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Aris vs Apollon Patras Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 70-57
11-22 19-10 17-15 23-10
Position#7
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game74.8
Aris 🏆
Greece
vs
Position#10
Record1-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game79.8
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 5
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Aris v Apollon Patras
06 Jan 2024
ARI76
APA63
05 Nov 2022
ARI70
APA57
22 Jan 2022
ARI70
APA56
01 Apr 2017
ARI79
APA70
25 Oct 2014
ARI69
APA64
24 Feb 2014
ARI67
APA75
02 Mar 2013
ARI68
APA64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Apollon Patras winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
PAOK
#8
W
77-76
77
76
+1
65avg 66
H20/04
Basket League
Larisa
#6
W
82-70
82
70
+12
78avg 66
H07/05
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
L
73-74
73
74
-1
71avg 66
A14/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
79-109
79
109
-30
67avg 66
A22/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
65-85
65
85
-20
51avg 66
H24/05
Basket League
BC Wolves
#19
L
72-83
72
83
-11
no box
H27/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Panathinaikos
#2
W
69-65
69
65
+4
58avg 66
H09/10
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
66-88
66
88
-22
58avg 66
A15/10
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
66-83
66
83
-17
56avg 66
H24/10
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
76-63
76
63
+13
72avg 66
A29/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
17-15
16-28
22-12
24-14
20-21
12-13
26-22
9-10
20-19
17-24
27-21
13-34
11-18
25-28
30-29
16-23
12-25
16-17
21-20
21-15
23-29
15-17
13-22
16-15
13-5
16-25
24-20
21-21
14-26
15-18
16-23
13-20
12-21
21-27
20-15
25-18
22-18
16-16
13-11
152.1Avg total
72.5Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)69.274.8144.0-5.550%
Season at home (2)67.574.0141.5-6.550%
Season away (2)71.075.5146.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)72.579.6152.1-7.140%
Last 5 (5)69.876.4146.2-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.188.7160.9-16.614%
vs Similar (20)76.276.2152.4+0.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)71.565.0136.5+6.550%
This opponent (Apollon Patras) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Apollon PatrasGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPatras
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#9
W
74-72
74
72
+2
62avg 61
H09/04
Basket League
PAOK
#8
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
A16/04
Basket League
Larisa
#6
L
74-83
74
83
-9
66avg 61
A01/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
68-78
68
78
-10
56avg 61
A07/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
68-94
68
94
-26
58avg 61
H11/05
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
74-73
74
73
+1
70avg 61
H14/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
61-87
61
87
-26
no box
H10/10
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
L
68-83
68
83
-15
55avg 61
A15/10
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
78-72 OT
78
72
+6
no box
H22/10
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
71-77
71
77
-6
no box
H29/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
24-22
20-25
15-7
22-23
16-22
18-19
20-17
19-18
19-22
20-21
16-22
22-27
14-17
8-26
24-8
16-19
20-29
16-25
16-21
10-9
19-20
24-17
21-27
18-26
15-24
9-25
19-12
12-21
13-16
19-18
24-28
19-16
21-13
20-18
10-23
22-23
22-16
16-27
11-11
151.2Avg total
71.2Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)69.579.8149.2-10.225%
Season at home (3)70.078.7148.7-8.733%
Season away (1)68.083.0151.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)71.280.0151.2-8.830%
Last 5 (5)70.478.4148.8-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)67.681.7149.3-14.113%
vs Similar (14)77.376.4153.6+0.957%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
ArisApollon Patras
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#8
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H20/04
Basket League
Larisa
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H07/05
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A14/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
24-52
24
52
-28
A22/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
28-48
28
48
-20
H24/05
Basket League
BC Wolves
#19
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H27/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Panathinaikos
#2
W
29-20
29
20
+9
H09/10
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A15/10
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H24/10
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A29/10
Basket League
73.2Avg total
34.4Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.239.074.1-3.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.037.373.3-1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)34.340.674.9-6.327%-
Last 10 (10)34.438.873.2-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)36.037.673.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)29.343.973.1-14.614%-
vs Similar (20)36.938.074.8-1.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)34.029.563.5+4.550%-
This opponent (Apollon Patras) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Apollon PatrasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#9
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H09/04
Basket League
PAOK
#8
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A16/04
Basket League
Larisa
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A01/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A07/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H11/05
Basket League
Aris
#7
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H14/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H10/10
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A15/10
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H22/10
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H29/10
Basket League
75.9Avg total
35.8Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.039.076.0-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.436.873.2-0.444%-
Last 30 away (14)37.841.579.3-3.729%-
Last 10 (10)35.840.175.9-4.320%-
Last 5 (5)34.236.871.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)34.841.276.0-6.427%-
vs Similar (14)38.636.575.1+2.143%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.318.8
47.8%
53.1%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.5
35.9%
33.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws14.38.4
58.7%
71.9%8.4
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Apollon Patrastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Apollon Patras: 69.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.115.6
50.2%
53.1%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.3
34.1%
33.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws14.410.7
74.3%
71.9%10.7
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
WLLWLLLLWW
Apollon Patras
LWLLWLLLLW
#7
League position
#10
-8.0
Net rating
-11.7
99.8
Offensive rating
101.8
107.7
Defensive rating
113.4
50.1%
Effective FG%
50.6%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
19.7%
Turnover %
18.1%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.9%
3-point %
34.1%
56.4%
Assist %
57.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence99.8 · 101.8Defence107.7 · 113.4Shooting50.1% · 50.6%3-point %35.9% · 34.1%Ball care19.7% · 18.1%Off. rebounds31.4% · 26.1%Free throws0.23 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Aris   ■ Apollon Patras
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Aris wins
4
Apollon Patras wins
DateGameScore
14/05/22Apollon Patras v Aris74-73
22/01/22Aris v Apollon Patras70-56
01/04/17Aris v Apollon Patras79-70
17/12/16Apollon Patras v Aris64-79
14/02/15Apollon Patras v Aris76-60
25/10/14Aris v Apollon Patras69-64
24/02/14Aris v Apollon Patras67-75 OT
18/11/13Apollon Patras v Aris76-78
02/03/13Aris v Apollon Patras68-64
19/11/12Apollon Patras v Aris64-53
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/22AAEK Athens76-63
24/10/22HOlympiacos66-83
15/10/22APAOK66-88
09/10/22HPanathinaikos69-65
27/09/22HBC Wolves72-83
24/05/22HPanathinaikos65-85
22/05/22APanathinaikos79-109
14/05/22AApollon Patras73-74
07/05/22HLarisa82-70
20/04/22HPAOK77-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/22HPeristeri71-77
22/10/22HAS Karditsas78-72 OT
15/10/22AAEK Athens68-83
10/10/22HOlympiacos61-87
14/05/22HAris74-73
11/05/22HOlympiacos68-94
07/05/22APanathinaikos68-78
01/05/22ALarisa74-83
16/04/22APAOK76-81
09/04/22HPeristeri74-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Basket League 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game69.267.571.0
Allowed / game74.874.075.5
Point differential-5.5-6.5-4.5
Avg total144.0141.5146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Apollon Patras
Basket League 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLWL33%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %25%33%0%
Points / game69.570.068.0
Allowed / game79.878.783.0
Point differential-10.2-8.7-15.0
Avg total149.2148.7151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %25%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos440100%92.266.8+25.5
2 Panathinaikos43175%80.267.0+13.2
3 PAOK43175%80.574.8+5.8
4 AEK Athens43175%77.271.8+5.5
5 Promitheas32167%84.777.7+7.0
6 Peristeri42250%80.283.2-3.0
7 Aris42250%69.274.8-5.5
8 AS Karditsas31233%64.771.3-6.7
9 Kolossos Rhodes41325%69.273.0-3.8
10 Ionikos41325%78.287.2-9.0
11 Apollon Patras41325%69.579.8-10.2
12 Lavrio4040%70.289.0-18.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris1119172370
Apollon Patras2210151057
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