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India vs China Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 69-100
14-29 17-24 17-22 21-25
Position#23
Record3-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game69.1
Allowed / game79.9
vs
China 🏆
Position#2
Record6-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game64.9
EuropeAsia CupRound 2· King Abdullah Sports City
Other2023
Meetings · India v China
07 Aug 2025
INDI69
CHIN100
01 Oct 2015
INDI58
CHIN104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

India winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
China winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IndiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIndia
Date
Competition
Saudi Arabia
#46
L
60-71
60
71
-11
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
L
50-63
50
63
-13
no box
A23/02
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
L
53-86
53
86
-33
no box
H26/02
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
L
53-69
53
69
-16
40avg 69
H22/11
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
88-69
88
69
+19
88avg 69
H25/11
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
L
55-106
55
106
-51
45avg 69
A21/02
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
L
61-81
61
81
-20
53avg 69
A24/02
Asia Cup
Iraq
#16
W
97-77
97
77
+20
94avg 69
A21/03
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#25
W
81-77
81
77
+4
85avg 69
H22/03
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
84-91 OT
84
91
-7
76avg 69
A05/08
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
14-21
15-14
12-20
16-13
10-18
7-13
17-19
20-23
12-19
12-25
9-19
14-17
17-19
8-14
14-19
9-18
28-15
26-18
25-18
15-18
5-28
13-33
22-27
18-17
4-25
19-17
20-22
30-30
14-8
32-19
21-20
25-20
14-16
23-17
19-24
14-18
24-20
17-22
25-20
147.2Avg total
68.2Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)69.179.9149.0-10.833%
Season at home (4)68.875.2144.0-6.550%
Season away (5)69.483.6153.0-14.220%
Last 10 (10)68.279.0147.2-10.830%
Last 5 (5)75.686.4162.0-10.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)66.088.1154.1-22.118%
vs Similar (2)69.066.0135.0+3.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (China) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChina
Date
Competition
Mongolia
#15
W
80-49
80
49
+31
no box
H22/02
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
L
73-76
73
76
-3
no box
A25/02
Asia Cup
Sacramento Kings
#4
L
50-101
50
101
-51
no box
A07/07
California Classic
Charlotte Hornets
#1
L
62-93
62
93
-31
no box
A08/07
California Classic
San Antonio Spurs
#5
L
67-89
67
89
-22
no box
H10/07
California Classic
Guam
#14
W
101-53
101
53
+48
105avg 94
H21/11
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
90-52
90
52
+38
96avg 94
A24/11
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
W
100-58
100
58
+42
102avg 94
H20/02
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
86-78
86
78
+8
82avg 94
A23/02
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
93-88
93
88
+5
88avg 94
H05/08
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-12
19-17
20-7
21-13
20-19
18-19
13-17
22-21
18-31
11-21
7-25
14-24
9-26
18-17
19-21
16-29
20-29
24-18
7-17
16-25
21-17
24-10
27-15
29-11
18-14
25-15
28-14
19-9
19-12
31-21
19-12
31-13
19-16
25-17
22-23
20-22
30-22
23-21
27-22
13-23
153.9Avg total
80.2Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)89.064.9153.9+24.186%
Season at home (4)93.562.0155.5+31.5100%
Season away (3)83.068.7151.7+14.367%
Last 10 (10)80.273.7153.9+6.560%
Last 5 (5)94.065.8159.8+28.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)63.490.5153.9-27.112%
vs Similar (3)82.393.0175.3-10.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.465.2150.6+20.389%
This opponent (India) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +1.1+1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +1.1+1.1
IndiaChina
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IndiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saudi Arabia
#46
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H27/02
World Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A23/02
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H26/02
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H22/11
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H25/11
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
L
20-46
20
46
-26
A21/02
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
L
22-42
22
42
-20
A24/02
Asia Cup
Iraq
#16
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A21/03
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#25
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H22/03
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A05/08
Asia Cup
70.1Avg total
32.2Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.244.076.3-11.823%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.945.377.2-13.327%-
Last 30 away (15)32.542.875.3-10.320%-
Last 10 (10)32.237.970.1-5.730%-
Last 5 (5)32.640.072.6-7.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)32.344.977.2-12.621%-
vs Similar (2)31.532.063.5-0.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (China) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mongolia
#15
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H22/02
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A25/02
Asia Cup
Sacramento Kings
#4
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A07/07
California Classic
Charlotte Hornets
#1
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A08/07
California Classic
San Antonio Spurs
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H10/07
California Classic
Guam
#14
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H21/11
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A24/11
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H20/02
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A23/02
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H05/08
Asia Cup
78.6Avg total
41.2Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.536.877.3+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.434.478.8+10.069%-
Last 30 away (17)37.538.676.1-1.247%-
Last 10 (10)41.237.478.6+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)47.033.080.0+14.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.246.078.2-13.80%-
vs Similar (3)40.745.386.0-4.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.931.675.5+12.384%-
This opponent (India) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Indiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

India: 68.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.3 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.3 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.6 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.215.7
47.2%
49.3%31.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.8
33.8%
32.7%29.3
🏀 Free throws11.37.6
66.7%
70.1%7.6
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chinatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

China: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.9
53.9%
49.3%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.6
33.2%
32.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws19.914.7
73.9%
70.1%14.7
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 07 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
India
LWWLLWLLLL
China
WWWWWLLLLW
#23
League position
#2
-14.5
Net rating
+15.5
91.5
Offensive rating
107.9
105.9
Defensive rating
92.3
48.8%
Effective FG%
52.4%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
45.4%
23.3%
Turnover %
19.3%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.8%
3-point %
33.2%
66.4%
Assist %
63.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence91.5 · 107.9Defence105.9 · 92.3Shooting48.8% · 52.4%3-point %33.8% · 33.2%Ball care23.3% · 19.3%Off. rebounds27.8% · 35.0%Free throws0.18 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ India   ■ China
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
India wins
2
China wins
DateGameScore
01/10/15India v China58-104
13/07/14China v India58-65
06/08/13China v India79-45
Indialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/08/25AJordan84-91 OT
22/03/25HBahrain81-77
21/03/25AIraq97-77
24/02/25AQatar61-81
21/02/25AIran55-106
25/11/24HKazakhstan88-69
22/11/24HQatar53-69
26/02/24HIran53-86
23/02/24AKazakhstan50-63
27/02/23HSaudi Arabia60-71
Chinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/08/25HSaudi Arabia93-88
23/02/25AGuam86-78
20/02/25HJapan100-58
24/11/24AMongolia90-52
21/11/24HGuam101-53
10/07/24HSan Antonio Spurs67-89
08/07/24ACharlotte Hornets62-93
07/07/24ASacramento Kings50-101
25/02/24AJapan73-76
22/02/24HMongolia80-49

📊 11. Overall Statistics

India
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL33%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game69.168.869.4
Allowed / game79.975.283.6
Point differential-10.8-6.5-14.2
Avg total149.0144.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %11%0%20%
China
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game89.093.583.0
Allowed / game64.962.068.7
Point differential+24.1+31.5+14.3
Avg total153.9155.5151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia770100%101.461.1+40.3
2 Lebanon770100%89.775.4+14.3
3 Jordan770100%79.167.7+11.4
4 Iran76186%75.751.0+24.7
5 China76186%89.064.9+24.1
6 New Zealand76186%89.467.7+21.7
7 Japan76186%82.175.6+6.6
8 Chinese Taipei96367%87.979.8+8.1
9 Qatar127558%71.367.8+3.6
10 Philippines74357%89.676.1+13.4
11 Saudi Arabia74357%73.771.9+1.9
12 South Korea74357%81.481.9-0.4
13 Thailand158753%83.083.1-0.1
14 Iraq147750%74.675.4-0.9
15 Guam147750%71.278.0-6.8
16 Mongolia136746%76.979.2-2.2
17 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
18 Syria73443%76.380.3-4.0
19 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
20 United Arab Emirates114736%71.074.5-3.5
21 India93633%69.179.9-10.8
22 Kazakhstan62433%53.567.7-14.2
23 Palestine113827%69.073.7-4.7
24 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
25 Bahrain82625%75.082.2-7.2
26 Hong Kong112918%65.682.8-17.2
27 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
28 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
29 Indonesia6060%62.896.0-33.2
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
India1417172169
China29242225100
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