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Incarnate Word vs Nicholls State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 19 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Scheduled
Position#378
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game60.8
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Position#205
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game67.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Incarnate Word v Nicholls State
19 Dec 2026
INCA v NICH
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
INCA83
NICH91
13 Jan 2025
INCA82
NICH88
22 Jan 2024
INCA74
NICH78
28 Jan 2023
INCA69
NICH67
03 Feb 2022
INCA60
NICH63
06 Jan 2022
INCA56
NICH87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Incarnate Word win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Nicholls State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#265
L
83-91
83
91
-8
H14/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
64-78
64
78
-14
H17/02
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A21/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A24/02
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H28/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H03/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#150
L
60-91
60
91
-31
A03/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#271
L
54-66
54
66
-12
H06/11
NCAA
UTEP
#164
L
60-79
60
79
-19
A09/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#121
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-46
53-45
28-39
36-39
43-39
39-34
23-18
26-36
37-22
35-38
26-28
42-48
17-54
43-37
22-34
32-32
29-46
31-33
33-49
36-32
141.0Avg total
66.1Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)60.879.2140.0-18.50%
Season at home (1)54.066.0120.0-12.00%
Season away (3)63.083.7146.7-20.70%
Last 10 (10)66.174.9141.0-8.820%
Last 5 (5)62.278.6140.8-16.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)67.177.9145.0-10.914%
vs Similar (6)70.075.0145.0-5.017%
vs Weaker (10)76.168.3144.4+7.860%
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nicholls StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
78-81
78
81
-3
A21/02
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A24/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H28/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
65-75
65
75
-10
H03/03
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H09/03
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
68-86
68
86
-18
A10/03
NCAA
North American Stallions
#499
W
110-56
110
56
+54
H02/11
NCAA
UAB
#221
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A07/11
NCAA
Tulane
#220
L
63-77
63
77
-14
A11/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#210
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-39
44-42
20-23
33-29
33-31
35-29
31-40
34-35
25-24
36-23
32-44
36-42
53-37
57-19
30-36
33-34
24-35
39-42
28-33
43-35
137.2Avg total
70.0Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.867.8144.5+9.050%
Season at home (2)90.562.0152.5+28.5100%
Season away (2)63.073.5136.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)70.067.2137.2+2.850%
Last 5 (5)75.071.4146.4+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.882.5154.3-10.720%
vs Similar (16)71.667.7139.2+3.975%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)81.065.3146.3+15.733%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -8.7-8.71st half: -3.2-3.22nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: +6.0+6.0
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -8.7-8.71st half: -3.2-3.22nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: +6.0+6.0
Incarnate WordNicholls State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#265
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H14/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H17/02
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A21/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
23-18
23
18
+5
A24/02
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H28/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H03/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#150
L
17-54
17
54
-37
A03/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#271
L
22-34
22
34
-12
H06/11
NCAA
UTEP
#164
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A09/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#121
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A11/11
NCAA
66.3Avg total
28.8Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.935.267.1-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.233.968.1+0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)29.836.466.2-6.631%-
Last 10 (10)28.837.566.3-8.730%-
Last 5 (5)25.442.267.6-16.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)29.437.867.2-8.421%-
vs Similar (6)28.834.563.3-5.717%-
vs Weaker (10)37.132.069.1+5.170%-
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nicholls StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A21/02
NCAA
Lamar
#286
L
20-23
20
23
-3
A24/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H28/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H03/03
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
25-24
25
24
+1
H09/03
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A10/03
NCAA
North American Stallions
#499
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H02/11
NCAA
UAB
#221
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A07/11
NCAA
Tulane
#220
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A11/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#210
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H15/11
NCAA
65.2Avg total
31.0Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.634.568.1-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.534.869.3-0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)32.834.166.9-1.340%-
Last 10 (10)31.034.265.2-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)33.437.070.4-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)31.941.773.6-9.810%-
vs Similar (16)33.330.463.7+2.969%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)34.731.366.0+3.333%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Incarnate Word wins
9
Nicholls State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AUC Davis69-81
09/11/26AUTEP60-79
06/11/26HChicago State54-66
03/11/26AOklahoma State60-91
03/03/26HStephen F. Austin68-76
28/02/26HLamar72-60
24/02/26ANorthwestern St.49-54
21/02/26AEast Texas A&M82-73
17/02/26HNew Orleans64-78
14/02/26HNicholls State83-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HLouisiana Tech71-68
11/11/26ATulane63-77
07/11/26AUAB63-70
02/11/26HNorth American Stallions110-56
10/03/26AUTRGV68-86
09/03/26HNorthwestern St.61-47
03/03/26HMcNeese State65-75
28/02/26HSE Louisiana68-60
24/02/26ALamar53-52
21/02/26AStephen F. Austin78-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Incarnate Word
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game60.854.063.0
Allowed / game79.266.083.7
Point differential-18.5-12.0-20.7
Avg total140.0120.0146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nicholls State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game76.890.563.0
Allowed / game67.862.073.5
Point differential+9.0+28.5-10.5
Avg total144.5152.5136.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Christian440100%94.265.2+29.0
2 Stephen F. Austin43175%90.861.2+29.5
3 Lamar32167%109.067.3+41.7
4 McNeese State32167%100.380.7+19.7
5 New Orleans32167%81.782.3-0.7
6 Nicholls State42250%76.867.8+9.0
7 UTRGV42250%72.867.8+5.0
8 Texas A&M-CC42250%71.067.2+3.8
9 SE Louisiana31233%64.387.3-23.0
10 Northwestern St.51420%68.079.0-11.0
11 Incarnate Word4040%60.879.2-18.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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