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Aris vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 24 May 2022
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 65-85
16-23 12-25 16-17 21-20
Position#7
Record11-14
FormWWWLL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Position#2
Record23-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game68.9
GreeceBasket LeagueBasket League - Quarter-finals
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Aris v Panathinaikos
01 Nov 2026
ARI101
PAO91
01 Feb 2026
ARI102
PAO95
17 Mar 2025
ARI73
PAO83
02 Jun 2024
ARI65
PAO80
13 May 2024
ARI68
PAO80
12 Nov 2023
ARI65
PAO75
09 Oct 2022
ARI69
PAO65
24 May 2022
ARI65
PAO85
03 Oct 2021
ARI81
PAO71
17 Jan 2021
ARI75
PAO93
15 Feb 2020
ARI81
PAO88
13 Oct 2018
ARI70
PAO84
10 Dec 2017
ARI70
PAO88
21 Nov 2016
ARI59
PAO71
28 Apr 2015
ARI56
PAO72
24 Nov 2013
ARI59
PAO75
15 Oct 2012
ARI56
PAO71
21 Apr 2012
ARI65
PAO88
14 Jan 2012
ARI68
PAO72
18 Mar 2011
ARI69
PAO75
09 Feb 2011
ARI74
PAO70
08 Nov 2009
ARI62
PAO70
13 May 2009
ARI53
PAO66
21 Mar 2009
ARI69
PAO76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#5
W
91-73
91
73
+18
no box
H13/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
L
64-68
64
68
-4
55avg 67
A19/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
76-73
76
73
+3
62avg 67
H27/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
L
86-91
86
91
-5
83avg 67
A02/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
67-89
67
89
-22
60avg 67
A07/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
70-67
70
67
+3
60avg 67
A16/04
Basket League
PAOK
#8
W
77-76
77
76
+1
65avg 67
H20/04
Basket League
Larisa
#6
W
82-70
82
70
+12
78avg 67
H07/05
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
L
73-74
73
74
-1
71avg 67
A14/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
79-109
79
109
-30
67avg 67
A22/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-30
22-11
18-18
29-14
18-19
18-17
10-12
18-20
18-17
20-22
13-17
25-17
17-26
22-7
17-29
30-29
16-21
17-20
12-25
22-23
30-16
8-18
8-13
24-20
22-21
17-15
16-28
22-12
24-14
20-21
12-13
26-22
9-10
20-19
17-24
27-21
13-34
11-18
25-28
30-29
155.5Avg total
76.5Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)76.478.5154.9-2.044%
Season at home (12)79.373.8153.1+5.675%
Season away (13)73.882.8156.6-9.115%
Last 10 (10)76.579.0155.5-2.550%
Last 5 (5)76.279.2155.4-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)75.891.5167.3-15.717%
vs Similar (21)75.976.2152.0-0.348%
vs Weaker (2)71.565.0136.5+6.550%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#5
W
83-69
83
69
+14
no box
A03/04
Basket League
Alba Berlin
#14
L
78-87
78
87
-9
73avg 75
A06/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#13
W
62-59
62
59
+3
58avg 75
A08/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
62-68
62
68
-6
52avg 75
H11/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
W
91-82
91
82
+9
84avg 75
A17/04
Basket League
Larisa
#6
W
98-67
98
67
+31
89avg 75
H20/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
76-67
76
67
+9
70avg 75
A01/05
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
W
78-68
78
68
+10
77avg 75
H07/05
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
W
81-59
81
59
+22
79avg 75
A14/05
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
109-79
109
79
+30
114avg 75
H22/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
25-14
17-17
21-21
13-28
27-16
15-25
23-18
22-20
16-12
6-17
18-10
13-15
21-19
16-18
12-16
17-25
28-20
26-15
20-22
17-20
32-15
24-15
25-17
16-12
18-17
22-24
20-14
27-22
17-14
26-8
8-24
20-19
21-22
18-9
22-9
34-13
18-11
28-25
29-30
152.3Avg total
81.8Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)84.568.9153.4+15.692%
Season at home (13)87.369.5156.8+17.892%
Season away (12)81.468.2149.7+13.292%
Last 10 (10)81.870.5152.3+11.380%
Last 5 (5)88.468.0156.4+20.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.881.0154.8-7.230%
vs Similar (5)78.276.4154.6+1.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)84.869.0153.8+15.8100%
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +6.3+6.3Q3Q3: -5.9-5.9Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +1.7+1.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +6.3+6.3Q3Q3: -5.9-5.9Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +1.7+1.7
ArisPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H13/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A19/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H27/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A02/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A07/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A16/04
Basket League
PAOK
#8
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H20/04
Basket League
Larisa
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H07/05
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A14/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
24-52
24
52
-28
A22/05
Basket League
74.0Avg total
36.4Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.838.773.5-3.937%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.337.173.4-0.862%-
Last 30 away (17)33.639.973.5-6.418%-
Last 10 (10)36.437.674.0-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)34.837.272.0-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)31.248.379.5-17.20%-
vs Similar (21)36.437.674.0-1.148%-
vs Weaker (2)34.029.563.5+4.550%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#5
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A03/04
Basket League
Alba Berlin
#14
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A06/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#13
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A08/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H11/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A17/04
Basket League
Larisa
#6
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H20/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A01/05
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H07/05
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A14/05
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
52-24
52
24
+28
H22/05
Basket League
77.3Avg total
42.2Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.237.978.1+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.136.178.2+5.965%-
Last 30 away (13)37.740.378.0-2.631%-
Last 10 (10)42.235.177.3+7.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.033.077.0+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.241.980.1-3.740%-
vs Similar (5)40.037.877.8+2.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.535.376.9+6.253%-
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.817.8
47.1%
51.3%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.6
37.9%
34.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws16.910.9
64.5%
72.2%10.9
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.6
55.5%
51.3%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.2
35.9%
34.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws15.612.2
78.2%
72.2%12.2
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 May 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
LLWWWLLWLW
Panathinaikos
WWWWWWLWLW
#7
League position
#2
-4.3
Net rating
+15.9
103.5
Offensive rating
115.9
107.8
Defensive rating
100.0
51.0%
Effective FG%
54.9%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
17.6%
Turnover %
15.7%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.9%
3-point %
35.9%
60.2%
Assist %
62.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 115.9Defence107.8 · 100.0Shooting51.0% · 54.9%3-point %37.9% · 35.9%Ball care17.6% · 15.7%Off. rebounds29.0% · 31.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Aris   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Aris wins
9
Panathinaikos wins
DateGameScore
22/05/22Panathinaikos v Aris109-79
30/01/22Panathinaikos v Aris103-83
03/10/21Aris v Panathinaikos81-71
28/02/21Panathinaikos v Aris94-72
17/01/21Aris v Panathinaikos75-93
15/02/20Aris v Panathinaikos81-88
26/10/19Panathinaikos v Aris108-86
28/01/19Panathinaikos v Aris85-65
13/10/18Aris v Panathinaikos70-84
02/04/18Panathinaikos v Aris84-63
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/05/22APanathinaikos79-109
14/05/22AApollon Patras73-74
07/05/22HLarisa82-70
20/04/22HPAOK77-76
16/04/22APeristeri70-67
07/04/22AOlympiacos67-89
02/04/22AIraklis86-91
27/03/22HPromitheas76-73
19/03/22ALavrio64-68
13/03/22HAEK Athens91-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/05/22HAris109-79
14/05/22AIraklis81-59
07/05/22HApollon Patras78-68
01/05/22APromitheas76-67
20/04/22HLarisa98-67
17/04/22ALavrio91-82
11/04/22HOlympiacos62-68
08/04/22AFenerbahce62-59
06/04/22AAlba Berlin78-87
03/04/22AAEK Athens83-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL44%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayLLWLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %44%75%15%
Points / game76.479.373.8
Allowed / game78.573.882.8
Point differential-2.0+5.6-9.1
Avg total154.9153.1156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%42%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)67% (6)17% (6)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Panathinaikos
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWLWWW92%
AwayWWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %92%92%92%
Points / game84.587.381.4
Allowed / game68.969.568.2
Point differential+15.6+17.8+13.2
Avg total153.4156.8149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+72%92%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2423196%92.672.6+20.0
2 Panathinaikos2523292%84.568.9+15.6
3 Kolossos Rhodes26151158%74.874.0+0.8
4 Larisa26141254%77.380.7-3.4
5 Promitheas25131252%78.178.4-0.3
6 AEK Athens25131252%76.480.8-4.4
7 Aris25111444%76.478.5-2.0
8 PAOK24101442%76.275.8+0.5
9 Peristeri24101442%75.377.6-2.2
10 Lavrio2481633%73.980.3-6.5
11 Apollon Patras2481633%72.879.7-6.9
12 Iraklis2461825%74.879.6-4.8
13 Ionikos2461825%76.582.8-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris1612162165
Panathinaikos2325172085
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