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Larisa vs Ionikos Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 May 2022
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 86-84
19-21 27-25 23-18 17-20
Position#6
Record11-12
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game81.3
vs
Position#13
Record6-17
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game82.7
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 26
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Larisa v Ionikos
14 May 2022
LAR86
ION84
12 Dec 2020
LAR76
ION97
01 Feb 2020
LAR82
ION72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Larisa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ionikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LarisaGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarisa
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#5
W
82-65
82
65
+17
78avg 70
H12/02
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
W
91-77
91
77
+14
92avg 70
A06/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
W
90-85
90
85
+5
85avg 70
A19/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
77-71
77
71
+6
72avg 70
A03/04
Basket League
PAOK
#8
W
74-70
74
70
+4
64avg 70
H09/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
84-93
84
93
-9
73avg 70
A16/04
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
67-98
67
98
-31
55avg 70
A20/04
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
W
83-74
83
74
+9
85avg 70
H01/05
Basket League
Aris
#7
L
70-82
70
82
-12
57avg 70
A07/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
84-77
84
77
+7
82avg 70
H11/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
20-15
21-19
26-15
25-22
14-21
29-15
23-19
19-28
31-17
23-17
17-23
14-26
21-18
21-11
21-16
17-18
21-15
19-15
17-22
25-20
19-26
14-29
26-18
20-17
15-32
15-24
17-25
18-19
22-19
21-20
22-16
14-24
21-20
13-12
22-26
19-16
25-14
17-22
23-25
159.4Avg total
80.2Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)77.081.3158.2-4.348%
Season at home (11)75.378.0153.3-2.755%
Season away (12)78.584.2162.8-5.842%
Last 10 (10)80.279.2159.4+1.070%
Last 5 (5)77.684.8162.4-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.387.5161.8-13.318%
vs Similar ◀ (18)76.977.4154.4-0.556%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ionikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IonikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIonikos
Date
Competition
Aris
#7
L
75-79
75
79
-4
67avg 61
A13/02
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
61-68
61
68
-7
48avg 61
H07/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
L
75-92
75
92
-17
63avg 61
A19/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
L
84-91
84
91
-7
81avg 61
H26/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
W
86-84
86
84
+2
75avg 61
H30/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
84-88
84
88
-4
78avg 61
A02/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
L
82-87
82
87
-5
68avg 61
H20/04
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
W
74-62
74
62
+12
63avg 61
H27/04
Basket League
PAOK
#8
W
80-79
80
79
+1
73avg 61
A30/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
no box
H08/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-17
23-14
18-30
23-18
15-15
23-20
16-20
7-13
18-26
21-21
12-26
24-19
20-23
25-22
20-20
19-26
24-19
21-27
19-26
22-12
22-25
24-22
19-27
19-14
19-17
20-19
19-27
24-24
21-16
12-13
16-20
25-13
23-19
19-22
18-19
20-19
11-22
23-28
19-14
25-22
159.5Avg total
77.9Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)76.182.7158.8-6.626%
Season at home (12)76.280.7156.8-4.525%
Season away (11)76.184.9161.0-8.827%
Last 10 (10)77.981.6159.5-3.730%
Last 5 (5)79.680.4160.0-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)76.587.1163.5-10.627%
vs Similar ◀ (15)77.380.2157.5-2.933%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Larisa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +2.8+2.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +2.8+2.8
LarisaIonikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LarisaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#5
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H12/02
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A06/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A19/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A03/04
Basket League
PAOK
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H09/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A16/04
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A20/04
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H01/05
Basket League
Aris
#7
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A07/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H11/05
Basket League
79.8Avg total
39.5Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.938.975.8-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.136.673.6+0.557%-
Last 30 away (16)36.840.977.7-4.125%-
Last 10 (10)39.540.379.8-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.641.481.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.542.080.5-3.536%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)36.837.874.6-1.144%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ionikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IonikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#7
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A13/02
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H07/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A19/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H26/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H30/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A02/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H20/04
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H27/04
Basket League
PAOK
#8
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A30/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H08/05
Basket League
80.2Avg total
39.5Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.041.780.7-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.340.280.5+0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)37.743.380.9-5.633%-
Last 10 (10)39.540.780.2-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.840.679.4-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)40.444.384.7-3.933%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.539.176.7-1.647%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Larisa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Larisatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Larisa: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.4
50.1%
51.3%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.5
35.7%
34.4%22.5
🏀 Free throws24.817.9
72.2%
72.2%17.9
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ionikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ionikos: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.016.8
48.0%
51.3%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.9
33.9%
34.4%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.213.8
75.8%
72.2%13.8
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 May 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Larisa
WLWLLWWWWW
Ionikos
LWWLLWLLLL
#6
League position
#13
+0.8
Net rating
-4.8
106.4
Offensive rating
104.7
105.6
Defensive rating
109.4
51.3%
Effective FG%
49.3%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
21.9%
Turnover %
16.7%
35.1%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.7%
3-point %
33.9%
61.0%
Assist %
56.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 104.7Defence105.6 · 109.4Shooting51.3% · 49.3%3-point %35.7% · 33.9%Ball care21.9% · 16.7%Off. rebounds35.1% · 28.3%Free throws0.42 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Larisa   ■ Ionikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Larisa wins
4
Ionikos wins
DateGameScore
22/01/22Ionikos v Larisa84-89
22/09/21Ionikos v Larisa74-66
21/03/21Ionikos v Larisa83-76
12/12/20Larisa v Ionikos76-97
01/02/20Larisa v Ionikos82-72
26/10/19Ionikos v Larisa68-64
Larisalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/22HPromitheas84-77
07/05/22AAris70-82
01/05/22HApollon Patras83-74
20/04/22APanathinaikos67-98
16/04/22AOlympiacos84-93
09/04/22HPAOK74-70
03/04/22APeristeri77-71
19/03/22AIraklis90-85
06/03/22ALavrio91-77
12/02/22HAEK Athens82-65
Ionikoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/22HOlympiacos78-86
30/04/22APAOK80-79
27/04/22HIraklis74-62
20/04/22HPeristeri82-87
02/04/22APromitheas84-88
30/03/22HKolossos Rhodes86-84
26/03/22HLavrio84-91
19/03/22AAEK Athens75-92
07/03/22HPanathinaikos61-68
13/02/22AAris75-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Larisa
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW48%
HomeLWWWW55%
AwayWWLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %48%55%42%
Points / game77.075.378.5
Allowed / game81.378.084.2
Point differential-4.3-2.7-5.8
Avg total158.2153.3162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%9%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)75% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Ionikos
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL26%
HomeLWLWL25%
AwayLLLLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %26%25%27%
Points / game76.176.276.1
Allowed / game82.780.784.9
Point differential-6.6-4.5-8.8
Avg total158.8156.8161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)25% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2322196%92.672.6+20.0
2 Panathinaikos2321291%83.668.9+14.7
3 Kolossos Rhodes2315865%75.173.0+2.1
4 AEK Athens23131057%76.379.5-3.2
5 Promitheas24121250%77.478.2-0.9
6 Aris23111248%76.577.3-0.9
7 Larisa23111248%77.081.3-4.3
8 PAOK2391439%75.375.9-0.6
9 Peristeri2391439%74.777.5-2.8
10 Lavrio2381535%73.679.9-6.3
11 Apollon Patras2371630%72.880.0-7.2
12 Iraklis2361726%75.579.6-4.1
13 Ionikos2361726%76.182.7-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Larisa1927231786
Ionikos2125182084
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