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Illinois State vs Illinois (Chi.) Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 59-63 (OT)
25-28 26-23 8-12
Position#96
Record12-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game65.9
vs
Position#155
Record6-10
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game72.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Illinois State v Illinois (Chi.)
10 Jan 2026
ILLI59
ILLI63
29 Dec 2024
ILLI67
ILLI73
07 Feb 2024
ILLI56
ILLI61
01 Feb 2023
ILLI68
ILLI62
18 Dec 2019
ILLI67
ILLI66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois (Chi.) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte
#216
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H27/11
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H28/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
89-78
89
78
+11
H04/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
95-53
95
53
+42
H07/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A13/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A19/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H21/12
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
73-56
73
56
+17
A30/12
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
73-47
73
47
+26
H01/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
43-34
36-35
33-36
39-29
49-41
40-37
45-13
50-40
33-40
45-43
30-35
45-33
42-25
43-40
31-27
42-29
46-28
27-19
23-35
48-42
145.1Avg total
79.0Scored
66.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.465.9145.3+13.475%
Season at home (9)84.059.1143.1+24.9100%
Season away (7)73.474.7148.1-1.343%
Last 10 (10)79.066.1145.1+12.980%
Last 5 (5)75.462.6138.0+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.574.8148.2-1.225%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.074.3150.3+1.770%
vs Weaker (15)77.165.9143.1+11.273%
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Robert Morris
#74
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A26/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H03/12
NCAA
Yale
#22
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A07/12
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A13/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
54-60
54
60
-6
H17/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
76-88 OT
76
88
-12
A21/12
NCAA
Illinois Tech
#508
W
102-64
102
64
+38
H29/12
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H02/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
59-66
59
66
-7
A04/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-50
45-38
26-35
36-28
32-35
34-45
43-30
41-57
27-23
27-37
38-31
33-40
50-24
52-40
40-36
37-45
32-31
27-35
31-21
39-36
145.8Avg total
72.4Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)76.172.6148.7+3.438%
Season at home (8)79.865.5145.2+14.262%
Season away (8)72.479.8152.1-7.412%
Last 10 (10)72.473.4145.8-1.020%
Last 5 (5)76.871.2148.0+5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.078.5152.5-4.525%
vs Similar ◀ (12)69.574.4143.9-4.925%
vs Weaker (13)76.171.8147.9+4.254%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: +6.8+6.82nd half: -3.0-3.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: +6.8+6.82nd half: -3.0-3.0
Illinois StateIllinois (Chi.)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte
#216
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H27/11
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H28/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H04/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
45-13
45
13
+32
H07/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A13/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A19/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H21/12
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A30/12
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H01/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A08/01
NCAA
68.9Avg total
37.5Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.632.268.8+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.929.570.4+11.481%-
Last 30 away (14)31.735.467.1-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)37.531.468.9+6.160%-
Last 5 (5)34.430.064.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.533.865.2-2.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)34.936.271.1-1.350%-
vs Weaker (15)38.329.968.3+8.473%-
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Robert Morris
#74
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A26/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H03/12
NCAA
Yale
#22
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A07/12
NCAA
Belmont
#25
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A13/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
27-23
27
23
+4
H17/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A21/12
NCAA
Illinois Tech
#508
W
50-24
50
24
+26
H29/12
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H02/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A04/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
31-21
31
21
+10
H08/01
NCAA
66.4Avg total
34.8Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.634.770.2+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.833.069.8+3.867%-
Last 30 away (15)34.336.370.7-2.033%-
Last 10 (10)34.831.666.4+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)38.228.666.8+9.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.540.078.5-1.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)32.736.369.0-3.742%-
vs Weaker (13)36.632.268.8+4.462%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Illinois State wins
3
Illinois (Chi.) wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/26AValparaiso71-77
01/01/26HEvansville73-47
30/12/25ADrake73-56
21/12/25HIndiana State85-65
19/12/25ASouthern Illinois75-68
13/12/25AUtah State78-83
07/12/25HChicago State95-53
04/12/25HEastern Kentucky89-78
28/11/25HFurman72-65
27/11/25HCharlotte79-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/26HSouthern Illinois70-57
04/01/26AValparaiso59-66
02/01/26HMurray State77-81
29/12/25HIllinois Tech102-64
21/12/25ACharlotte76-88 OT
17/12/25HNorthern Iowa54-60
13/12/25ABelmont84-87
07/12/25AYale66-80
03/12/25HArkansas-Pine Bluff62-63
26/11/25ARobert Morris74-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %75%100%43%
Points / game79.484.073.4
Allowed / game65.959.174.7
Point differential+13.4+24.9-1.3
Avg total145.3143.1148.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%89%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illinois (Chi.)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW38%
HomeLLWLW62%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %38%62%12%
Points / game76.179.872.4
Allowed / game72.665.579.8
Point differential+3.4+14.2-7.4
Avg total148.7145.2152.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State1815383%87.977.1+10.9
2 Belmont1814478%81.971.0+10.9
3 Illinois State1612475%79.465.9+13.4
4 Northern Iowa1612475%69.658.6+11.1
5 Bradley1711665%78.471.3+7.1
6 Drake168850%76.571.1+5.4
7 Southern Illinois178947%76.873.4+3.4
8 Indiana State178947%75.473.7+1.6
9 Valparaiso178947%71.871.1+0.6
10 Illinois (Chi.)1661038%76.172.6+3.4
11 Evansville1851328%67.072.6-5.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Illinois State2526859
Illinois (Chi.)28231263
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