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Iowa vs Penn State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 90-81
47-39 43-42
Position#162
Record16-12
FormWLWWL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game78.8
Iowa 🏆
USA
vs
Position#216
Record14-14
FormLLLWW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game73.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Iowa v Penn State
23 Jan 2027
IOWA v PENN
upcoming
24 Jan 2025
IOWA76
PENN75
27 Feb 2024
IOWA90
PENN81
22 Jan 2022
IOWA68
PENN51
21 Feb 2021
IOWA74
PENN68
29 Feb 2020
IOWA77
PENN68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iowa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IowaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#215
L
67-69
67
69
-2
H25/01
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
88-78
88
78
+10
A27/01
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A31/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H03/02
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A09/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H11/02
NCAA
Maryland
#215
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A15/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
88-86 OT
88
86
+2
H17/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A21/02
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
85-95
85
95
-10
A24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-28
33-41
42-44
46-34
28-39
40-35
36-38
43-39
34-42
45-47
38-51
52-34
37-31
29-47
43-47
35-31
45-33
33-38
43-44
42-51
159.0Avg total
78.8Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)83.578.8162.2+4.857%
Season at home (17)88.275.9164.1+12.276%
Season away (11)76.383.1159.4-6.827%
Last 10 (10)78.880.2159.0-1.450%
Last 5 (5)81.483.0164.4-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.489.6164.0-15.20%
vs Similar ◀ (17)82.177.5159.6+4.659%
vs Weaker (8)89.274.4163.6+14.975%
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#123
L
67-79
67
79
-12
A20/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
74-83
74
83
-9
H27/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
61-46
61
46
+15
A01/02
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
85-71
85
71
+14
A03/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H09/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A11/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H14/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
49-68
49
68
-19
A17/02
NCAA
Illinois
#27
W
90-89
90
89
+1
H21/02
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
19-33
48-46
45-31
29-52
26-24
35-22
37-41
48-30
42-34
47-45
27-29
36-39
31-45
41-35
22-28
27-40
41-48
49-41
40-33
43-41
147.0Avg total
73.3Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)75.673.9149.5+1.750%
Season at home (17)79.471.0150.4+8.471%
Season away (11)69.878.5148.3-8.618%
Last 10 (10)73.373.7147.0-0.450%
Last 5 (5)71.475.8147.2-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.078.0148.0-8.029%
vs Similar ◀ (20)76.372.3148.6+4.055%
vs Weaker (3)81.069.3150.3+11.767%
This opponent (Iowa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.7-1.71st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: +0.1+0.12nd half: +1.2+1.2
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.7-1.71st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: +0.1+0.12nd half: +1.2+1.2
IowaPenn State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IowaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#215
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H25/01
NCAA
Michigan
#347
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A27/01
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A31/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H03/02
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A09/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H11/02
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A15/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H17/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A21/02
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A24/02
NCAA
77.7Avg total
38.0Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.937.776.6+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.536.877.4+3.758%-
Last 30 away (11)36.039.375.3-3.327%-
Last 10 (10)38.039.777.7-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)41.241.282.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.645.279.8-10.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)38.436.174.5+2.453%-
vs Weaker (8)42.536.679.1+5.962%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#123
L
19-33
19
33
-14
A20/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H27/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A01/02
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A03/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H09/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A11/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H14/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
22-28
22
28
-6
A17/02
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H21/02
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H24/02
NCAA
67.6Avg total
33.0Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.834.168.9+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.132.670.7+5.565%-
Last 30 away (13)30.436.266.5-5.823%-
Last 10 (10)33.034.667.6-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)32.236.668.8-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)30.940.771.6-9.914%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)35.932.268.1+3.660%-
vs Weaker (3)36.731.368.0+5.333%-
This opponent (Iowa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Iowa wins
4
Penn State wins
DateGameScore
09/02/24Penn State v Iowa89-79
01/01/23Penn State v Iowa83-79
01/02/22Penn State v Iowa90-86 OT
22/01/22Iowa v Penn State68-51
21/02/21Iowa v Penn State74-68
29/02/20Iowa v Penn State77-68
04/01/20Penn State v Iowa89-86
Iowalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24AIllinois85-95
21/02/24AMichigan State78-71
17/02/24HWisconsin88-86 OT
15/02/24AMaryland66-78
11/02/24HMinnesota90-85
09/02/24APenn State79-89
03/02/24HOhio State79-77
31/01/24AIndiana68-74
27/01/24AMichigan88-78
25/01/24HMaryland67-69
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24HIndiana83-74
21/02/24HIllinois90-89
17/02/24ANebraska49-68
14/02/24HMichigan State72-80
11/02/24ANorthwestern63-68
09/02/24HIowa89-79
03/02/24AIndiana85-71
01/02/24ARutgers61-46
27/01/24HMinnesota74-83
20/01/24AOhio State67-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iowa
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeLLWWW76%
AwayLLLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281711
Win %57%76%27%
Points / game83.588.276.3
Allowed / game78.875.983.1
Point differential+4.8+12.2-6.8
Avg total162.2164.1159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%53%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)75% (4)-
Overtime %4%6%0%
Penn State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeLWLWW71%
AwayLWWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281711
Win %50%71%18%
Points / game75.679.469.8
Allowed / game73.971.078.5
Point differential+1.7+8.4-8.6
Avg total149.5150.4148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%35%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %7%6%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue2825389%84.870.1+14.8
2 Illinois2720774%83.872.0+11.8
3 Nebraska2820871%77.169.5+7.6
4 Northwestern2719870%74.469.3+5.1
5 Oregon2718967%75.971.6+4.3
6 Wisconsin28181064%74.168.9+5.3
7 Minnesota27171063%75.969.8+6.1
8 Michigan State28171161%74.466.0+8.4
9 Iowa28161257%83.578.8+4.8
10 Ohio State28161257%74.069.9+4.1
11 Maryland28151354%69.664.3+5.3
12 Washington28151354%80.877.2+3.6
13 Indiana28151354%72.975.0-2.1
14 UCLA27141352%65.964.0+1.8
15 Rutgers27141352%66.166.4-0.3
16 Penn State28141450%75.673.9+1.7
17 USC27111641%74.274.8-0.6
18 Michigan2882029%74.879.0-4.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Iowa474390
Penn State394281
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