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Iowa State vs Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 02:09
Final 69-72
26-36 43-36
Position#18
Record29-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game61.2
vs
Position#27
Record28-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game73.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iowa State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Iowa StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Virginia
#338
W
71-64
71
64
+7
H24/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H29/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#180
W
60-52
60
52
+8
A02/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H07/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#151
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A09/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#151
W
76-57
76
57
+19
H14/03
NCAA
Baylor
#58
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H16/03
NCAA
Houston
#9
W
69-41
69
41
+28
A16/03
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#95
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H21/03
NCAA
Washington State
#45
W
67-56
67
56
+11
H23/03
NCAA
1H
2H
40-30
31-34
25-20
33-25
36-29
24-23
27-38
41-25
24-28
34-37
34-27
42-30
35-27
41-35
30-23
39-18
40-33
42-32
27-27
40-29
125.5Avg total
68.5Scored
57.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)75.561.2136.8+14.281%
Season at home (23)79.358.0137.3+21.296%
Season away (13)68.866.9135.8+1.954%
Last 10 (10)68.557.0125.5+11.590%
Last 5 (5)74.056.2130.2+17.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)66.263.4129.6+2.860%
vs Weaker (25)75.762.8138.5+12.984%
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#162
W
95-85
95
85
+10
H24/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
105-97
105
97
+8
H29/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
91-83
91
83
+8
A02/03
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H06/03
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
73-61
73
61
+12
A10/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H15/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
W
98-87
98
87
+11
H16/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
93-87
93
87
+6
H17/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#34
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H21/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#68
W
89-63
89
63
+26
H24/03
NCAA
1H
2H
44-43
51-42
48-45
57-52
39-37
52-46
40-34
31-43
39-29
34-32
31-29
46-45
40-51
58-36
41-40
52-47
39-38
46-31
50-26
39-37
166.0Avg total
87.7Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)84.673.4157.9+11.278%
Season at home (25)85.170.7155.8+14.488%
Season away (11)83.479.4162.7+4.055%
Last 10 (10)87.778.3166.0+9.490%
Last 5 (5)88.476.0164.4+12.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.178.8160.9+3.360%
vs Weaker (20)87.875.0162.8+12.885%
This opponent (Iowa State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: +3.9+3.92nd half2nd half: +7.9+7.92nd half: +5.5+5.5
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: +3.9+3.92nd half2nd half: +7.9+7.92nd half: +5.5+5.5
Iowa StateIllinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Iowa StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Virginia
#338
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H24/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
W
25-20
25
20
+5
H29/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#180
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A02/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H07/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#151
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A09/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#151
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H14/03
NCAA
Baylor
#58
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H16/03
NCAA
Houston
#9
W
30-23
30
23
+7
A16/03
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#95
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H21/03
NCAA
Washington State
#45
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H23/03
NCAA
60.0Avg total
31.8Scored
28.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.128.463.4+6.777%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.627.664.2+9.089%-
Last 30 away (11)32.529.762.2+2.755%-
Last 10 (10)31.828.260.0+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)33.227.460.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)29.229.859.0-0.640%-
vs Weaker (25)36.228.164.3+8.284%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#162
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H24/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H29/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A02/03
NCAA
Purdue
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H06/03
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A10/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H15/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H16/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H17/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#34
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H21/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#68
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H24/03
NCAA
78.3Avg total
41.1Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.835.576.2+5.380%-
Last 30 at home (19)41.834.476.2+7.484%-
Last 30 away (11)39.037.376.3+1.773%-
Last 10 (10)41.137.278.3+3.990%-
Last 5 (5)40.236.877.0+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.238.776.9-0.550%-
vs Weaker (20)42.033.975.9+8.295%-
This opponent (Iowa State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Iowa State wins
0
Illinois wins
No previous meetings.
Iowa Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24HWashington State67-56
21/03/24HSouth Dakota St.82-65
16/03/24AHouston69-41
16/03/24HBaylor76-62
14/03/24HKansas State76-57
09/03/24AKansas State58-65
07/03/24HBrigham Young68-63
02/03/24AUCF Knights60-52
29/02/24HOklahoma58-45
24/02/24HWest Virginia71-64
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24HDuquesne89-63
21/03/24HMorehead State85-69
17/03/24HWisconsin93-87
16/03/24HNebraska98-87
15/03/24HOhio State77-74
10/03/24AIowa73-61
06/03/24HPurdue71-77
02/03/24AWisconsin91-83
29/02/24HMinnesota105-97
24/02/24HIowa95-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iowa State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW96%
AwayWLWLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games362313
Win %81%96%54%
Points / game75.579.368.8
Allowed / game61.258.066.9
Point differential+14.2+21.2+1.9
Avg total136.8137.3135.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%74%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)75% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illinois
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLWLWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games362511
Win %78%88%55%
Points / game84.685.183.4
Allowed / game73.470.779.4
Point differential+11.2+14.4+4.0
Avg total157.9155.8162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%60%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %6%4%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston3632489%74.157.7+16.4
2 Iowa State3629781%75.561.2+14.2
3 Arizona3627975%87.172.1+15.1
4 Colorado37261170%79.371.7+7.6
5 Baylor35241169%80.471.1+9.3
6 Brigham Young34231168%81.469.9+11.5
7 Kansas34231168%75.669.9+5.7
8 Texas Tech34231168%75.369.6+5.7
9 TCU34211362%79.071.7+7.3
10 Cincinnati34201459%74.667.9+6.7
11 Utah Utes33191458%78.172.6+5.4
12 Kansas State33191458%71.970.5+1.4
13 UCF Knights32171553%71.567.5+4.1
14 Arizona State32141844%69.074.0-5.0
15 Oklahoma State32122038%71.072.7-1.7
16 West Virginia3292328%69.876.8-7.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue3531489%83.969.5+14.4
2 Illinois3628878%84.673.4+11.2
3 Nebraska34231168%77.770.9+6.8
4 Oregon36241267%75.672.3+3.3
5 Northwestern34221265%73.369.1+4.3
6 Wisconsin36221461%74.770.0+4.7
7 Ohio State33201361%74.969.5+5.4
8 Indiana33191458%72.374.3-2.0
9 Michigan State35201557%72.966.1+6.8
10 Iowa32181456%82.979.0+3.9
11 Minnesota32181456%75.471.8+3.7
12 Washington32171553%80.677.1+3.5
13 Maryland33161748%69.065.9+3.2
14 Penn State33161748%75.173.4+1.7
15 UCLA33161748%66.065.5+0.5
16 Rutgers32151747%65.466.5-1.2
17 USC33151845%74.174.3-0.2
18 Michigan3282425%72.979.0-6.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Iowa State264369
Illinois363672
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