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Indiana Pacers vs Boston Celtics Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 03 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#21
Record5-9
FormLLWWL
Points / game112.1
Allowed / game114.5
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.0/10
Below normal
5.3/10
Around normal
Position#3
Record10-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game114.2
Allowed / game103.1
USANBA· Gainbridge Fieldhouse
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Indiana Pacers v Boston Celtics
30 Mar 2027
IND v BOS
upcoming
02 Mar 2027
IND v BOS
upcoming
12 Jan 2026
IND98
BOS96
26 Dec 2025
IND122
BOS140
30 Oct 2024
IND135
BOS132
27 May 2024
IND102
BOS105
25 May 2024
IND111
BOS114
08 Jan 2024
IND133
BOS131
06 Jan 2024
IND101
BOS118
23 Feb 2023
IND138
BOS142
27 Feb 2022
IND128
BOS107
12 Jan 2022
IND100
BOS119
29 Dec 2020
IND111
BOS116
27 Dec 2020
IND108
BOS107
10 Mar 2020
IND111
BOS114
11 Dec 2019
IND122
BOS117
21 Apr 2019
IND106
BOS110
19 Apr 2019
IND96
BOS104
05 Apr 2019
IND97
BOS117
03 Nov 2018
IND102
BOS101
18 Dec 2017
IND111
BOS112
25 Nov 2017
IND98
BOS108
22 Dec 2016
IND102
BOS109
12 Nov 2016
IND99
BOS105
15 Mar 2016
IND103
BOS98
04 Nov 2015
IND100
BOS98
14 Mar 2015
IND89
BOS93
09 Jan 2015
IND107
BOS103
11 Mar 2014
IND94
BOS83
22 Dec 2013
IND106
BOS79
06 Mar 2013
IND81
BOS83
07 Apr 2012
IND72
BOS86
14 Jan 2012
IND97
BOS83
28 Mar 2011
IND107
BOS100
28 Dec 2010
IND83
BOS95
14 Nov 2009
IND113
BOS104
07 Dec 2008
IND117
BOS122
01 Nov 2008
IND95
BOS79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana Pacers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
109-114
109
114
-5
104avg 106
H28/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
125-145
125
145
-20
115avg 106
A31/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
L
90-98
90
98
-8
82avg 106
H01/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
104-108
104
108
-4
75avg 106
H03/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
W
107-103
107
103
+4
98avg 106
A05/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#10
L
102-114
102
114
-12
97avg 106
H07/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
L
122-125
122
125
-3
117avg 106
A10/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
114-101
114
101
+13
110avg 106
H12/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
W
106-104
106
104
+2
97avg 106
H14/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
124-131
124
131
-7
no box
A15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
27-37
36-13
21-39
42-36
19-32
27-35
37-42
19-20
21-23
22-28
28-27
29-37
27-31
23-19
25-21
32-24
22-28
26-30
27-21
19-27
22-37
37-26
24-24
31-26
35-30
27-34
29-35
26-25
29-25
22-27
37-24
26-27
32-22
27-35
21-20
35-29
22-29
30-39
37-34
224.6Avg total
110.3Scored
114.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)112.1114.5226.6-2.436%
Season at home (7)104.3108.6212.9-4.329%
Season away (7)119.9120.4240.3-0.643%
Last 10 (10)110.3114.3224.6-4.030%
Last 5 (5)113.6115.0228.6-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)112.7120.4233.1-7.722%
vs Similar (10)118.7116.1234.8+2.640%
vs Weaker (2)112.5115.0227.5-2.550%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
134-99
134
99
+35
127avg 106
H26/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
125-124 OT
125
124
+1
119avg 106
H27/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
125-111
125
111
+14
118avg 106
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
108-97
108
97
+11
103avg 106
A01/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
93-109
93
109
-16
78avg 106
A03/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
109-102
109
102
+7
102avg 106
H05/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
119-80
119
80
+39
123avg 106
A07/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
117-97
117
97
+20
109avg 106
A09/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
123-101
123
101
+22
117avg 106
A11/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
98-93
98
93
+5
95avg 106
A12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-21
33-33
39-21
29-24
26-31
30-30
30-21
31-35
44-25
34-24
21-25
26-37
24-23
31-27
22-24
31-23
29-29
21-28
23-25
20-27
28-14
34-27
25-38
22-23
40-20
30-19
26-18
23-23
25-27
33-18
33-29
26-23
30-23
32-28
29-31
32-19
29-38
25-23
21-19
23-13
216.4Avg total
115.1Scored
101.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)114.2103.1217.3+11.283%
Season at home (5)120.0107.8227.8+12.2100%
Season away (7)110.199.7209.9+10.471%
Last 10 (10)115.1101.3216.4+13.890%
Last 5 (5)113.294.6207.8+18.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)109.0106.2215.2+2.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)115.5105.0220.5+10.576%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.6+1.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.6+1.6
Indiana PacersBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H28/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A31/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H01/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
56-68
56
68
-12
H03/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A05/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#10
L
41-64
41
64
-23
H07/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
W
66-56
66
56
+10
A10/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H12/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H14/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A15/11
NBA
111.0Avg total
54.0Scored
57.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.761.6119.3-3.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.563.3117.8-8.927%-
Last 30 away (15)61.059.8120.8+1.253%-
Last 10 (10)54.057.0111.0-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)55.455.4110.8+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)56.663.8120.3-7.228%-
vs Similar (10)59.758.3118.0+1.460%-
vs Weaker (2)58.558.0116.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H26/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
L
56-61
56
61
-5
H27/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
78-49
78
49
+29
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A01/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A03/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
62-41
62
41
+21
H05/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
70-39
70
39
+31
A07/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A09/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
62-51
62
51
+11
A11/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A12/11
NBA
111.9Avg total
61.1Scored
50.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.252.0111.1+7.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.953.3112.2+5.753%-
Last 30 away (15)59.450.7110.1+8.767%-
Last 10 (10)61.150.8111.9+10.370%-
Last 5 (5)61.247.4108.6+13.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)54.054.8108.8-0.820%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)60.251.4111.6+8.868%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 109.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.427.2
55.1%
54.0%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.312.4
33.2%
35.1%37.2
🏀 Free throws23.417.7
75.6%
77.3%17.7
They take 86.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 110.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.123.6
53.5%
54.0%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.215.0
34.7%
35.1%45.0
🏀 Free throws24.118.1
75.1%
77.3%18.1
They take 87.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Indiana Pacers
LWWLLWLLLL
Boston Celtics
WWWWWLWWWW
#21
League position
#3
-0.6
Net rating
+4.2
106.7
Offensive rating
109.8
107.3
Defensive rating
105.6
52.8%
Effective FG%
52.8%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
13.8%
Turnover %
13.4%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.2%
3-point %
34.7%
70.2%
Assist %
65.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 109.8Defence107.3 · 105.6Shooting52.8% · 52.8%3-point %33.2% · 34.7%Ball care13.8% · 13.4%Off. rebounds25.8% · 24.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Indiana Pacers   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Indiana Pacers wins
7
Boston Celtics wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26APhiladelphia 76ers124-131
14/11/26HNew York Knicks106-104
12/11/26HWashington Wizards114-101
10/11/26ADallas Mavericks122-125
07/11/26HDenver Nuggets102-114
05/11/26AMemphis Grizzlies107-103
03/11/26HAtlanta Hawks104-108
01/11/26HBrooklyn Nets90-98
31/10/26AMiami Heat125-145
28/10/26HPhiladelphia 76ers109-114
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AToronto Raptors98-93
11/11/26APhiladelphia 76ers123-101
09/11/26AMilwaukee Bucks117-97
07/11/26ACharlotte Hornets119-80
05/11/26HMilwaukee Bucks109-102
03/11/26AHouston Rockets93-109
01/11/26AOrlando Magic108-97
30/10/26HChicago Bulls125-111
27/10/26HBrooklyn Nets125-124 OT
26/10/26HChicago Bulls134-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana Pacers
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL36%
HomeLLLWW29%
AwayLLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%29%43%
Points / game112.1104.3119.9
Allowed / game114.5108.6120.4
Point differential-2.4-4.3-0.6
Avg total226.6212.9240.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %83%100%71%
Points / game114.2120.0110.1
Allowed / game103.1107.899.7
Point differential+11.2+12.2+10.4
Avg total217.3227.8209.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%40%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %8%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Philadelphia 76ers1411379%112.6110.4+2.1
5 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves139469%118.3106.8+11.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies139469%120.6111.7+8.9
9 Detroit Pistons128467%115.7110.2+5.4
10 Denver Nuggets117464%114.6112.8+1.8
11 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
13 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks137654%113.5113.3+0.2
15 Miami Heat137654%118.7119.8-1.2
16 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
17 Cleveland Cavaliers147750%117.5115.9+1.6
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers145936%112.1114.5-2.4
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans1441029%115.9124.9-9.1
25 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets123925%110.2116.4-6.2
27 Chicago Bulls123925%114.6125.9-11.3
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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