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Illinois (Chi.) vs Illinois State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#111
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game64.8
vs
Position#300
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game75.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Illinois (Chi.) v Illinois State
30 Jan 2027
ILLI v ILLI
upcoming
15 Feb 2026
ILLI83
ILLI56
05 Feb 2025
ILLI79
ILLI81
30 Nov 2023
ILLI64
ILLI69
28 Dec 2022
ILLI55
ILLI51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois (Chi.) win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois (Chi.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#170
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H21/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
93-86 OT
93
86
+7
H25/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
63-79
63
79
-16
A01/03
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
92-79
92
79
+13
A06/03
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
72-51
72
51
+21
H07/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
69-84
69
84
-15
H08/03
NCAA
St. Francis (ILL)
#485
W
96-47
96
47
+49
H02/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#405
W
79-56
79
56
+23
H07/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#199
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H10/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#105
L
61-84
61
84
-23
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-31
38-40
39-28
33-44
31-35
32-44
50-32
42-47
34-27
38-24
41-48
28-36
51-31
45-16
30-32
49-24
33-32
49-40
24-42
37-42
148.3Avg total
77.4Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.564.8144.2+14.875%
Season at home (3)85.758.3144.0+27.3100%
Season away (1)61.084.0145.0-23.00%
Last 10 (10)77.470.9148.3+6.560%
Last 5 (5)77.468.6146.0+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)66.080.0146.0-14.00%
vs Similar (15)73.671.9145.5+1.753%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)76.265.6141.8+10.569%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
56-83
56
83
-27
A15/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
78-61
78
61
+17
H19/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
60-74
60
74
-14
A22/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A26/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H01/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
52-74
52
74
-22
H07/03
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#105
L
85-90 OT
85
90
-5
A03/11
NCAA
Central State (OH)
#404
W
100-55
100
55
+45
H06/11
NCAA
Purdue
#126
L
59-76
59
76
-17
A10/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#264
L
81-82 OT
81
82
-1
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-33
30-50
36-28
42-33
31-43
29-31
28-23
43-46
38-40
43-34
27-35
25-39
39-33
38-44
56-29
44-26
28-36
31-40
31-31
38-38
146.1Avg total
72.3Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.275.8157.0+5.525%
Season at home (1)100.055.0155.0+45.0100%
Season away (3)75.082.7157.7-7.70%
Last 10 (10)72.373.8146.1-1.540%
Last 5 (5)75.475.4150.8+0.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)81.586.5168.0-5.00%
vs Similar (15)66.668.1134.7-1.553%
vs Weaker (13)83.669.5153.2+14.169%
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +3.4+3.42nd half: -1.8-1.8
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +3.4+3.42nd half: -1.8-1.8
Illinois (Chi.)Illinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois (Chi.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#170
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H21/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H25/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A01/03
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A06/03
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H07/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H08/03
NCAA
St. Francis (ILL)
#485
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H02/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#405
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H07/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#199
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H10/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#105
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A14/11
NCAA
70.0Avg total
36.2Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.231.066.1+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.829.465.2+6.475%-
Last 30 away (14)34.432.767.1+1.757%-
Last 10 (10)36.233.870.0+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.837.072.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.035.067.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (15)33.932.366.2+1.560%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)35.729.164.8+6.677%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A15/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H19/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A22/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A26/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H01/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H07/03
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#105
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A03/11
NCAA
Central State (OH)
#404
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H06/11
NCAA
Purdue
#126
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A10/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#264
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A14/11
NCAA
67.1Avg total
34.0Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.332.567.8+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.329.467.7+8.969%-
Last 30 away (14)31.836.167.9-4.329%-
Last 10 (10)34.033.167.1+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)36.232.869.0+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)36.036.572.5-0.550%-
vs Similar (15)31.031.862.8-0.840%-
vs Weaker (13)40.132.772.8+7.462%-
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Illinois (Chi.) wins
4
Illinois State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASt. Marys (CA)61-84
10/11/26HNC Greensboro82-72
07/11/26HRobert Morris79-56
02/11/26HSt. Francis (ILL)96-47
08/03/26HNorthern Iowa69-84
07/03/26HDrake72-51
06/03/26AMurray State92-79
01/03/26AIndiana State63-79
25/02/26HBradley93-86 OT
21/02/26HValparaiso67-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ANorth Dakota St81-82 OT
10/11/26APurdue59-76
06/11/26HCentral State (OH)100-55
03/11/26ASt. Marys (CA)85-90 OT
07/03/26HNorthern Iowa52-74
01/03/26HBelmont81-74
26/02/26ANorthern Iowa71-69
22/02/26ABradley60-74
19/02/26HMurray State78-61
15/02/26AIllinois (Chi.)56-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois (Chi.)
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game79.585.761.0
Allowed / game64.858.384.0
Point differential+14.8+27.3-23.0
Avg total144.2144.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illinois State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game81.2100.075.0
Allowed / game75.855.082.7
Point differential+5.5+45.0-7.7
Avg total157.0155.0157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %50%0%67%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State440100%95.067.5+27.5
2 Drake330100%85.762.7+23.0
3 Illinois (Chi.)43175%79.564.8+14.8
4 Belmont43175%73.562.2+11.2
5 Southern Illinois32167%85.070.0+15.0
6 Valparaiso32167%77.373.0+4.3
7 Indiana State42250%80.265.8+14.5
8 Evansville42250%76.076.2-0.2
9 Bradley52340%59.856.4+3.4
10 Northern Iowa52340%85.286.0-0.8
11 Illinois State41325%81.275.8+5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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