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Iowa vs Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 68-71
0-0 30-30 0-0 38-41
Position#81
Record20-9
FormLWLWL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game65.0
Iowa
USA
vs
Michigan 🏆
USA
Position#6
Record27-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game68.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Iowa v Michigan
05 Mar 2026
IOWA68
MICH71
10 Dec 2023
IOWA80
MICH90
12 Jan 2023
IOWA93
MICH84
17 Feb 2022
IOWA79
MICH84
17 Jan 2020
IOWA90
MICH83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iowa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IowaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC
#153
W
73-72
73
72
+1
H29/01
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
84-66
84
66
+18
A02/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
84-74
84
74
+10
A05/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H08/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A11/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
57-78
57
78
-21
H14/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H18/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
71-84
71
84
-13
A22/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H26/02
NCAA
Penn State
#298
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A28/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
27-28
0-0
46-44
0-0
35-26
0-0
49-40
0-0
41-48
0-0
43-26
0-0
39-35
0-0
37-35
0-0
32-37
0-0
38-40
0-0
25-36
0-0
32-42
0-0
33-28
0-0
24-24
0-0
41-40
0-0
30-44
0-0
37-23
0-0
37-34
0-0
38-34
0-0
31-37
141.6Avg total
71.5Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)75.765.0140.7+10.769%
Season at home (18)79.562.5142.0+17.089%
Season away (11)69.569.2138.6+0.336%
Last 10 (10)71.570.1141.6+1.460%
Last 5 (5)65.668.4134.0-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)75.082.3157.3-7.30%
vs Similar (10)69.165.4134.5+3.760%
vs Weaker (17)80.864.2144.9+16.682%
This opponent (Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#21
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H28/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
83-71
83
71
+12
A31/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
110-69
110
69
+41
H05/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
82-61
82
61
+21
A08/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
87-75
87
75
+12
A12/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
86-56
86
56
+30
H14/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
91-80
91
80
+11
A17/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A21/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H25/02
NCAA
Illinois
#35
W
84-70
84
70
+14
A28/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
48-50
0-0
27-22
0-0
42-26
0-0
41-45
0-0
56-24
0-0
54-45
0-0
44-34
0-0
38-27
0-0
35-44
0-0
52-31
0-0
40-38
0-0
46-18
0-0
48-32
0-0
43-48
0-0
33-35
0-0
30-33
0-0
32-28
0-0
45-39
0-0
38-31
0-0
46-39
152.7Avg total
83.8Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)89.068.7157.7+20.293%
Season at home (17)93.166.8159.9+26.494%
Season away (12)83.171.5154.6+11.692%
Last 10 (10)83.868.9152.7+14.990%
Last 5 (5)80.268.2148.4+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)65.078.0143.0-13.00%
vs Similar (3)82.766.3149.0+16.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)89.769.0158.7+20.796%
This opponent (Iowa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +7.4+7.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +7.5+7.5
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +7.4+7.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +7.5+7.5
IowaMichigan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IowaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC
#153
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H29/01
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A02/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A05/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H08/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A11/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H14/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H18/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A22/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H26/02
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A28/02
NCAA
68.3Avg total
34.8Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.030.167.1+6.970%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.727.666.3+11.278%-
Last 30 away (12)34.333.968.2+0.458%-
Last 10 (10)34.833.568.3+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)34.832.267.0+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)34.036.370.3-2.333%-
vs Similar (10)34.829.264.0+5.680%-
vs Weaker (17)38.829.568.3+9.271%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#21
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H28/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A31/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
56-24
56
24
+32
H05/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A08/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A12/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H14/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A17/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A21/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H25/02
NCAA
Illinois
#35
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A28/02
NCAA
75.8Avg total
41.6Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.333.077.3+11.277%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.231.879.1+15.494%-
Last 30 away (13)40.434.675.0+5.854%-
Last 10 (10)41.634.275.8+7.470%-
Last 5 (5)38.232.871.0+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)29.030.059.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (3)41.331.773.0+9.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)45.233.378.5+11.981%-
This opponent (Iowa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Iowa wins
5
Michigan wins
DateGameScore
07/12/24Michigan v Iowa85-83
27/01/24Michigan v Iowa78-88
10/12/23Iowa v Michigan80-90
13/01/23Iowa v Michigan93-84 OT
04/03/22Michigan v Iowa71-82
18/02/22Iowa v Michigan79-84
26/02/21Michigan v Iowa79-57
18/01/20Iowa v Michigan90-83
06/12/19Michigan v Iowa103-91
Iowalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26APenn State69-71
26/02/26HOhio State74-57
22/02/26AWisconsin71-84
18/02/26HNebraska57-52
14/02/26HPurdue57-78
11/02/26AMaryland70-77
08/02/26HNorthwestern76-70
05/02/26AWashington84-74
02/02/26AOregon84-66
29/01/26HUSC73-72
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26AIllinois84-70
25/02/26HMinnesota77-67
21/02/26ADuke63-68
17/02/26APurdue91-80
14/02/26HUCLA86-56
12/02/26ANorthwestern87-75
08/02/26AOhio State82-61
05/02/26HPenn State110-69
31/01/26AMichigan State83-71
28/01/26HNebraska75-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iowa
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL69%
HomeWWLWW89%
AwayWWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291811
Win %69%89%36%
Points / game75.779.569.5
Allowed / game65.062.569.2
Point differential+10.7+17.0+0.3
Avg total140.7142.0138.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%61%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Michigan
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW93%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWWWLW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %93%94%92%
Points / game89.093.183.1
Allowed / game68.766.871.5
Point differential+20.2+26.4+11.6
Avg total157.7159.9154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+79%82%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan2927293%89.068.7+20.2
2 Nebraska3025583%77.765.7+12.0
3 Michigan State2924583%78.366.3+12.0
4 Illinois3023777%84.569.0+15.4
5 Purdue3023777%81.969.8+12.1
6 Wisconsin3021970%82.875.0+7.8
7 Iowa2920969%75.765.0+10.7
8 UCLA30201067%77.671.0+6.6
9 Ohio State30191163%80.172.8+7.3
10 Indiana30181260%78.771.5+7.3
11 USC30181260%78.977.4+1.5
12 Washington30151550%76.772.7+4.0
13 Minnesota30141647%70.268.5+1.7
14 Northwestern30131743%73.472.4+1.0
15 Rutgers29121741%70.275.4-5.2
16 Penn State30121840%74.379.6-5.3
17 Oregon30111937%70.773.9-3.2
18 Maryland30111937%69.877.1-7.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Iowa03003868
Michigan03004171
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