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Incarnate Word vs McNeese State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 66-80
30-42 36-38
Position#343
Record5-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Position#7
Record15-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game60.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Incarnate Word v McNeese State
01 Dec 2025
INCA71
MCNE67
20 Jan 2024
INCA66
MCNE80
26 Jan 2023
INCA70
MCNE65
22 Jan 2022
INCA72
MCNE82
13 Jan 2021
INCA83
MCNE61
19 Feb 2020
INCA65
MCNE59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
McNeese State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#256
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A26/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#194
L
82-96
82
96
-14
A02/12
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
L
75-76
75
76
-1
H09/12
NCAA
Rice
#315
L
57-80
57
80
-23
A13/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
67-66
67
66
+1
A21/12
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A31/12
NCAA
Our Lady Of The Lake
#384
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H03/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
65-75
65
75
-10
H06/01
NCAA
Lamar
#146
L
59-75
59
75
-16
A09/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
L
71-97
71
97
-26
A13/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-38
36-29
40-40
42-56
36-36
39-40
34-37
23-43
36-32
31-34
41-37
33-40
45-31
38-43
29-38
36-37
18-37
41-38
35-38
36-59
148.1Avg total
69.8Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)73.578.5152.0-5.031%
Season at home (5)78.870.8149.6+8.060%
Season away (11)71.182.0153.1-10.918%
Last 10 (10)69.878.3148.1-8.520%
Last 5 (5)70.479.6150.0-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)69.576.9146.5-7.427%
vs Similar (13)73.577.1150.6-3.538%
vs Weaker (1)104.063.0167.0+41.0100%
This opponent (McNeese State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
McNeese StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UAB
#77
W
81-60
81
60
+21
A29/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
91-80
91
80
+11
H02/12
NCAA
MUW Owls
#597
W
92-23
92
23
+69
H06/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
67-48
67
48
+19
H14/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H17/12
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
87-76
87
76
+11
A30/12
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A06/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A09/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H13/01
NCAA
Lamar
#146
W
88-69
88
69
+19
H16/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-31
51-29
49-36
42-44
47-9
45-14
38-26
29-22
28-33
46-39
40-37
47-39
28-36
45-31
31-26
37-33
44-30
30-35
41-35
47-34
141.4Avg total
79.5Scored
61.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.660.5140.1+19.188%
Season at home (9)85.956.3142.2+29.6100%
Season away (8)72.565.2137.8+7.275%
Last 10 (10)79.561.9141.4+17.6100%
Last 5 (5)78.067.2145.2+10.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)68.474.1142.5-5.838%
vs Similar (5)76.076.4152.4-0.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)79.660.5140.1+19.188%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -2.1-2.11st half: +7.7+7.72nd half2nd half: -6.4-6.42nd half: +9.9+9.9
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -2.1-2.11st half: +7.7+7.72nd half2nd half: -6.4-6.42nd half: +9.9+9.9
Incarnate WordMcNeese State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#256
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A26/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#194
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A02/12
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H09/12
NCAA
Rice
#315
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A13/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A21/12
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A31/12
NCAA
Our Lady Of The Lake
#384
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H03/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H06/01
NCAA
Lamar
#146
L
18-37
18
37
-19
A09/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A13/01
NCAA
70.7Avg total
34.3Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.134.769.9+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.932.068.9+4.958%-
Last 30 away (18)33.936.670.5-2.639%-
Last 10 (10)34.336.470.7-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)33.636.269.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)31.936.568.4-4.533%-
vs Similar (13)36.533.870.3+2.654%-
vs Weaker (1)56.024.080.0+32.0100%-
This opponent (McNeese State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
McNeese StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UAB
#77
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A29/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H02/12
NCAA
MUW Owls
#597
W
47-9
47
9
+38
H06/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H14/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H17/12
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A30/12
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A06/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A09/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H13/01
NCAA
Lamar
#146
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H16/01
NCAA
67.5Avg total
37.6Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.232.068.2+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.830.169.9+9.771%-
Last 30 away (16)33.133.866.8-0.744%-
Last 10 (10)37.629.967.5+7.770%-
Last 5 (5)36.832.869.6+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.433.868.1+0.650%-
vs Similar (5)31.839.871.6-8.020%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)38.428.967.3+9.471%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Incarnate Word wins
3
McNeese State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24ANorthwestern St.71-97
09/01/24ALamar59-75
06/01/24HTexas A&M-CC65-75
03/01/24HOur Lady Of The Lake83-74
31/12/23AUTRGV74-77
21/12/23AIllinois (Chi.)67-66
13/12/23ARice57-80
09/12/23HNorthern Arizona75-76
02/12/23ABethune-Cookman82-96
26/11/23AJacksonville State65-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/24HLamar88-69
13/01/24HSE Louisiana74-65
09/01/24ANorthwestern St.68-59
06/01/24ATX A&M Commerce73-67
30/12/23AMichigan87-76
17/12/23HLouisiana Lafayette74-72
14/12/23HSouthern Miss67-48
06/12/23HMUW Owls92-23
02/12/23HUT Martin91-80
29/11/23AUAB81-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Incarnate Word
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL31%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLWLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16511
Win %31%60%18%
Points / game73.578.871.1
Allowed / game78.570.882.0
Point differential-5.0+8.0-10.9
Avg total152.0149.6153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
McNeese State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game79.685.972.5
Allowed / game60.556.365.2
Point differential+19.1+29.6+7.2
Avg total140.1142.2137.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%78%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State1715288%79.660.5+19.1
2 Stephen F. Austin1812667%79.770.9+8.8
3 Texas A&M-CC1811761%76.667.0+9.6
4 Lamar189950%81.276.9+4.2
5 Nicholls State1881044%73.175.6-2.5
6 TX A&M Commerce1771041%73.573.0+0.5
7 New Orleans1871139%74.978.0-3.1
8 SE Louisiana1861233%66.871.5-4.7
9 UTRGV1861233%75.380.2-4.9
10 Incarnate Word1651131%73.578.5-5.0
11 Northwestern St.1851328%71.479.1-7.7
12 Houston Christian1641225%70.681.6-10.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Incarnate Word303666
McNeese State423880
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