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Illinois State vs North Dakota St Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 13 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Scheduled
Position#301
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game75.8
vs
Position#292
Record2-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game81.3
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Illinois State v North Dakota St
13 Dec 2026
ILLI v NORT
upcoming
17 Dec 2023
ILLI75
NORT65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
North Dakota St win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
56-83
56
83
-27
A15/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
78-61
78
61
+17
H19/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
60-74
60
74
-14
A22/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A26/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H01/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
52-74
52
74
-22
H07/03
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#105
L
85-90 OT
85
90
-5
A03/11
NCAA
Central State (OH)
#406
W
100-55
100
55
+45
H06/11
NCAA
Purdue
#126
L
59-76
59
76
-17
A10/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#292
L
81-82 OT
81
82
-1
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-33
30-50
36-28
42-33
31-43
29-31
28-23
43-46
38-40
43-34
27-35
25-39
39-33
38-44
56-29
44-26
28-36
31-40
31-31
38-38
146.1Avg total
72.3Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.275.8157.0+5.525%
Season at home (1)100.055.0155.0+45.0100%
Season away (3)75.082.7157.7-7.70%
Last 10 (10)72.373.8146.1-1.540%
Last 5 (5)75.475.4150.8+0.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.586.5168.0-5.00%
vs Similar (15)66.668.1134.7-1.553%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)83.669.5153.2+14.169%
This opponent (North Dakota St) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North Dakota StUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oral Roberts
#338
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H06/03
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
74-50
74
50
+24
H08/03
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H09/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
67-92
67
92
-25
A19/03
NCAA
MN-Crookston
#422
W
90-59
90
59
+31
H03/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#105
L
64-105
64
105
-41
A05/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#138
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A07/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#61
L
80-91
80
91
-11
A08/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#301
W
82-81 OT
82
81
+1
H14/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#61
L
69-73
69
73
-4
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-26
40-39
40-25
34-25
38-30
32-32
25-45
42-47
38-26
52-33
26-45
38-60
31-45
39-34
32-38
48-53
31-31
38-38
–
–
149.9Avg total
74.2Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.881.3157.2-5.533%
Season at home (3)80.371.0151.3+9.367%
Season away (3)71.391.7163.0-20.30%
Last 10 (10)74.275.7149.9-1.550%
Last 5 (5)73.085.8158.8-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)73.085.8158.8-12.820%
vs Similar (4)67.578.8146.2-11.225%
vs Weaker (19)82.570.2152.7+12.389%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: +0.2+0.2
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: +0.2+0.2
Illinois StateNorth Dakota St
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A15/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H19/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A22/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A26/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H01/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H07/03
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#105
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A03/11
NCAA
Central State (OH)
#406
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H06/11
NCAA
Purdue
#126
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A10/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#292
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A14/11
NCAA
67.1Avg total
34.0Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.332.567.8+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.329.467.7+8.969%-
Last 30 away (14)31.836.167.9-4.329%-
Last 10 (10)34.033.167.1+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)36.232.869.0+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.036.572.5-0.550%-
vs Similar (15)31.031.862.8-0.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)40.132.772.8+7.462%-
This opponent (North Dakota St) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North Dakota StLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oral Roberts
#338
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H06/03
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H08/03
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H09/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A19/03
NCAA
MN-Crookston
#422
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H03/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#105
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A05/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#138
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A07/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#61
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A08/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#301
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H14/11
NCAA
67.6Avg total
33.0Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.334.372.6+4.159%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.531.170.5+8.467%-
Last 30 away (14)37.137.774.9-0.650%-
Last 10 (9)33.034.667.6-1.644%-
Last 5 (5)31.637.068.6-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)30.039.869.8-9.80%-
vs Similar (4)29.842.572.2-12.80%-
vs Weaker (19)40.931.972.8+9.179%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Illinois State wins
1
North Dakota St wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ANorth Dakota St81-82 OT
10/11/26APurdue59-76
06/11/26HCentral State (OH)100-55
03/11/26ASt. Marys (CA)85-90 OT
07/03/26HNorthern Iowa52-74
01/03/26HBelmont81-74
26/02/26ANorthern Iowa71-69
22/02/26ABradley60-74
19/02/26HMurray State78-61
15/02/26AIllinois (Chi.)56-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HCSU Bakersfield69-73
14/11/26HIllinois State82-81 OT
08/11/26ACSU Bakersfield80-91
07/11/26ASan Francisco70-79
05/11/26ASt. Marys (CA)64-105
03/11/26HMN-Crookston90-59
19/03/26AMichigan State67-92
09/03/26HNorth Dakota70-62
08/03/26HNebraska O.74-50
06/03/26HOral Roberts76-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game81.2100.075.0
Allowed / game75.855.082.7
Point differential+5.5+45.0-7.7
Avg total157.0155.0157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %50%0%67%
North Dakota St
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game75.880.371.3
Allowed / game81.371.091.7
Point differential-5.5+9.3-20.3
Avg total157.2151.3163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State440100%95.067.5+27.5
2 Drake330100%85.762.7+23.0
3 Illinois (Chi.)43175%79.564.8+14.8
4 Belmont43175%73.562.2+11.2
5 Southern Illinois32167%85.070.0+15.0
6 Valparaiso32167%77.373.0+4.3
7 Indiana State42250%80.265.8+14.5
8 Evansville42250%76.076.2-0.2
9 Bradley52340%59.856.4+3.4
10 Northern Iowa52340%85.286.0-0.8
11 Illinois State41325%81.275.8+5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Dakota St.440100%72.857.5+15.2
2 Nebraska O.53260%68.277.0-8.8
3 Oral Roberts42250%75.560.8+14.8
4 St. Thomas (Minn.)52340%82.478.2+4.2
5 UMKC52340%75.477.8-2.4
6 North Dakota St62433%75.881.3-5.5
7 North Dakota41325%72.886.8-14.0
8 South Dakota Coyotes51420%84.482.8+1.6
9 Denver3030%60.371.7-11.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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