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Ionikos vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 90-97 (OT)
22-12 11-14 18-25 28-28 11-18
Position#12
Record2-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game89.9
vs
Aris 🏆
Greece
Position#7
Record5-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game72.1
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 9
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Ionikos v Aris
11 Dec 2022
ION90
ARI97
09 Oct 2021
ION93
ARI83
03 Jan 2021
ION68
ARI64
26 Sep 2020
ION85
ARI73
26 Jan 2020
ION72
ARI65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ionikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IonikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIonikos
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
no box
H08/05
Basket League
Larisa
#6
L
84-86
84
86
-2
51avg 65
A14/05
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
89-84 OT
89
84
+5
no box
H08/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
84-97
84
97
-13
83avg 65
A16/10
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
62-86
62
86
-24
53avg 65
H23/10
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
78-82
78
82
-4
74avg 65
A29/10
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
81-107
81
107
-26
74avg 65
H06/11
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
L
77-92
77
92
-15
78avg 65
A19/11
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#10
W
79-75
79
75
+4
no box
H27/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
67-96
67
96
-29
55avg 65
A03/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
23-28
19-14
25-22
21-19
25-27
18-23
20-17
22-18
16-22
19-17
21-21
23-19
18-30
20-24
23-24
11-17
15-31
15-17
21-21
12-16
20-23
15-24
31-19
22-30
21-20
18-31
20-26
14-26
22-25
21-21
20-20
26-31
22-17
21-19
10-8
17-26
20-20
13-30
17-20
167.0Avg total
77.9Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.189.9167.0-12.825%
Season at home (4)77.888.0165.8-10.250%
Season away (4)76.591.8168.2-15.20%
Last 10 (10)77.989.1167.0-11.220%
Last 5 (5)76.490.4166.8-14.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)77.487.7165.1-10.332%
vs Similar (11)78.882.6161.5-3.827%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
65-85
65
85
-20
51avg 66
H24/05
Basket League
BC Wolves
#19
L
72-83
72
83
-11
no box
H27/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Panathinaikos
#2
W
69-65
69
65
+4
58avg 66
H09/10
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
66-88
66
88
-22
58avg 66
A15/10
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
66-83
66
83
-17
56avg 66
H24/10
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
76-63
76
63
+13
72avg 66
A29/10
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#10
W
70-57
70
57
+13
65avg 66
H05/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
90-92
90
92
-2
81avg 66
A19/11
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
85-68
85
68
+17
71avg 66
H26/11
Basket League
Lavrio
#9
W
87-61
87
61
+26
81avg 66
H04/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
12-25
16-17
21-20
21-15
23-29
15-17
13-22
16-15
13-5
16-25
24-20
21-21
14-26
15-18
16-23
13-20
12-21
21-27
20-15
25-18
22-18
16-16
13-11
11-22
19-10
17-15
23-10
21-23
23-30
28-18
18-21
15-13
29-18
17-22
24-15
25-18
23-17
17-16
22-10
149.1Avg total
74.6Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.172.1148.2+4.062%
Season at home (5)75.466.8142.2+8.680%
Season away (3)77.381.0158.3-3.733%
Last 10 (10)74.674.5149.1+0.150%
Last 5 (5)81.668.2149.8+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.489.1163.5-14.812%
vs Similar (16)76.875.6152.3+1.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)77.063.2140.2+13.880%
This opponent (Ionikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.7+2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.7+2.7
IonikosAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IonikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H08/05
Basket League
Larisa
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A14/05
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H08/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A16/10
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
26-48
26
48
-22
H23/10
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A29/10
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H06/11
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A19/11
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#10
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H27/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A03/12
Basket League
84.8Avg total
38.1Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.244.083.2-4.727%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.742.382.0-2.533%-
Last 30 away (15)38.745.784.4-6.920%-
Last 10 (10)38.146.784.8-8.60%-
Last 5 (5)39.246.886.0-7.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)39.545.685.2-6.121%-
vs Similar (11)38.741.179.8-2.436%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
28-48
28
48
-20
H24/05
Basket League
BC Wolves
#19
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H27/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Panathinaikos
#2
W
29-20
29
20
+9
H09/10
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A15/10
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H24/10
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A29/10
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#10
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H05/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A19/11
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H26/11
Basket League
Lavrio
#9
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H04/12
Basket League
76.1Avg total
37.4Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.838.774.5-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.436.472.8+0.050%-
Last 30 away (14)35.241.376.5-6.129%-
Last 10 (10)37.438.776.1-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)42.637.480.0+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)31.145.076.1-13.912%-
vs Similar (16)37.037.474.4-0.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)38.031.469.4+6.660%-
This opponent (Ionikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ionikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ionikos: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.716.8
47.1%
53.1%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.8
35.3%
33.3%29.4
🏀 Free throws16.812.8
76.2%
71.9%12.8
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.6 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.519.6
49.6%
53.1%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.3
35.0%
33.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws11.87.6
64.4%
71.9%7.6
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ionikos
LWLLLLLWLL
Aris
WWLWWLLWLL
#12
League position
#7
-16.7
Net rating
-1.6
99.6
Offensive rating
102.0
116.3
Defensive rating
103.6
49.6%
Effective FG%
50.8%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
19.6%
Turnover %
21.9%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
37.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.18
35.3%
3-point %
35.0%
74.4%
Assist %
52.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.6 · 102.0Defence116.3 · 103.6Shooting49.6% · 50.8%3-point %35.3% · 35.0%Ball care19.6% · 21.9%Off. rebounds26.4% · 37.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Ionikos   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Ionikos wins
2
Aris wins
DateGameScore
13/02/22Aris v Ionikos79-75
09/10/21Ionikos v Aris93-83 OT
10/04/21Aris v Ionikos74-62
03/01/21Ionikos v Aris68-64
26/09/20Ionikos v Aris85-73
26/01/20Ionikos v Aris72-65
19/10/19Aris v Ionikos72-77
Ionikoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/22APeristeri67-96
27/11/22HApollon Patras79-75
19/11/22AAEK Athens77-92
06/11/22HOlympiacos81-107
29/10/22APAOK78-82
23/10/22HPanathinaikos62-86
16/10/22APromitheas84-97
08/10/22HKolossos Rhodes89-84 OT
14/05/22ALarisa84-86
08/05/22HOlympiacos78-86
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/22HLavrio87-61
26/11/22HAS Karditsas85-68
19/11/22APeristeri90-92
05/11/22HApollon Patras70-57
29/10/22AAEK Athens76-63
24/10/22HOlympiacos66-83
15/10/22APAOK66-88
09/10/22HPanathinaikos69-65
27/09/22HBC Wolves72-83
24/05/22HPanathinaikos65-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ionikos
Basket League 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL25%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game77.177.876.5
Allowed / game89.988.091.8
Point differential-12.8-10.2-15.2
Avg total167.0165.8168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Aris
Basket League 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW62%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%80%33%
Points / game76.175.477.3
Allowed / game72.166.881.0
Point differential+4.0+8.6-3.7
Avg total148.2142.2158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos990100%92.368.7+23.7
2 AEK Athens86275%78.171.8+6.4
3 Peristeri86275%87.080.8+6.2
4 Panathinaikos75271%81.968.7+13.1
5 Aris85362%76.172.1+4.0
6 PAOK95456%79.878.8+1.0
7 Promitheas73443%81.182.0-0.9
8 Kolossos Rhodes83538%70.077.4-7.4
9 Apollon Patras93633%70.874.2-3.4
10 Ionikos82625%77.189.9-12.8
11 AS Karditsas81712%70.584.1-13.6
12 Lavrio91811%69.284.8-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Ionikos221118281190
Aris121425281897
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