last 5 (5)71.665.8137.4+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)68.066.2134.2+1.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)71.560.0131.5+11.592%
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#214
W
97-93 OT
97
93
+4
H16/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
81-74
81
74
+7
A18/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
78-67
78
67
+11
A23/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
85-89
85
89
-4
H25/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
93-70
93
70
+23
A30/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
83-88
83
88
-5
H01/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
79-81
79
81
-2
H06/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
67-79
67
79
-12
A08/02
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
53-63
53
63
-10
A12/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H16/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-36
43-40
38-38
43-36
47-32
31-35
46-46
39-43
55-39
38-31
41-52
42-36
37-45
42-36
22-30
45-49
20-31
33-32
35-30
28-28
154.1Avg total
77.9Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.974.0152.9+4.959%
Season at home (14)81.274.8156.0+6.457%
Season away (13)76.473.1149.5+3.362%
Last 10 (10)77.976.2154.1+1.750%
Last 5 (5)69.073.8142.8-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)74.872.7147.5+2.267%
vs Similar (15)73.577.9151.5-4.440%
vs Weaker (7)80.068.9148.9+11.171%
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.1+8.11st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: +1.8+1.8
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.1+8.11st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: +1.8+1.8
DrakeIllinois (Chi.)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#141
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H16/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A18/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H23/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A25/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H30/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A01/02
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
32-18
32
18
+14
A05/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H08/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A13/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H16/02
NCAA
62.1Avg total
35.1Scored
27.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.327.362.5+8.077%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.226.562.8+9.771%-
Last 30 away (13)34.028.262.2+5.885%-
Last 10 (10)35.127.062.1+8.190%-
Last 5 (5)34.227.461.6+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)34.633.067.6+1.620%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)34.826.261.0+8.588%-
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#214
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H16/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A18/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A23/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H25/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
55-39
55
39
+16
A30/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H01/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H06/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
22-30
22
30
-8
A08/02
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
20-31
20
31
-11
A12/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H16/02
NCAA
75.3Avg total
37.4Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.135.372.4+1.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.537.777.2+1.836%-
Last 30 away (16)34.933.268.2+1.738%-
Last 10 (10)37.437.975.3-0.530%-
Last 5 (5)31.037.668.6-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)36.832.068.8+4.850%-
vs Similar (15)33.738.371.9-4.67%-
vs Weaker (7)40.732.373.0+8.471%-
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Drake wins
1
Illinois (Chi.) wins
DateGameScore
01/01/25Illinois (Chi.) v Drake74-70
29/02/24Illinois (Chi.) v Drake105-107 OT
11/01/23Illinois (Chi.) v Drake71-76 OT
03/12/22Drake v Illinois (Chi.)77-64
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/25HBradley59-61
13/02/25AIllinois State84-77
08/02/25HIndiana State85-81 OT
05/02/25AMurray State55-45
01/02/25ASouthern Illinois75-65
30/01/25HNorthern Iowa66-52
25/01/25AMissouri State69-62 OT
23/01/25HValparaiso81-71
18/01/25AIndiana State71-53
16/01/25HIllinois State66-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/25HMissouri State63-58
12/02/25AMurray State53-63
08/02/25ASouthern Illinois67-79
06/02/25HIllinois State79-81
01/02/25HIndiana State83-88
30/01/25ABradley93-70
25/01/25HSouthern Illinois85-89
23/01/25AEvansville78-67
18/01/25AValparaiso81-74
16/01/25HMurray State97-93 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Drake
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL88%
HomeWWWWL87%
AwayWWWWW91%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %88%87%91%
Points / game71.271.371.2
Allowed / game59.356.363.3
Point differential+12.0+14.9+7.9
Avg total130.5127.6134.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%67%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %12%7%18%
Illinois (Chi.)
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW59%
HomeWLLLW57%
AwayWWWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %59%57%62%
Points / game78.981.276.4
Allowed / game74.074.873.1
Point differential+4.9+6.4+3.3
Avg total152.9156.0149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%29%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (8)0% (1)
Overtime %11%14%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake2623388%71.259.3+12.0
2 Bradley2721678%78.569.0+9.5
3 Northern Iowa2718967%74.967.5+7.4
4 Belmont2718967%81.378.8+2.6
5 Illinois (Chi.)27161159%78.974.0+4.9
6 Illinois State27151256%76.572.7+3.8
7 Murray State28141450%71.768.9+2.8
8 Indiana State28131546%79.879.3+0.5
9 Southern Illinois28121643%72.273.1-0.9
10 Valparaiso27111641%76.175.3+0.8
11 Evansville28111739%66.870.7-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Drake452974
Illinois (Chi.)282957
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