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AEK Athens vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 12:45
Final 63-76
18-25 18-22 16-16 11-13
Position#5
Record3-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game70.3
vs
Aris 🏆
Greece
Position#7
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game78.7
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 4
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · AEK Athens v Aris
03 Apr 2027
AAT v ARI
upcoming
25 May 2026
AAT102
ARI99
14 May 2026
AAT87
ARI81
27 Dec 2025
AAT82
ARI76
28 Dec 2024
AAT102
ARI89
20 Jan 2024
AAT91
ARI93
29 Oct 2022
AAT63
ARI76
23 Oct 2021
AAT64
ARI63
20 Dec 2020
AAT84
ARI67
13 Dec 2019
AAT92
ARI79
30 Mar 2019
AAT81
ARI73
03 Feb 2018
AAT73
ARI64
03 Jun 2017
AAT71
ARI60
28 May 2017
AAT90
ARI74
07 Jan 2017
AAT81
ARI61
16 May 2015
AAT92
ARI54
29 Mar 2015
AAT93
ARI77
08 Jan 2011
AAT65
ARI74
19 Dec 2009
AAT77
ARI76
08 Mar 2009
AAT65
ARI71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#9
W
78-72
78
72
+6
73avg 71
H07/05
Basket League
PAOK
#8
L
72-96
72
96
-24
56avg 71
A14/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
82-95
82
95
-13
75avg 71
H23/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
no box
A25/05
Basket League
Karsiyaka
#38
L
88-91
88
91
-3
no box
A04/10
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
79-63
79
63
+16
75avg 71
H09/10
Basket League
Reggiana
#36
W
84-73
84
73
+11
84avg 71
A12/10
Champions League
Apollon Patras
#10
W
83-68
83
68
+15
85avg 71
H15/10
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
W
84-80
84
80
+4
82avg 71
A23/10
Basket League
Bonn
#1
L
66-73
66
73
-7
59avg 71
H25/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
22-12
17-26
19-17
12-22
24-27
19-25
17-22
22-25
20-19
16-25
24-26
15-20
14-19
19-18
17-8
21-15
21-27
23-27
23-22
23-11
26-16
15-23
15-13
18-19
33-17
16-12
17-25
21-12
16-13
18-19
28-24
20-15
20-22
18-27
26-16
16-12
20-11
10-29
20-21
157.9Avg total
79.1Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.070.3152.3+11.7100%
Season at home (2)81.065.5146.5+15.5100%
Season away (1)84.080.0164.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.178.8157.9+0.350%
Last 5 (5)79.271.4150.6+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.977.7150.6-4.840%
vs Similar ◀ (16)80.682.9163.5-2.250%
vs Weaker (3)82.068.0150.0+14.0100%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#9
W
70-67
70
67
+3
60avg 65
A16/04
Basket League
PAOK
#8
W
77-76
77
76
+1
65avg 65
H20/04
Basket League
Larisa
#6
W
82-70
82
70
+12
78avg 65
H07/05
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
L
73-74
73
74
-1
71avg 65
A14/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
79-109
79
109
-30
67avg 65
A22/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
65-85
65
85
-20
51avg 65
H24/05
Basket League
BC Wolves
#19
L
72-83
72
83
-11
no box
H27/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Panathinaikos
#2
W
69-65
69
65
+4
58avg 65
H09/10
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
66-88
66
88
-22
58avg 65
A15/10
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
66-83
66
83
-17
56avg 65
H24/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-16
8-18
8-13
24-20
22-21
17-15
16-28
22-12
24-14
20-21
12-13
26-22
9-10
20-19
17-24
27-21
13-34
11-18
25-28
30-29
16-23
12-25
16-17
21-20
21-15
23-29
15-17
13-22
16-15
13-5
16-25
24-20
21-21
14-26
15-18
16-23
13-20
12-21
21-27
20-15
151.9Avg total
71.9Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)67.078.7145.7-11.733%
Season at home (2)67.574.0141.5-6.550%
Season away (1)66.088.0154.0-22.00%
Last 10 (10)71.980.0151.9-8.140%
Last 5 (5)67.680.8148.4-13.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.286.5159.8-13.225%
vs Similar ◀ (19)76.276.9153.1-0.747%
vs Weaker (2)71.565.0136.5+6.550%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -6.0-6.0Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.9+1.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -6.0-6.0Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.9+1.9
AEK AthensAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#9
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H07/05
Basket League
PAOK
#8
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A14/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H23/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A25/05
Basket League
Karsiyaka
#38
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A04/10
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H09/10
Basket League
Reggiana
#36
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A12/10
Champions League
Apollon Patras
#10
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H15/10
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A23/10
Basket League
Bonn
#1
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H25/10
Champions League
75.5Avg total
40.4Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.437.977.3+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.136.077.1+5.175%-
Last 30 away (14)37.440.177.6-2.729%-
Last 10 (10)40.435.175.5+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.629.672.2+13.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.336.871.1-2.540%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)40.939.880.7+1.150%-
vs Weaker (3)45.729.375.0+16.3100%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#9
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A16/04
Basket League
PAOK
#8
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H20/04
Basket League
Larisa
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H07/05
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A14/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
24-52
24
52
-28
A22/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
28-48
28
48
-20
H24/05
Basket League
BC Wolves
#19
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H27/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Panathinaikos
#2
W
29-20
29
20
+9
H09/10
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A15/10
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H24/10
Basket League
72.1Avg total
33.5Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.439.273.6-4.837%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.237.772.9-2.450%-
Last 30 away (14)33.440.974.4-7.521%-
Last 10 (10)33.538.672.1-5.140%-
Last 5 (5)32.240.072.2-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)28.643.872.4-15.112%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)36.438.174.4-1.747%-
vs Weaker (2)34.029.563.5+4.550%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.6
52.8%
53.1%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.5
34.1%
33.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.916.1
73.5%
71.9%16.1
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 70.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.5 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.918.5
46.4%
53.1%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.3
35.9%
33.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws14.48.5
59.0%
71.9%8.5
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
LWWWWLLLLW
Aris
LLWLLLLWWW
#5
League position
#7
+1.6
Net rating
-13.1
106.9
Offensive rating
97.9
105.2
Defensive rating
110.9
52.2%
Effective FG%
49.1%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
58.1%
19.4%
Turnover %
20.0%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.1%
3-point %
35.9%
66.4%
Assist %
57.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 97.9Defence105.2 · 110.9Shooting52.2% · 49.1%3-point %34.1% · 35.9%Ball care19.4% · 20.0%Off. rebounds30.9% · 31.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
AEK Athens wins
2
Aris wins
DateGameScore
13/03/22Aris v AEK Athens91-73
23/10/21AEK Athens v Aris64-63
27/03/21Aris v AEK Athens68-73
20/12/20AEK Athens v Aris84-67
13/12/19AEK Athens v Aris92-79
30/03/19AEK Athens v Aris81-73
08/12/18Aris v AEK Athens77-81
03/02/18AEK Athens v Aris73-64
14/10/17Aris v AEK Athens64-62
03/06/17AEK Athens v Aris71-60
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/22HBonn66-73
23/10/22APeristeri84-80
15/10/22HApollon Patras83-68
12/10/22AReggiana84-73
09/10/22HAS Karditsas79-63
04/10/22AKarsiyaka88-91
25/05/22APromitheas75-77 OT
23/05/22HPromitheas82-95
14/05/22APAOK72-96
07/05/22HPeristeri78-72
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/22HOlympiacos66-83
15/10/22APAOK66-88
09/10/22HPanathinaikos69-65
27/09/22HBC Wolves72-83
24/05/22HPanathinaikos65-85
22/05/22APanathinaikos79-109
14/05/22AApollon Patras73-74
07/05/22HLarisa82-70
20/04/22HPAOK77-76
16/04/22APeristeri70-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.081.084.0
Allowed / game70.365.580.0
Point differential+11.7+15.5+4.0
Avg total152.3146.5164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aris
Basket League 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game67.067.566.0
Allowed / game78.774.088.0
Point differential-11.7-6.5-22.0
Avg total145.7141.5154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos330100%90.368.7+21.7
2 AEK Athens330100%82.070.3+11.7
3 Panathinaikos32167%81.367.0+14.3
4 Promitheas32167%84.777.7+7.0
5 PAOK32167%80.073.7+6.3
6 Kolossos Rhodes31233%70.071.7-1.7
7 Peristeri31233%81.387.3-6.0
8 AS Karditsas31233%64.771.3-6.7
9 Ionikos31233%78.389.0-10.7
10 Apollon Patras31233%69.080.7-11.7
11 Aris31233%67.078.7-11.7
12 Lavrio3030%73.386.0-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens1818161163
Aris2522161376
← all games of the day
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