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Illinois vs Penn State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 91-52
45-21 46-31
Position#100
Record11-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game67.2
Illinois 🏆
USA
vs
Penn State
USA
Position#185
Record12-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game68.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Illinois v Penn State
12 Dec 2026
ILLI v PENN
upcoming
08 Jan 2025
ILLI91
PENN52
09 Mar 2023
ILLI76
PENN79
10 Dec 2022
ILLI59
PENN74
03 Mar 2022
ILLI60
PENN55
19 Jan 2021
ILLI79
PENN65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Md.-East. Shore
#355
W
87-40
87
40
+47
H23/11
NCAA
UALR
#145
W
92-34
92
34
+58
H26/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H28/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
L
66-70 OT
66
70
-4
A07/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H11/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H14/12
NCAA
Missouri
#89
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A22/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#368
W
117-64
117
64
+53
H29/12
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
109-77
109
77
+32
A03/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A05/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-15
52-25
51-19
41-15
49-34
41-43
27-24
29-32
39-35
47-45
30-31
34-35
37-32
43-45
60-24
57-40
45-38
64-39
42-31
39-46
153.4Avg total
87.2Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)87.667.2154.9+20.479%
Season at home (10)89.164.0153.1+25.180%
Season away (4)84.075.2159.2+8.875%
Last 10 (10)87.266.2153.4+21.080%
Last 5 (5)90.272.2162.4+18.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)52.077.0129.0-25.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)84.377.1161.4+7.267%
vs Weaker (17)89.170.2159.4+18.988%
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fordham
#313
W
85-66
85
66
+19
H25/11
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A26/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
87-64
87
64
+23
H01/12
NCAA
Purdue
#72
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H05/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A11/12
NCAA
Coppin State
#351
W
99-51
99
51
+48
H14/12
NCAA
Drexel
#161
W
75-64
75
64
+11
A21/12
NCAA
Penn
#331
W
86-66
86
66
+20
H29/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
84-80
84
80
+4
H03/01
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H05/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-34
43-32
36-38
31-37
38-28
49-36
40-24
41-46
33-48
43-32
52-21
47-30
37-29
38-35
34-31
52-35
37-34
47-46
29-29
42-48
150.4Avg total
81.1Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)86.868.5155.3+18.380%
Season at home (12)90.367.4157.8+22.992%
Season away (3)72.773.0145.7-0.333%
Last 10 (10)81.169.3150.4+11.870%
Last 5 (5)83.067.6150.6+15.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.578.0147.5-8.525%
vs Similar ◀ (16)76.973.4150.3+3.456%
vs Weaker (10)88.863.0151.8+25.890%
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +13.2+13.21st half: +6.2+6.22nd half2nd half: +8.2+8.22nd half: +5.6+5.6
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +13.2+13.21st half: +6.2+6.22nd half2nd half: +8.2+8.22nd half: +5.6+5.6
IllinoisPenn State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Md.-East. Shore
#355
W
35-15
35
15
+20
H23/11
NCAA
UALR
#145
W
51-19
51
19
+32
H26/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H28/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
27-24
27
24
+3
A07/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H11/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H14/12
NCAA
Missouri
#89
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A22/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#368
W
60-24
60
24
+36
H29/12
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A03/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A05/01
NCAA
69.8Avg total
41.5Scored
28.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.133.574.6+7.683%-
Last 30 at home (19)42.833.576.4+9.384%-
Last 30 away (11)38.233.571.6+4.782%-
Last 10 (10)41.528.369.8+13.290%-
Last 5 (5)42.831.274.0+11.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)23.028.051.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.036.976.9+3.167%-
vs Weaker (17)43.031.474.4+11.6100%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fordham
#313
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H25/11
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A26/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H01/12
NCAA
Purdue
#72
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H05/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A11/12
NCAA
Coppin State
#351
W
52-21
52
21
+31
H14/12
NCAA
Drexel
#161
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A21/12
NCAA
Penn
#331
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H29/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H03/01
NCAA
Indiana
#132
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H05/01
NCAA
69.4Avg total
37.8Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.833.069.8+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.032.272.2+7.879%-
Last 30 away (11)31.434.565.8-3.127%-
Last 10 (10)37.831.669.4+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)37.828.866.6+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.539.872.2-7.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)35.233.168.3+2.256%-
vs Weaker (10)41.130.271.3+10.990%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Illinois wins
4
Penn State wins
DateGameScore
21/02/24Penn State v Illinois90-89
09/03/23Illinois v Penn State76-79
15/02/23Penn State v Illinois93-81
10/12/22Illinois v Penn State59-74
04/03/22Illinois v Penn State60-55
20/01/21Illinois v Penn State79-65
23/12/20Penn State v Illinois81-98
18/02/20Penn State v Illinois56-62
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25AWashington81-77
03/01/25AOregon109-77
29/12/24HChicago State117-64
22/12/24AMissouri80-77
14/12/24HTennessee64-66
11/12/24HWisconsin86-80
07/12/24ANorthwestern66-70 OT
28/11/24HArkansas90-77
26/11/24HUALR92-34
23/11/24HMd.-East. Shore87-40
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25HIndiana71-77
03/01/25HNorthwestern84-80
29/12/24HPenn86-66
21/12/24ADrexel75-64
14/12/24HCoppin State99-51
11/12/24ARutgers76-80
05/12/24HPurdue81-70
01/12/24HBuffalo87-64
26/11/24AClemson67-75
25/11/24HFordham85-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW79%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %79%80%75%
Points / game87.689.184.0
Allowed / game67.264.075.2
Point differential+20.4+25.1+8.8
Avg total154.9153.1159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%70%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %7%0%25%
Penn State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWWWL92%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15123
Win %80%92%33%
Points / game86.890.372.7
Allowed / game68.567.473.0
Point differential+18.3+22.9-0.3
Avg total155.3157.8145.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%83%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oregon1513287%79.669.4+10.2
2 Michigan State1412286%81.166.7+14.4
3 Indiana1613381%79.170.2+8.9
4 Penn State1512380%86.868.5+18.3
5 Michigan1512380%84.767.7+17.1
6 Wisconsin1512380%83.371.3+12.0
7 Nebraska1512380%77.566.7+10.8
8 Illinois1411379%87.667.2+20.4
9 Maryland1511473%85.563.5+22.0
10 UCLA1511473%75.961.5+14.4
11 Iowa1511473%89.977.8+12.1
12 Purdue1511473%77.469.8+7.6
13 Ohio State1510567%81.871.0+10.8
14 Northwestern1510567%74.166.2+7.9
15 Washington149564%74.269.9+4.3
16 USC159660%75.770.4+5.3
17 Rutgers158753%78.275.0+3.2
18 Minnesota158753%68.866.7+2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois454691
Penn State213152
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