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Incarnate Word vs Nicholls State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 74-78 (OT)
35-34 27-28 12-16
Position#343
Record5-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game78.6
vs
Position#138
Record8-10
FormWWLWL
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game75.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Incarnate Word v Nicholls State
19 Dec 2026
INCA v NICH
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
INCA83
NICH91
13 Jan 2025
INCA82
NICH88
22 Jan 2024
INCA74
NICH78
28 Jan 2023
INCA69
NICH67
03 Feb 2022
INCA60
NICH63
06 Jan 2022
INCA56
NICH87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nicholls State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bethune-Cookman
#194
L
82-96
82
96
-14
A02/12
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
L
75-76
75
76
-1
H09/12
NCAA
Rice
#315
L
57-80
57
80
-23
A13/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
67-66
67
66
+1
A21/12
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A31/12
NCAA
Our Lady Of The Lake
#384
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H03/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
65-75
65
75
-10
H06/01
NCAA
Lamar
#146
L
59-75
59
75
-16
A09/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
L
71-97
71
97
-26
A13/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
66-80
66
80
-14
H20/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-40
42-56
36-36
39-40
34-37
23-43
36-32
31-34
41-37
33-40
45-31
38-43
29-38
36-37
18-37
41-38
35-38
36-59
30-42
36-38
149.5Avg total
69.9Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)73.178.6151.6-5.529%
Season at home (6)76.772.3149.0+4.350%
Season away (11)71.182.0153.1-10.918%
Last 10 (10)69.979.6149.5-9.720%
Last 5 (5)68.880.2149.0-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)69.277.3146.5-8.127%
vs Similar (13)73.577.1150.6-3.538%
vs Weaker (1)104.063.0167.0+41.0100%
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nicholls StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
55-68
55
68
-13
A02/12
NCAA
Elizabeth City
#394
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H09/12
NCAA
Maryland
#215
L
67-73
67
73
-6
A20/12
NCAA
Towson
#135
L
55-65
55
65
-10
A22/12
NCAA
Mobile
#208
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H30/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
A06/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H10/01
NCAA
Lamar
#146
L
76-78 OT
76
78
-2
H13/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H16/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
59-69
59
69
-10
A20/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-35
28-33
36-32
48-38
27-28
40-45
14-28
41-37
32-37
42-28
37-42
47-42
32-26
34-35
42-35
27-34
32-42
46-33
25-33
34-36
143.0Avg total
71.2Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)73.175.6148.7-2.544%
Season at home (7)78.470.9149.3+7.671%
Season away (11)69.778.6148.4-8.927%
Last 10 (10)71.271.8143.0-0.650%
Last 5 (5)75.475.4150.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)64.279.4143.6-15.20%
vs Similar (12)74.876.7151.4-1.942%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)78.873.2152.0+5.567%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: -3.4-3.42nd half2nd half: -7.3-7.32nd half: +2.6+2.6
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: -3.4-3.42nd half2nd half: -7.3-7.32nd half: +2.6+2.6
Incarnate WordNicholls State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bethune-Cookman
#194
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A02/12
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H09/12
NCAA
Rice
#315
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A13/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A21/12
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A31/12
NCAA
Our Lady Of The Lake
#384
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H03/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H06/01
NCAA
Lamar
#146
L
18-37
18
37
-19
A09/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A13/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H20/01
NCAA
71.2Avg total
34.4Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.134.970.0+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.932.369.2+4.658%-
Last 30 away (18)33.936.670.5-2.639%-
Last 10 (10)34.436.871.2-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)31.437.268.6-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)31.936.768.7-4.833%-
vs Similar (13)36.533.870.3+2.654%-
vs Weaker (1)56.024.080.0+32.0100%-
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nicholls StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A02/12
NCAA
Elizabeth City
#394
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H09/12
NCAA
Maryland
#215
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A20/12
NCAA
Towson
#135
L
14-28
14
28
-14
A22/12
NCAA
Mobile
#208
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H30/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A06/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H10/01
NCAA
Lamar
#146
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H13/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H16/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A20/01
NCAA
64.2Avg total
30.4Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.235.869.0-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.734.769.4+0.050%-
Last 30 away (16)31.936.768.6-4.825%-
Last 10 (10)30.433.864.2-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)33.635.669.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)28.637.866.4-9.220%-
vs Similar (12)33.534.568.0-1.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)34.636.571.1-1.942%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Incarnate Word wins
5
Nicholls State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24HMcNeese State66-80
13/01/24ANorthwestern St.71-97
09/01/24ALamar59-75
06/01/24HTexas A&M-CC65-75
03/01/24HOur Lady Of The Lake83-74
31/12/23AUTRGV74-77
21/12/23AIllinois (Chi.)67-66
13/12/23ARice57-80
09/12/23HNorthern Arizona75-76
02/12/23ABethune-Cookman82-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24ATexas A&M-CC59-69
16/01/24HNew Orleans78-75
13/01/24HLamar76-78 OT
10/01/24HSE Louisiana66-61
06/01/24AHouston Christian98-94 OT
30/12/23HMobile74-65
22/12/23ATowson55-65
20/12/23AMaryland67-73
09/12/23HElizabeth City84-70
02/12/23ALouisiana Tech55-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Incarnate Word
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayLWLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17611
Win %29%50%18%
Points / game73.176.771.1
Allowed / game78.672.382.0
Point differential-5.5+4.3-10.9
Avg total151.6149.0153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nicholls State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL44%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayLLLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18711
Win %44%71%27%
Points / game73.178.469.7
Allowed / game75.670.978.6
Point differential-2.5+7.6-8.9
Avg total148.7149.3148.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %17%14%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State1917289%78.760.8+17.8
2 Stephen F. Austin1812667%79.770.9+8.8
3 Texas A&M-CC1911858%75.766.7+9.0
4 Lamar189950%81.276.9+4.2
5 Nicholls State1881044%73.175.6-2.5
6 TX A&M Commerce1771041%73.573.0+0.5
7 New Orleans1871139%74.978.0-3.1
8 SE Louisiana1971237%67.071.0-4.0
9 UTRGV1961332%75.280.1-4.9
10 Incarnate Word1751229%73.178.6-5.5
11 Northwestern St.1951426%70.978.7-7.7
12 Houston Christian1641225%70.681.6-10.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Incarnate Word35271274
Nicholls State34281678
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