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Valparaiso vs Indiana State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 98-95 (OT)
45-40 41-46 12-9
Position#248
Record9-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game72.4
vs
Position#254
Record9-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game76.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Valparaiso v Indiana State
27 Jan 2027
VALP v INDI
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
VALP63
INDI62
15 Feb 2026
VALP76
INDI75
08 Jan 2025
VALP98
INDI95
21 Feb 2024
VALP64
INDI83
01 Jan 2023
VALP50
INDI68
05 Feb 2022
VALP79
INDI72
27 Feb 2021
VALP70
INDI58
26 Feb 2021
VALP43
INDI58
18 Jan 2020
VALP86
INDI77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#352
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H27/11
NCAA
DePaul
#269
L
70-89
70
89
-19
A29/11
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
60-66
60
66
-6
H06/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
93-77
93
77
+16
H14/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
73-95
73
95
-22
A18/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A20/12
NCAA
Calumet College
#539
W
107-57
107
57
+50
H22/12
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
75-81 OT
75
81
-6
A29/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A02/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-39
46-43
29-42
41-47
26-35
34-31
36-31
57-46
30-41
43-54
26-42
50-31
47-29
60-28
30-36
33-27
35-34
38-38
43-36
37-37
155.9Avg total
79.4Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.572.4151.9+7.160%
Season at home (9)84.865.9150.7+18.978%
Season away (6)71.782.2153.8-10.533%
Last 10 (10)79.476.5155.9+2.960%
Last 5 (5)82.271.2153.4+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)69.080.1149.1-11.014%
vs Similar ◀ (5)78.871.0149.8+7.880%
vs Weaker (3)90.070.7160.7+19.3100%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Indiana
#322
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A26/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H29/11
NCAA
Iona
#209
W
83-80
83
80
+3
A30/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#308
W
87-71
87
71
+16
A02/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A08/12
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H19/12
NCAA
St. Louis College of Pharmacy
#662
W
101-53
101
53
+48
H21/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
83-103
83
103
-20
A29/12
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
89-90 OT
89
90
-1
H02/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-40
48-47
35-46
46-40
45-45
38-35
53-31
34-40
36-40
44-37
41-26
43-48
56-19
45-34
47-52
36-51
34-30
48-52
31-36
35-26
161.4Avg total
83.1Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.476.7160.1+6.760%
Season at home (7)88.169.9158.0+18.357%
Season away (8)79.282.6161.9-3.462%
Last 10 (10)83.178.3161.4+4.860%
Last 5 (5)84.676.4161.0+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.487.0167.4-6.60%
vs Similar ◀ (9)83.083.8166.8-0.867%
vs Weaker (15)82.966.4149.3+16.587%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: +5.7+5.72nd half: +0.7+0.7
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: +5.7+5.72nd half: +0.7+0.7
ValparaisoIndiana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#352
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H27/11
NCAA
DePaul
#269
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A29/11
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H06/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H14/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A18/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A20/12
NCAA
Calumet College
#539
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H22/12
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A29/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A02/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H04/01
NCAA
70.8Avg total
34.3Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.937.071.9-2.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.434.672.0+2.862%-
Last 30 away (14)32.039.871.8-7.829%-
Last 10 (10)34.336.570.8-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)36.235.471.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)33.138.871.9-5.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)34.833.668.4+1.280%-
vs Weaker (3)38.036.774.7+1.367%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Indiana
#322
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A26/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H29/11
NCAA
Iona
#209
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A30/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#308
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A02/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A08/12
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H19/12
NCAA
St. Louis College of Pharmacy
#662
W
56-19
56
19
+37
H21/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A29/12
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H02/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A04/01
NCAA
77.2Avg total
40.7Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.236.475.6+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.634.574.1+5.161%-
Last 30 away (12)38.539.277.8-0.833%-
Last 10 (10)40.736.577.2+4.240%-
Last 5 (5)41.832.674.4+9.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.240.078.2-1.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)35.940.976.8-5.011%-
vs Weaker (15)41.431.773.1+9.780%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Valparaiso wins
6
Indiana State wins
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25HNorthern Iowa80-73
02/01/25AMissouri State73-72
29/12/24ABradley75-81 OT
22/12/24HCalumet College107-57
20/12/24AWestern Michigan76-73
18/12/24AOhio State73-95
14/12/24HCentral Michigan93-77
06/12/24HDrake60-66
29/11/24ADePaul70-89
27/11/24HNorthern Illinois87-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25AEvansville66-62
02/01/25HBradley89-90 OT
29/12/24AOhio State83-103
21/12/24HSt. Louis College of Pharmacy101-53
19/12/24HMurray State84-74
08/12/24AMissouri State80-77
02/12/24ATarleton87-71
30/11/24AIona83-80
29/11/24HArkansas State81-86
26/11/24ASouthern Indiana77-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW60%
HomeWLWWW78%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %60%78%33%
Points / game79.584.871.7
Allowed / game72.465.982.2
Point differential+7.1+18.9-10.5
Avg total151.9150.7153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%56%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %7%0%17%
Indiana State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeWLWWL57%
AwayWWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %60%57%62%
Points / game83.488.179.2
Allowed / game76.769.982.6
Point differential+6.7+18.3-3.4
Avg total160.1158.0161.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%57%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake1513287%71.958.1+13.7
2 Bradley1613381%80.168.1+11.9
3 Illinois (Chi.)1611569%80.773.4+7.3
4 Belmont1611569%81.778.8+2.9
5 Illinois State1510567%79.170.8+8.3
6 Valparaiso159660%79.572.4+7.1
7 Indiana State159660%83.476.7+6.7
8 Northern Iowa169756%76.967.8+9.2
9 Murray State169756%75.268.7+6.5
10 Evansville1551033%64.970.1-5.1
11 Southern Illinois1651131%72.076.2-4.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Valparaiso45411298
Indiana State4046995
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