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Illinois State vs North Dakota St Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 75-65
28-35 47-30
Position#240
Record6-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game66.2
Allowed / game65.6
vs
Position#235
Record7-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game69.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Illinois State v North Dakota St
13 Dec 2026
ILLI v NORT
upcoming
17 Dec 2023
ILLI75
NORT65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Dakota St winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lourdes
#415
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H07/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A12/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H16/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H20/11
NCAA
High Point
#29
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A21/11
NCAA
Wright State
#160
L
49-74
49
74
-25
A22/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A01/12
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H03/12
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#177
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H07/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#72
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H10/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-29
37-27
34-46
37-34
34-24
35-37
32-24
29-28
30-37
42-37
21-39
28-35
30-36
39-28
35-33
41-39
30-26
32-33
22-27
36-37
131.8Avg total
66.2Scored
65.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)66.265.6131.8+0.660%
Season at home (6)66.860.7127.5+6.283%
Season away (4)65.273.0138.2-7.825%
Last 10 (10)66.265.6131.8+0.660%
Last 5 (5)62.866.6129.4-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)64.173.7137.8-9.513%
vs Similar ◀ (12)66.265.4131.7+0.858%
vs Weaker (2)70.557.0127.5+13.5100%
This opponent (North Dakota St) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North Dakota StUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mount Marty
#468
W
93-66
93
66
+27
H09/11
NCAA
Creighton
#43
L
60-89
60
89
-29
A11/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#133
L
53-68
53
68
-15
A14/11
NCAA
Montana
#65
W
78-69
78
69
+9
A17/11
NCAA
UW-Stout
#447
W
101-72
101
72
+29
H21/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A26/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A28/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
83-78 OT
83
78
+5
H05/12
NCAA
Portland
#305
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H08/12
NCAA
Oak Hills Christian
#712
W
108-14
108
14
+94
H10/12
NCAA
1H
2H
50-41
43-25
31-41
29-48
29-38
24-30
40-33
38-36
53-35
48-37
40-35
31-51
27-32
38-46
36-28
36-44
36-33
42-34
60-5
48-9
147.7Avg total
79.0Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.169.4148.5+9.764%
Season at home (5)92.659.4152.0+33.2100%
Season away (6)67.877.7145.5-9.833%
Last 10 (10)79.068.7147.7+10.360%
Last 5 (5)81.064.6145.6+16.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.083.7150.7-16.717%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.767.5144.2+9.290%
vs Weaker (13)77.668.7146.3+8.977%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: +8.1+8.12nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +1.7+1.7
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: +8.1+8.12nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +1.7+1.7
Illinois StateNorth Dakota St
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lourdes
#415
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H07/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A12/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H16/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H20/11
NCAA
High Point
#29
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A21/11
NCAA
Wright State
#160
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A22/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A01/12
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H03/12
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#177
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H07/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#72
L
22-27
22
27
-5
H10/12
NCAA
62.7Avg total
30.6Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.534.264.8-3.740%-
Last 30 at home (16)30.530.961.4-0.456%-
Last 30 away (14)30.638.068.6-7.421%-
Last 10 (10)30.632.162.7-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)27.632.259.8-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)29.237.166.3-7.920%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)31.231.863.1-0.650%-
vs Weaker (2)32.529.562.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (North Dakota St) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North Dakota StLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mount Marty
#468
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H09/11
NCAA
Creighton
#43
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A11/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#133
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A14/11
NCAA
Montana
#65
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A17/11
NCAA
UW-Stout
#447
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H21/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A26/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A28/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H05/12
NCAA
Portland
#305
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H08/12
NCAA
Oak Hills Christian
#712
W
60-5
60
5
+55
H10/12
NCAA
72.3Avg total
40.2Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.533.369.8+3.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.132.072.1+8.160%-
Last 30 away (15)32.934.567.5-1.647%-
Last 10 (10)40.232.172.3+8.170%-
Last 5 (5)39.826.666.4+13.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.741.376.0-6.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.333.170.4+4.260%-
vs Weaker (13)35.031.866.8+3.254%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Illinois State wins
0
North Dakota St wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23HNorfolk State58-64
07/12/23HNorthern Kentucky62-59
03/12/23HMurray State76-72
01/12/23AIllinois (Chi.)69-64
22/11/23AWright State49-74
21/11/23AHigh Point72-74
20/11/23HLong Beach State61-52
16/11/23HEastern Illinois69-61
12/11/23ASt. Louis Billikens71-80
07/11/23HLourdes75-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23HOak Hills Christian108-14
08/12/23HPortland78-67
05/12/23HSan Jose State83-78 OT
28/11/23ASan Jose State65-78
26/11/23AGrand Canyon71-86
21/11/23HUW-Stout101-72
17/11/23AMontana78-69
14/11/23AUC Davis53-68
11/11/23ACreighton60-89
09/11/23HMount Marty93-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %60%83%25%
Points / game66.266.865.2
Allowed / game65.660.773.0
Point differential+0.6+6.2-7.8
Avg total131.8127.5138.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
North Dakota St
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW64%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%100%33%
Points / game79.192.667.8
Allowed / game69.459.477.7
Point differential+9.7+33.2-9.8
Avg total148.5152.0145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %18%20%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State1110191%88.071.0+17.0
2 Drake1110191%77.566.9+10.6
3 Evansville108280%81.070.4+10.6
4 Belmont128467%81.779.9+1.8
5 Illinois (Chi.)117464%73.462.5+10.8
6 Southern Illinois106460%76.266.2+10.0
7 Bradley106460%72.371.3+1.0
8 Illinois State106460%66.265.6+0.6
9 Northern Iowa125742%77.974.7+3.2
10 Valparaiso114736%67.369.4-2.1
11 Murray State103730%72.471.3+1.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Dakota128467%75.268.3+6.9
2 North Dakota St117464%79.169.4+9.7
3 South Dakota Coyotes117464%80.674.3+6.4
4 St. Thomas (Minn.)127558%69.963.4+6.5
5 South Dakota St.116555%76.569.8+6.6
6 Denver116555%82.477.7+4.6
7 Nebraska O.126650%73.869.8+4.0
8 Oral Roberts94544%76.472.9+3.6
9 UMKC125742%72.270.0+2.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois State284775
North Dakota St353065
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