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Illinois vs Ohio State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#86
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game104.5
Allowed / game71.2
Illinois
USA
vs
Ohio State
USA
Position#224
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game79.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Illinois v Ohio State
09 Jan 2027
ILLI v OHIO
upcoming
02 Feb 2025
ILLI87
OHIO79
15 Mar 2024
ILLI77
OHIO74
24 Jan 2023
ILLI69
OHIO60
24 Feb 2022
ILLI83
OHIO86
14 Mar 2021
ILLI91
OHIO88
16 Jan 2021
ILLI81
OHIO87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Ohio State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#57
L
88-91 OT
88
91
-3
H13/03
NCAA
Penn
#115
W
105-70
105
70
+35
H20/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
76-55
76
55
+21
H22/03
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A27/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H28/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A04/04
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#269
W
120-45
120
45
+75
H03/11
NCAA
Penn
#320
W
112-70
112
70
+42
H06/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#26
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A11/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#225
W
108-86
108
86
+22
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-30
42-48
40-30
65-40
35-28
41-27
24-22
41-33
28-32
43-27
29-37
33-34
67-20
53-25
53-30
59-40
29-49
49-35
45-40
63-46
157.1Avg total
88.5Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)104.571.2175.8+33.275%
Season at home (3)113.367.0180.3+46.3100%
Season away (1)78.084.0162.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)88.568.6157.1+19.970%
Last 5 (5)96.071.2167.2+24.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)72.672.2144.8+0.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)86.767.2154.0+19.580%
This opponent (Ohio State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ohio StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#31
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H01/03
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
94-62
94
62
+32
A05/03
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H07/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H12/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A13/03
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H19/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#51
L
83-94
83
94
-11
A03/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#242
W
89-65
89
65
+24
H06/11
NCAA
Marshall
#301
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H09/11
NCAA
Uconn
#30
L
68-84
68
84
-16
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-31
46-43
45-21
49-41
50-33
41-45
34-30
38-39
35-39
32-32
24-39
40-27
37-34
46-60
38-33
51-32
45-27
39-47
40-42
28-42
153.1Avg total
79.4Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.079.2160.2+1.850%
Season at home (2)86.569.5156.0+17.0100%
Season away (2)75.589.0164.5-13.50%
Last 10 (10)79.473.7153.1+5.760%
Last 5 (5)77.676.6154.2+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)71.579.9151.4-8.412%
vs Similar (13)75.574.8150.2+0.746%
vs Weaker (9)84.669.0153.6+15.6100%
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-17-8+0+8+171st half1st half: +6.8+6.81st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: +13.4+13.42nd half: +0.2+0.2
-17-8+0+8+171st half1st half: +6.8+6.81st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: +13.4+13.42nd half: +0.2+0.2
IllinoisOhio State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#57
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H13/03
NCAA
Penn
#115
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H20/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H22/03
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
24-22
24
22
+2
A27/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H28/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A04/04
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#269
W
67-20
67
20
+47
H03/11
NCAA
Penn
#320
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H06/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#26
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A11/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#225
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H14/11
NCAA
70.4Avg total
38.6Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.931.070.9+8.977%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.628.570.1+13.183%-
Last 30 away (12)37.234.872.0+2.567%-
Last 10 (10)38.631.870.4+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)44.635.279.8+9.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)31.235.867.0-4.620%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)41.630.071.6+11.688%-
This opponent (Ohio State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ohio StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#31
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H01/03
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
45-21
45
21
+24
A05/03
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H07/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H12/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A13/03
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H19/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#51
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A03/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#242
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H06/11
NCAA
Marshall
#301
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H09/11
NCAA
Uconn
#30
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A14/11
NCAA
71.3Avg total
38.4Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.634.571.1+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.234.471.6+2.756%-
Last 30 away (12)35.834.570.3+1.350%-
Last 10 (10)38.432.971.3+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)36.835.071.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)35.638.674.2-3.025%-
vs Similar (13)35.234.269.4+1.154%-
vs Weaker (9)39.631.270.8+8.378%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Illinois wins
3
Ohio State wins
DateGameScore
10/12/25Ohio State v Illinois80-88
02/02/25Illinois v Ohio State87-79
15/03/24Illinois v Ohio State77-74
31/01/24Ohio State v Illinois75-87
26/02/23Ohio State v Illinois72-60
25/01/23Illinois v Ohio State69-60
25/02/22Illinois v Ohio State83-86
14/03/21Illinois v Ohio State91-88 OT
06/03/21Ohio State v Illinois68-73
16/01/21Illinois v Ohio State81-87
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSam Houston St.108-86
11/11/26ATexas Tech78-84
06/11/26HPenn112-70
03/11/26HFairleigh Dickinson120-45
04/04/26AUconn62-71
28/03/26HIowa71-59
27/03/26AHouston65-55
22/03/26HVCU Rams76-55
20/03/26HPenn105-70
13/03/26HWisconsin88-91 OT
Ohio Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AUconn68-84
09/11/26HMarshall84-74
06/11/26HYoungstown State89-65
03/11/26ABrigham Young83-94
19/03/26HTCU64-66
13/03/26AMichigan67-71
12/03/26HIowa72-69
07/03/26HIndiana91-78
05/03/26APenn State94-62
01/03/26HPurdue82-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game104.5113.378.0
Allowed / game71.267.084.0
Point differential+33.2+46.3-6.0
Avg total175.8180.3162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ohio State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game81.086.575.5
Allowed / game79.269.589.0
Point differential+1.8+17.0-13.5
Avg total160.2156.0164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA330100%101.358.3+43.0
2 Nebraska330100%89.060.7+28.3
3 Rutgers330100%84.756.3+28.3
4 Michigan State440100%93.066.2+26.8
5 Oregon330100%95.068.7+26.3
6 Indiana440100%89.068.0+21.0
7 Wisconsin330100%79.058.0+21.0
8 Minnesota440100%78.858.5+20.2
9 USC330100%88.371.3+17.0
10 Washington220100%83.570.0+13.5
11 Illinois43175%104.571.2+33.2
12 Purdue43175%78.569.0+9.5
13 Northwestern43175%70.861.8+9.0
14 Iowa32167%85.064.7+20.3
15 Michigan32167%81.774.3+7.3
16 Penn State53260%77.675.6+2.0
17 Ohio State42250%81.079.2+1.8
18 Maryland31233%84.380.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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