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Indiana Pacers vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 122-140
39-28 22-47 30-36 31-29
Position#29
Record6-24
FormLLLLL
Points / game109.2
Allowed / game117.7
vs
Position#5
Record18-11
FormLLWWW
Points / game116.0
Allowed / game110.0
USANBA· Gainbridge Fieldhouse
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Indiana Pacers v Boston Celtics
30 Mar 2027
IND v BOS
upcoming
02 Mar 2027
IND v BOS
upcoming
12 Jan 2026
IND98
BOS96
26 Dec 2025
IND122
BOS140
30 Oct 2024
IND135
BOS132
27 May 2024
IND102
BOS105
25 May 2024
IND111
BOS114
08 Jan 2024
IND133
BOS131
06 Jan 2024
IND101
BOS118
23 Feb 2023
IND138
BOS142
27 Feb 2022
IND128
BOS107
12 Jan 2022
IND100
BOS119
29 Dec 2020
IND111
BOS116
27 Dec 2020
IND108
BOS107
10 Mar 2020
IND111
BOS114
11 Dec 2019
IND122
BOS117
21 Apr 2019
IND106
BOS110
19 Apr 2019
IND96
BOS104
05 Apr 2019
IND97
BOS117
03 Nov 2018
IND102
BOS101
18 Dec 2017
IND111
BOS112
25 Nov 2017
IND98
BOS108
22 Dec 2016
IND102
BOS109
12 Nov 2016
IND99
BOS105
15 Mar 2016
IND103
BOS98
04 Nov 2015
IND100
BOS98
14 Mar 2015
IND89
BOS93
09 Jan 2015
IND107
BOS103
11 Mar 2014
IND94
BOS83
22 Dec 2013
IND106
BOS79
06 Mar 2013
IND81
BOS83
07 Apr 2012
IND72
BOS86
14 Jan 2012
IND97
BOS83
28 Mar 2011
IND107
BOS100
28 Dec 2010
IND83
BOS95
14 Nov 2009
IND113
BOS104
07 Dec 2008
IND117
BOS122
01 Nov 2008
IND95
BOS79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana Pacers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
119-135
119
135
-16
103avg 107
H02/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
120-135
120
135
-15
114avg 107
H04/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
120-105
120
105
+15
112avg 107
A06/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
116-105
116
105
+11
108avg 107
H09/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
105-115
105
115
-10
93avg 107
A13/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
89-108
89
108
-19
76avg 107
H14/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
113-114
113
114
-1
106avg 107
H19/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
109-128
109
128
-19
96avg 107
A21/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
95-103
95
103
-8
78avg 107
A23/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
94-111
94
111
-17
77avg 107
H24/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-37
29-29
36-33
29-36
28-33
20-39
31-30
41-33
30-33
32-24
30-26
28-22
35-23
31-28
26-37
24-17
31-34
27-29
32-27
15-25
32-31
15-27
19-23
23-27
36-25
26-34
30-27
21-28
27-44
22-20
30-34
30-30
35-26
26-17
21-31
13-29
20-26
24-33
24-27
26-25
223.9Avg total
108.0Scored
115.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)109.2117.7226.9-8.520%
Season at home (16)112.7116.9229.6-4.231%
Season away (14)105.1118.6223.7-13.47%
Last 10 (10)108.0115.9223.9-7.920%
Last 5 (5)100.0112.8212.8-12.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)109.5120.6230.1-11.111%
vs Similar (12)108.7113.3222.0-4.733%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
117-115
117
115
+2
110avg 106
A30/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
123-117
123
117
+6
112avg 106
H03/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
146-101
146
101
+45
145avg 106
A05/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
126-105
126
105
+21
126avg 106
H06/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
121-113
121
113
+8
111avg 106
A07/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
101-116
101
116
-15
83avg 106
A12/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
105-112
105
112
-7
89avg 106
H16/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
129-116
129
116
+13
128avg 106
H20/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
112-96
112
96
+16
105avg 106
A21/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
103-95
103
95
+8
92avg 106
H23/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-26
30-25
32-28
27-36
21-32
37-20
36-24
29-41
32-26
34-33
43-27
37-15
39-17
30-29
28-36
29-23
34-26
43-33
20-32
24-22
35-29
32-31
13-27
21-29
33-25
24-28
24-32
24-27
30-29
28-29
34-31
37-27
32-20
17-31
34-29
29-16
26-35
17-26
31-21
29-13
226.9Avg total
118.3Scored
108.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)116.0110.0226.0+6.062%
Season at home (15)118.6111.7230.3+6.967%
Season away (14)113.2108.1221.3+5.157%
Last 10 (10)118.3108.6226.9+9.780%
Last 5 (5)110.0107.0217.0+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)109.0115.8224.8-6.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)116.3108.9225.2+7.467%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +3.7+3.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +3.7+3.7
Indiana PacersBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
54-66
54
66
-12
H02/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
48-72
48
72
-24
H04/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A06/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
66-51
66
51
+15
H09/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A13/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
47-58
47
58
-11
H14/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H19/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
49-64
49
64
-15
A21/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
61-43
61
43
+18
A23/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
44-59
44
59
-15
H24/12
NBA
114.3Avg total
55.1Scored
59.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.658.6113.2-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.958.9114.9-3.038%-
Last 30 away (14)53.158.2111.4-5.129%-
Last 10 (10)55.159.2114.3-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)52.656.6109.2-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)53.959.5113.4-5.622%-
vs Similar (12)55.857.2113.0-1.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A30/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H03/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A05/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
69-46
69
46
+23
H06/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
77-59
77
59
+18
A07/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
67-60
67
60
+7
A12/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H16/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
D
58-58
58
58
+0
H20/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A21/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
43-61
43
61
-18
H23/12
NBA
115.2Avg total
60.2Scored
55.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.756.1114.8+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.754.7114.4+4.960%-
Last 30 away (15)57.757.5115.3+0.253%-
Last 10 (10)60.255.0115.2+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)54.856.6111.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)53.758.8112.5-5.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)60.055.5115.4+4.562%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 107.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.426.5
51.6%
54.8%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.611.8
33.1%
35.8%35.4
🏀 Free throws24.919.4
77.9%
78.1%19.4
They take 87.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 118.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.327.2
60.0%
54.8%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.615.9
37.3%
35.8%47.7
🏀 Free throws20.016.2
81.0%
78.1%16.2
They take 87.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Indiana Pacers
LLLLLLWWLL
Boston Celtics
WWWLLWWWWW
#29
League position
#5
-8.1
Net rating
+10.2
107.8
Offensive rating
121.5
115.9
Defensive rating
111.4
50.8%
Effective FG%
58.1%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
12.1%
Turnover %
12.5%
22.2%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.23
33.1%
3-point %
37.3%
59.3%
Assist %
52.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 121.5Defence115.9 · 111.4Shooting50.8% · 58.1%3-point %33.1% · 37.3%Ball care12.1% · 12.5%Off. rebounds22.2% · 29.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Indiana Pacers   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Indiana Pacers wins
7
Boston Celtics wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/25HMilwaukee Bucks94-111
23/12/25ABoston Celtics95-103
21/12/25ANew Orleans Pelicans109-128
19/12/25HNew York Knicks113-114
14/12/25HWashington Wizards89-108
13/12/25APhiladelphia 76ers105-115
09/12/25HSacramento Kings116-105
06/12/25AChicago Bulls120-105
04/12/25HDenver Nuggets120-135
02/12/25HCleveland Cavaliers119-135
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/25HIndiana Pacers103-95
21/12/25AToronto Raptors112-96
20/12/25HMiami Heat129-116
16/12/25HDetroit Pistons105-112
12/12/25AMilwaukee Bucks101-116
07/12/25AToronto Raptors121-113
06/12/25HLos Angeles Lakers126-105
05/12/25AWashington Wizards146-101
03/12/25HNew York Knicks123-117
30/11/25ACleveland Cavaliers117-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana Pacers
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeLWLLL31%
AwayLWLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %20%31%7%
Points / game109.2112.7105.1
Allowed / game117.7116.9118.6
Point differential-8.5-4.2-13.4
Avg total226.9229.6223.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%12%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)40% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW62%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %62%67%57%
Points / game116.0118.6113.2
Allowed / game110.0111.7108.1
Point differential+6.0+6.9+5.1
Avg total226.0230.3221.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%33%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder2925486%121.1107.9+13.3
2 Detroit Pistons3024680%119.2112.3+6.9
3 San Antonio Spurs2821775%120.2113.1+7.1
4 Denver Nuggets3022873%125.8117.2+8.6
5 New York Knicks2819968%120.0113.5+6.5
6 Los Angeles Lakers2819968%116.9116.9-0.1
7 Minnesota Timberwolves31201165%119.1114.4+4.7
8 Houston Rockets28181064%120.5112.1+8.3
9 Boston Celtics29181162%116.0110.0+6.0
10 Toronto Raptors30181260%113.8111.5+2.4
11 Phoenix Suns28161257%115.8113.0+2.8
12 Orlando Magic28161257%117.1114.5+2.6
13 Philadelphia 76ers28161257%116.6115.4+1.2
14 Cleveland Cavaliers32171553%120.2117.8+2.4
15 Miami Heat29151452%119.6117.7+2.0
16 Golden State Warriors31161552%114.5112.4+2.2
17 Atlanta Hawks31151648%118.8119.6-0.8
18 Chicago Bulls29141548%119.7123.0-3.3
19 Memphis Grizzlies30141647%115.0116.2-1.2
20 Milwaukee Bucks30121840%113.0116.2-3.1
21 Portland Trail Blazers30121840%117.1120.5-3.4
22 Dallas Mavericks32122038%113.7117.6-3.9
23 Utah Jazz29101934%119.9127.4-7.6
24 Charlotte Hornets30102033%115.4118.8-3.4
25 Brooklyn Nets2891932%109.3113.9-4.6
26 Los Angeles Clippers2982128%111.2115.7-4.5
27 New Orleans Pelicans3182326%115.5122.8-7.3
28 Sacramento Kings3072323%112.0122.5-10.5
29 Indiana Pacers3062420%109.2117.7-8.5
30 Washington Wizards2852318%112.6126.1-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Indiana Pacers39223031122
Boston Celtics28473629140
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