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Illinois State vs Long Beach State Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 11 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#300
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game75.8
vs
Position#287
Record1-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game69.3
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Illinois State v Long Beach State
10 Dec 2026
ILLI v LONG
upcoming
20 Nov 2023
ILLI61
LONG52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Long Beach State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
56-83
56
83
-27
A15/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
78-61
78
61
+17
H19/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
60-74
60
74
-14
A22/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A26/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H01/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
52-74
52
74
-22
H07/03
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#105
L
85-90 OT
85
90
-5
A03/11
NCAA
Central State (OH)
#404
W
100-55
100
55
+45
H06/11
NCAA
Purdue
#126
L
59-76
59
76
-17
A10/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#264
L
81-82 OT
81
82
-1
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-33
30-50
36-28
42-33
31-43
29-31
28-23
43-46
38-40
43-34
27-35
25-39
39-33
38-44
56-29
44-26
28-36
31-40
31-31
38-38
146.1Avg total
72.3Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.275.8157.0+5.525%
Season at home (1)100.055.0155.0+45.0100%
Season away (3)75.082.7157.7-7.70%
Last 10 (10)72.373.8146.1-1.540%
Last 5 (5)75.475.4150.8+0.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.586.5168.0-5.00%
vs Similar (15)66.668.1134.7-1.553%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)83.669.5153.2+14.169%
This opponent (Long Beach State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Long Beach StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Davis
#139
L
54-71
54
71
-17
A14/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
58-69
58
69
-11
H20/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
76-78
76
78
-2
H22/02
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
L
92-102
92
102
-10
A27/02
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
88-87
88
87
+1
A01/03
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
70-76 OT
70
76
-6
H06/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
W
84-75
84
75
+9
A08/03
NCAA
Utah Utes
#71
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A03/11
NCAA
Montana State
#286
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A07/11
NCAA
Pacific
#149
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-41
27-30
20-24
38-45
38-46
38-32
40-48
52-54
44-43
44-44
34-31
28-31
44-34
40-41
40-28
23-38
32-41
38-42
33-34
29-25
148.3Avg total
71.7Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)65.069.3134.3-4.333%
Season at home (1)62.059.0121.0+3.0100%
Season away (2)66.574.5141.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)71.776.6148.3-4.930%
Last 5 (5)69.871.8141.6-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)70.676.6147.2-5.917%
vs Similar (8)77.181.1158.2-4.038%
vs Weaker (4)90.876.5167.2+14.2100%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: -2.5-2.5
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: -2.5-2.5
Illinois StateLong Beach State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A15/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H19/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A22/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A26/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H01/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H07/03
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#105
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A03/11
NCAA
Central State (OH)
#404
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H06/11
NCAA
Purdue
#126
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A10/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#264
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A14/11
NCAA
67.1Avg total
34.0Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.332.567.8+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.329.467.7+8.969%-
Last 30 away (14)31.836.167.9-4.329%-
Last 10 (10)34.033.167.1+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)36.232.869.0+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.036.572.5-0.550%-
vs Similar (15)31.031.862.8-0.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)40.132.772.8+7.462%-
This opponent (Long Beach State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Long Beach StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Davis
#139
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A14/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
20-24
20
24
-4
H20/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H22/02
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A27/02
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A01/03
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H06/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A08/03
NCAA
Utah Utes
#71
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A03/11
NCAA
Montana State
#286
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A07/11
NCAA
Pacific
#149
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H12/11
NCAA
72.2Avg total
35.2Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.237.172.3-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.535.471.9+1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)33.938.872.7-4.927%-
Last 10 (10)35.237.072.2-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)36.633.670.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)32.536.869.3-4.328%-
vs Similar (8)36.937.073.9-0.138%-
vs Weaker (4)44.238.582.8+5.875%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Illinois State wins
0
Long Beach State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ANorth Dakota St81-82 OT
10/11/26APurdue59-76
06/11/26HCentral State (OH)100-55
03/11/26ASt. Marys (CA)85-90 OT
07/03/26HNorthern Iowa52-74
01/03/26HBelmont81-74
26/02/26ANorthern Iowa71-69
22/02/26ABradley60-74
19/02/26HMurray State78-61
15/02/26AIllinois (Chi.)56-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HPacific62-59
07/11/26AMontana State70-83
03/11/26AUtah Utes63-66
08/03/26AHawaii84-75
06/03/26HUC Davis70-76 OT
01/03/26ACSU Bakersfield88-87
27/02/26ACal Poly92-102
22/02/26HCS Northridge76-78
20/02/26HUC Irvine58-69
14/02/26AUC Davis54-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game81.2100.075.0
Allowed / game75.855.082.7
Point differential+5.5+45.0-7.7
Avg total157.0155.0157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %50%0%67%
Long Beach State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game65.062.066.5
Allowed / game69.359.074.5
Point differential-4.3+3.0-8.0
Avg total134.3121.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State440100%95.067.5+27.5
2 Drake330100%85.762.7+23.0
3 Illinois (Chi.)43175%79.564.8+14.8
4 Belmont43175%73.562.2+11.2
5 Southern Illinois32167%85.070.0+15.0
6 Valparaiso32167%77.373.0+4.3
7 Indiana State42250%80.265.8+14.5
8 Evansville42250%76.076.2-0.2
9 Bradley52340%59.856.4+3.4
10 Northern Iowa52340%85.286.0-0.8
11 Illinois State41325%81.275.8+5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC Irvine330100%91.061.7+29.3
2 UC Santa Barbara330100%83.761.7+22.0
3 CSU Bakersfield330100%91.772.3+19.3
4 Hawaii43175%81.863.0+18.8
5 UC Riverside43175%83.567.8+15.8
6 UC Davis43175%74.064.0+10.0
7 CS Fullerton32167%88.786.0+2.7
8 UC San Diego32167%87.786.7+1.0
9 Cal Poly42250%79.084.8-5.8
10 CS Northridge31233%84.381.0+3.3
11 Long Beach State31233%65.069.3-4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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