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Murray State vs Illinois State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 76-65
44-31 32-34
Position#180
Record1-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game117.0
Allowed / game86.5
Murray State 🏆
USA
vs
Illinois State
USA
Position#311
Record2-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game108.7
Allowed / game91.3
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Murray State v Illinois State
17 Dec 2026
MURR v ILLI
upcoming
28 Jan 2026
MURR65
ILLI70
02 Jan 2025
MURR68
ILLI74
30 Jan 2024
MURR59
ILLI61
01 Dec 2022
MURR70
ILLI67
05 Dec 2020
MURR76
ILLI65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Peay
#60
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A14/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#291
W
85-57
85
57
+28
H15/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#167
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A21/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#329
W
59-58
59
58
+1
A22/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#224
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H28/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H01/03
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H07/03
NCAA
Belmont
#30
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A08/03
NCAA
Greenville
#482
W
173-95
173
95
+78
H29/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#327
L
61-78
61
78
-17
A03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-35
34-36
45-32
40-25
32-17
28-46
36-19
23-39
29-29
45-33
36-33
39-28
36-29
37-32
32-33
43-43
87-41
86-54
30-34
31-44
148.5Avg total
80.3Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)117.086.5203.5+30.550%
Season at home (1)173.095.0268.0+78.0100%
Season away (1)61.078.0139.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)80.368.2148.5+12.160%
Last 5 (5)91.474.2165.6+17.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)73.369.2142.5+4.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)78.366.8145.1+11.574%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#29
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A13/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#173
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H16/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
69-84
69
84
-15
A20/02
NCAA
Drake
#138
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H22/02
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
71-74 OT
71
74
-3
H27/02
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
71-60
71
60
+11
A29/02
NCAA
Drake
#138
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A06/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
67-94
67
94
-27
A25/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#200
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H28/11
NCAA
Greenville
#482
W
177-108
177
108
+69
H02/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-40
30-31
43-26
19-39
38-34
31-50
29-32
28-21
33-28
34-39
34-27
37-33
36-38
29-37
25-42
42-52
42-30
40-42
83-50
94-58
154.0Avg total
78.4Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)108.791.3200.0+17.367%
Season at home (2)129.590.0219.5+39.5100%
Season away (1)67.094.0161.0-27.00%
Last 10 (10)78.475.6154.0+2.840%
Last 5 (5)92.481.8174.2+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)64.473.1137.5-8.718%
vs Similar (6)70.566.2136.7+4.367%
vs Weaker (1)177.0108.0285.0+69.0100%
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.5+9.51st half: +4.9+4.92nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: -1.8-1.8
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.5+9.51st half: +4.9+4.92nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: -1.8-1.8
Murray StateIllinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Peay
#60
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A14/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#291
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H15/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#167
W
32-17
32
17
+15
A21/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#329
W
36-19
36
19
+17
A22/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#224
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H28/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H01/03
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H07/03
NCAA
Belmont
#30
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A08/03
NCAA
Greenville
#482
W
87-41
87
41
+46
H29/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#327
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A03/12
NCAA
69.9Avg total
39.7Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.330.667.8+6.767%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.930.971.9+10.075%-
Last 30 away (14)33.130.163.2+2.957%-
Last 10 (10)39.730.269.9+9.560%-
Last 5 (5)44.234.078.2+10.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)32.532.865.3-0.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)38.230.168.3+8.174%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#29
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A13/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#173
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H16/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A20/02
NCAA
Drake
#138
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H22/02
NCAA
Bradley
#76
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H27/02
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A29/02
NCAA
Drake
#138
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A06/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A25/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#200
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H28/11
NCAA
Greenville
#482
W
83-50
83
50
+33
H02/12
NCAA
74.3Avg total
39.6Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.133.666.7-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.229.463.6+4.860%-
Last 30 away (15)32.037.869.8-5.827%-
Last 10 (10)39.634.774.3+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)44.037.481.4+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)30.633.864.4-3.236%-
vs Similar (6)33.831.365.2+2.550%-
vs Weaker (1)83.050.0133.0+33.0100%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Murray State wins
0
Illinois State wins
No previous meetings.
Murray Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/20AMiddle Tenn. St.61-78
29/11/20HGreenville173-95
08/03/20ABelmont75-76
07/03/20HAustin Peay73-61
01/03/20HAustin Peay75-61
28/02/20HEastern Kentucky74-62
22/02/20ASiu Edwardsville59-58
21/02/20AEastern Illinois60-63
15/02/20HMorehead State85-57
14/02/20AAustin Peay68-71
Illinois Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/20HGreenville177-108
28/11/20HUMass Lowell82-72
25/11/20AOhio State67-94
06/03/20ADrake65-75
29/02/20AEvansville71-60
27/02/20HBradley71-74 OT
22/02/20HDrake57-53
20/02/20ALoyola Chicago69-84
16/02/20HValparaiso62-65
13/02/20ANorthern Iowa63-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game117.0173.061.0
Allowed / game86.595.078.0
Point differential+30.5+78.0-17.0
Avg total203.5268.0139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illinois State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game108.7129.567.0
Allowed / game91.390.094.0
Point differential+17.3+39.5-27.0
Avg total200.0219.5161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake330100%78.763.0+15.7
2 Southern Illinois110100%87.079.0+8.0
3 Belmont43175%82.075.5+6.5
4 Illinois (Chi.)43175%67.862.8+5.0
5 Illinois State32167%108.791.3+17.3
6 Bradley53260%74.858.0+16.8
7 Murray State21150%117.086.5+30.5
8 Northern Iowa41325%80.073.5+6.5
9 Valparaiso3030%60.770.3-9.7
10 Evansville3030%64.078.7-14.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State443276
Illinois State313465
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