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Iowa State vs Arizona State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 91-42
45-16 46-26
Position#34
Record24-7
FormLWLLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game66.3
Iowa State 🏆
USA
vs
Arizona State
USA
Position#194
Record17-15
FormLWWLW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game77.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Iowa State v Arizona State
11 Mar 2026
IOWA91
ARIZ42
07 Mar 2026
IOWA86
ARIZ65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iowa State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arizona State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Iowa StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas State
#292
W
95-61
95
61
+34
A01/02
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H07/02
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
55-62
55
62
-7
A11/02
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H14/02
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H17/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A22/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
75-59
75
59
+16
A25/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H28/02
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A03/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
W
86-65
86
65
+21
H07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
50-21
45-40
37-33
35-36
30-29
25-33
37-27
37-29
43-40
27-27
30-39
39-40
41-31
34-28
29-45
44-37
25-37
32-36
37-41
49-24
139.9Avg total
72.6Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)81.366.3147.5+15.077%
Season at home (18)86.662.8149.4+23.894%
Season away (13)73.871.1144.9+2.854%
Last 10 (10)72.667.3139.9+5.360%
Last 5 (5)72.071.6143.6+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)63.570.0133.5-6.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)82.366.6148.9+15.779%
This opponent (Arizona State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arizona StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Utes
#333
W
71-63
71
63
+8
A05/02
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A08/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H11/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H18/02
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A21/02
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
78-90
78
90
-12
A25/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
73-60
73
60
+13
H28/02
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H04/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
65-86
65
86
-21
A07/03
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
41-25
30-38
32-39
38-39
39-34
46-42
37-36
35-31
40-32
28-41
30-33
48-57
34-24
39-36
40-20
30-40
41-37
24-49
44-35
39-44
146.7Avg total
73.5Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)77.477.9155.3-0.553%
Season at home (19)78.473.6151.9+4.868%
Season away (13)76.084.3160.3-8.331%
Last 10 (10)73.573.2146.7+0.360%
Last 5 (5)73.875.0148.8-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)75.980.9156.8-5.142%
vs Similar (11)79.475.1154.5+4.364%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Iowa State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: +6.3+6.32nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: -6.0-6.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: +6.3+6.32nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: -6.0-6.0
Iowa StateArizona State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Iowa StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas State
#292
W
50-21
50
21
+29
A01/02
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H07/02
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A11/02
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H14/02
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H17/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A22/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A25/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H28/02
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A03/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H07/03
NCAA
70.2Avg total
35.9Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.132.471.6+6.770%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.131.673.6+10.582%-
Last 30 away (13)35.333.568.8+1.854%-
Last 10 (10)35.934.370.2+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)32.438.671.0-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)34.038.572.5-4.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)39.532.071.5+7.571%-
This opponent (Arizona State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arizona StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Utes
#333
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A05/02
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A08/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H11/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H18/02
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A21/02
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A25/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H28/02
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
40-20
40
20
+20
H04/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A07/03
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H10/03
NCAA
69.3Avg total
37.8Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.337.274.5+0.053%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.435.874.2+2.659%-
Last 30 away (13)35.839.274.9-3.446%-
Last 10 (10)37.831.569.3+6.380%-
Last 5 (5)37.829.867.6+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)37.137.674.7-0.658%-
vs Similar (11)37.636.574.2+1.145%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Iowa State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Iowa State wins
0
Arizona State wins
DateGameScore
07/03/26Iowa State v Arizona State86-65
25/01/25Arizona State v Iowa State61-76
Iowa Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HArizona State86-65
03/03/26AArizona57-73
28/02/26HTexas Tech73-82
25/02/26AUtah Utes75-59
22/02/26ABrigham Young69-79
17/02/26HHouston70-67
14/02/26HKansas74-56
11/02/26ATCU55-62
07/02/26HBaylor72-69
01/02/26AKansas State95-61
Arizona Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/26HBaylor83-79
07/03/26AIowa State65-86
04/03/26HKansas70-60
28/02/26HUtah Utes73-60
25/02/26ATCU78-90
21/02/26ABaylor68-73
18/02/26HTexas Tech72-67
11/02/26HOklahoma State85-76
08/02/26AColorado70-78
05/02/26AUtah Utes71-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iowa State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW77%
HomeWWWLW94%
AwayWLLWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311813
Win %77%94%54%
Points / game81.386.673.8
Allowed / game66.362.871.1
Point differential+15.0+23.8+2.8
Avg total147.5149.4144.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%78%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arizona State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW53%
HomeWWWWW68%
AwayWLLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321913
Win %53%68%31%
Points / game77.478.476.0
Allowed / game77.973.684.3
Point differential-0.5+4.8-8.3
Avg total155.3151.9160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona3129294%86.768.6+18.1
2 Houston3126584%77.662.7+14.9
3 Iowa State3124777%81.366.3+15.0
4 Texas Tech3122971%81.372.5+8.7
5 Kansas3122971%76.569.3+7.2
6 Brigham Young32221069%85.076.2+8.7
7 TCU31211068%77.971.4+6.6
8 UCF Knights30201067%82.278.8+3.4
9 Oklahoma State32191359%84.282.5+1.6
10 West Virginia31181358%69.964.6+5.2
11 Cincinnati32181456%73.467.6+5.8
12 Colorado32171553%80.079.4+0.5
13 Arizona State32171553%77.477.9-0.5
14 Baylor32161650%82.677.2+5.4
15 Kansas State32122038%79.681.8-2.3
16 Utah Utes32102231%74.379.1-4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Iowa State454691
Arizona State162642
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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