PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Incarnate Word vs Nicholls State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 83-91
0-0 30-46 0-0 53-45
Position#287
Record10-15
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game74.1
vs
Position#265
Record10-15
FormLWWLL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game76.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Incarnate Word v Nicholls State
19 Dec 2026
INCA v NICH
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
INCA83
NICH91
13 Jan 2025
INCA82
NICH88
22 Jan 2024
INCA74
NICH78
28 Jan 2023
INCA69
NICH67
03 Feb 2022
INCA60
NICH63
06 Jan 2022
INCA56
NICH87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nicholls State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#286
L
51-63
51
63
-12
A11/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A13/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H17/01
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
L
58-80
58
80
-22
H19/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
71-79
71
79
-8
H24/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A28/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
93-106
93
106
-13
H31/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A03/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A07/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A10/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
19-28
0-0
32-35
0-0
19-28
0-0
27-28
0-0
30-34
0-0
46-40
0-0
29-38
0-0
29-42
0-0
22-37
0-0
49-42
0-0
41-31
0-0
34-50
0-0
42-44
0-0
51-62
0-0
32-26
0-0
39-43
0-0
30-30
0-0
34-51
0-0
26-40
0-0
36-34
143.0Avg total
66.7Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)75.474.1149.5+1.240%
Season at home (12)85.772.0157.7+13.775%
Season away (13)65.876.1141.9-10.28%
Last 10 (10)66.776.3143.0-9.620%
Last 5 (5)73.082.2155.2-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)68.578.6147.1-10.218%
vs Similar ◀ (7)67.470.9138.3-3.429%
vs Weaker (12)83.869.6153.3+14.275%
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nicholls StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#226
W
90-77
90
77
+13
A10/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
68-94
68
94
-26
A13/01
NCAA
Lamar
#286
L
80-90
80
90
-10
H17/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
62-79
62
79
-17
H20/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
L
61-67
61
67
-6
A24/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
62-80
62
80
-18
H27/01
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A31/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A03/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
76-83
76
83
-7
H07/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
72-92
72
92
-20
H10/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
47-43
0-0
43-34
0-0
19-37
0-0
49-57
0-0
40-45
0-0
40-45
0-0
24-45
0-0
38-34
0-0
32-28
0-0
29-39
0-0
29-39
0-0
33-41
0-0
34-24
0-0
38-44
0-0
34-20
0-0
27-38
0-0
38-39
0-0
38-44
0-0
30-55
0-0
42-37
149.2Avg total
70.4Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)73.476.6150.0-3.240%
Season at home (10)77.673.4151.0+4.250%
Season away (15)70.778.7149.4-8.133%
Last 10 (10)70.478.8149.2-8.430%
Last 5 (5)68.676.2144.8-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.884.3155.1-13.622%
vs Similar ◀ (19)70.372.1142.3-1.847%
vs Weaker (2)105.559.5165.0+46.0100%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: -3.6-3.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: -3.6-3.6
Incarnate WordNicholls State
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#286
L
19-28
19
28
-9
A11/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
19-28
19
28
-9
A13/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H17/01
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H19/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
22-37
22
37
-15
H24/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A28/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H31/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A03/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A07/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A10/02
NCAA
62.6Avg total
29.0Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.633.667.1+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.533.472.8+6.169%-
Last 30 away (17)29.133.762.8-4.624%-
Last 10 (10)29.033.662.6-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)34.234.268.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)30.135.865.9-5.727%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)29.130.459.6-1.329%-
vs Weaker (12)39.333.372.7+6.067%-
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nicholls StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#226
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A10/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
19-37
19
37
-18
A13/01
NCAA
Lamar
#286
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H17/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
24-45
24
45
-21
H20/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A24/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H27/01
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A31/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
34-20
34
20
+14
A03/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H07/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
30-55
30
55
-25
H10/02
NCAA
70.2Avg total
32.7Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.735.167.8-2.347%-
Last 30 at home (12)33.635.068.6-1.450%-
Last 30 away (18)32.235.167.3-2.944%-
Last 10 (10)32.737.570.2-4.840%-
Last 5 (5)33.035.468.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)30.741.171.8-10.411%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)32.132.965.1-0.858%-
vs Weaker (2)48.028.076.0+20.0100%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Incarnate Word wins
9
Nicholls State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/26ASE Louisiana62-74
07/02/26AMcNeese State64-81
03/02/26ATexas A&M-CC71-69
31/01/26HUTRGV93-106
28/01/26AHouston Christian75-81
24/01/26HTexas A&M-CC71-79
19/01/26HEast Texas A&M58-80
17/01/26HNorthwestern St.76-74
13/01/26AStephen F. Austin46-56
11/01/26ALamar51-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/26HUTRGV72-92
07/02/26HTexas A&M-CC76-83
03/02/26ANorthwestern St.61-58
31/01/26AEast Texas A&M72-68
27/01/26HNew Orleans62-80
24/01/26ASE Louisiana61-67
20/01/26HStephen F. Austin62-79
17/01/26HLamar80-90
13/01/26AMcNeese State68-94
10/01/26ANew Orleans90-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Incarnate Word
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL40%
HomeWWLLL75%
AwayLLWLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %40%75%8%
Points / game75.485.765.8
Allowed / game74.172.076.1
Point differential+1.2+13.7-10.2
Avg total149.5157.7141.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nicholls State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeLLLLL50%
AwayWLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251015
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game73.477.670.7
Allowed / game76.673.478.7
Point differential-3.2+4.2-8.1
Avg total150.0151.0149.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%30%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (1)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stephen F. Austin2522388%78.065.5+12.5
2 McNeese State2520580%80.967.4+13.5
3 UTRGV23131057%76.069.4+6.6
4 Texas A&M-CC26141254%73.568.0+5.5
5 Lamar26121446%71.869.1+2.7
6 New Orleans27121544%76.679.5-2.9
7 Incarnate Word25101540%75.474.1+1.2
8 Nicholls State25101540%73.476.6-3.2
9 Houston Christian2691735%67.873.0-5.3
10 Northwestern St.2681831%70.374.4-4.1
11 SE Louisiana2681831%64.569.2-4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Incarnate Word03005383
Nicholls State04604591
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.