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Indiana State vs Ball State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 70-52
27-28 43-24
Position#311
Record3-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game74.2
vs
Position#288
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game68.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Indiana State v Ball State
22 Nov 2025
INDI70
BALL52
16 Dec 2023
INDI83
BALL72
12 Nov 2022
INDI83
BALL71
19 Dec 2020
INDI67
BALL57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ball State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#319
L
74-79
74
79
-5
H20/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A22/02
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A26/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
95-77
95
77
+18
H02/03
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
85-86
85
86
-1
A06/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
76-92
76
92
-16
A04/11
NCAA
Illinois Tech
#508
W
104-73
104
73
+31
H07/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
64-55
64
55
+9
A11/11
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
62-100
62
100
-38
A15/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H20/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-46
38-33
28-26
47-51
40-39
35-46
52-31
43-46
43-47
42-39
37-45
39-47
59-43
45-30
32-32
32-23
32-51
30-49
30-25
30-26
154.5Avg total
77.0Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)73.274.2147.4-1.060%
Season at home (2)82.062.0144.0+20.0100%
Season away (3)67.382.3149.7-15.033%
Last 10 (10)77.077.5154.5-0.540%
Last 5 (5)73.274.2147.4-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)68.683.5152.1-14.920%
vs Similar ◀ (15)82.280.2162.4+2.053%
vs Weaker (5)86.467.6154.0+18.880%
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#167
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A19/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H22/02
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
82-87
82
87
-5
H26/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A01/03
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
67-69
67
69
-2
H05/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A07/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H04/11
NCAA
Mansfield
#469
W
84-54
84
54
+30
H08/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
55-86
55
86
-31
A12/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
L
62-68
62
68
-6
H16/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-28
31-39
41-36
39-30
39-47
43-40
24-25
28-36
39-22
28-47
23-41
43-38
28-29
47-35
32-28
52-26
26-39
29-47
35-37
27-31
139.0Avg total
68.9Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)69.068.0137.0+1.050%
Season at home (3)73.762.0135.7+11.767%
Season away (1)55.086.0141.0-31.00%
Last 10 (10)68.970.1139.0-1.230%
Last 5 (5)68.470.2138.6-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.380.3150.6-10.014%
vs Similar ◀ (9)69.972.7142.6-2.833%
vs Weaker (12)79.471.2150.6+8.275%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: -0.2-0.2
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: -0.2-0.2
Indiana StateBall State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#319
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H20/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A22/02
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A26/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H02/03
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A06/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A04/11
NCAA
Illinois Tech
#508
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H07/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A11/11
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A15/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H20/11
NCAA
77.4Avg total
38.9Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.438.677.0-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.133.271.3+4.862%-
Last 30 away (17)38.642.881.4-4.224%-
Last 10 (10)38.938.577.4+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.277.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)32.641.774.3-9.120%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.337.877.1+1.547%-
vs Weaker (5)47.035.082.0+12.060%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#167
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A19/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H22/02
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H26/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
24-25
24
25
-1
A01/03
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H05/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
23-41
23
41
-18
A07/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H04/11
NCAA
Mansfield
#469
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H08/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A12/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H16/11
NCAA
65.4Avg total
32.2Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.734.570.3+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.232.970.1+4.453%-
Last 30 away (13)33.836.770.5-2.938%-
Last 10 (10)32.233.265.4-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)28.834.863.6-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.439.072.4-5.629%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)34.733.868.4+0.933%-
vs Weaker (12)37.932.370.2+5.667%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Indiana State wins
1
Ball State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/25HLouisiana Tech60-51
15/11/25ADuke62-100
11/11/25ASiu Edwardsville64-55
07/11/25HIllinois Tech104-73
04/11/25ACharlotte76-92
06/03/25ASouthern Illinois85-86
02/03/25HSouthern Illinois95-77
26/02/25AMurray State75-85
22/02/25ABelmont75-77
20/02/25HEvansville74-79
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/25HUALR62-68
12/11/25AWisconsin55-86
08/11/25HMansfield84-54
04/11/25HLouisiana Lafayette75-64
07/03/25AMiami (Ohio)66-79
05/03/25HCentral Michigan67-69
01/03/25ABowling Green52-61
26/02/25HAkron82-87
22/02/25HBuffalo80-66
19/02/25AToledo66-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game73.282.067.3
Allowed / game74.262.082.3
Point differential-1.0+20.0-15.0
Avg total147.4144.0149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ball State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game69.073.755.0
Allowed / game68.062.086.0
Point differential+1.0+11.7-31.0
Avg total137.0135.7141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Iowa440100%72.856.5+16.2
2 Belmont65183%78.569.7+8.8
3 Murray State54180%94.477.2+17.2
4 Valparaiso54180%70.271.6-1.4
5 Drake64267%78.863.0+15.8
6 Illinois (Chi.)64267%82.271.3+10.8
7 Illinois State53260%77.270.4+6.8
8 Indiana State53260%73.274.2-1.0
9 Southern Illinois42250%87.574.5+13.0
10 Evansville63350%73.368.2+5.2
11 Bradley52340%73.270.6+2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)440100%92.063.2+28.8
2 Buffalo550100%81.672.4+9.2
3 Akron54180%94.672.6+22.0
4 Kent State75271%92.686.4+6.1
5 Bowling Green53260%89.469.2+20.2
6 Toledo53260%82.078.0+4.0
7 Eastern Michigan53260%77.874.0+3.8
8 UMass63350%78.874.2+4.7
9 Northern Illinois63350%80.576.3+4.2
10 Ball State42250%69.068.0+1.0
11 Central Michigan62433%69.875.2-5.3
12 Western Michigan62433%76.382.0-5.7
13 Ohio51420%74.285.8-11.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Indiana State274370
Ball State282452
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