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Ohio State vs Penn State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 79-67
33-19 46-48
Position#123
Record12-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game66.5
vs
Position#216
Record9-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game74.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Ohio State v Penn State
17 Jan 2027
OHIO v PENN
upcoming
26 Jan 2026
OHIO84
PENN78
20 Jan 2024
OHIO79
PENN67
23 Feb 2023
OHIO71
PENN75
10 Mar 2022
OHIO68
PENN71
16 Jan 2022
OHIO61
PENN56
27 Jan 2021
OHIO83
PENN79
07 Dec 2019
OHIO106
PENN74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ohio State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ohio StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#163
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H03/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
84-64
84
64
+20
H07/12
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A09/12
NCAA
UCLA
#219
W
67-60
67
60
+7
A16/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
W
78-36
78
36
+42
H21/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
78-75 OT
78
75
+3
A31/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H04/01
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
65-71
65
71
-6
A07/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
60-71
60
71
-11
H11/01
NCAA
Michigan
#347
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-28
42-46
39-26
45-38
41-29
39-54
22-23
45-37
31-17
47-19
28-26
37-39
45-32
31-40
38-37
27-34
33-35
27-36
28-37
37-36
141.6Avg total
73.7Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.366.5142.8+9.871%
Season at home (11)77.864.8142.6+13.082%
Season away (6)73.569.7143.2+3.850%
Last 10 (10)73.767.9141.6+5.860%
Last 5 (5)68.872.4141.2-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)60.581.0141.5-20.50%
vs Similar ◀ (19)72.269.9142.1+2.353%
vs Weaker (9)74.963.1138.0+11.878%
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#215
L
75-81 OT
75
81
-6
A07/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H09/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
81-82 OT
81
82
-1
H16/12
NCAA
Le Moyne
#233
W
72-55
72
55
+17
H22/12
NCAA
Rider
#237
W
90-63
90
63
+27
H29/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
61-92
61
92
-31
A05/01
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H07/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
72-76
72
76
-4
H10/01
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
78-95
78
95
-17
A13/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
87-83
87
83
+4
H17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-28
41-43
29-41
54-39
37-39
35-33
40-28
32-27
44-24
46-39
26-51
35-41
27-37
52-36
40-32
32-44
36-56
42-39
39-35
48-48
155.8Avg total
77.8Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)76.974.1150.9+2.850%
Season at home (12)78.466.8145.2+11.675%
Season away (6)73.888.5162.3-14.70%
Last 10 (10)77.878.0155.8-0.250%
Last 5 (5)75.483.8159.2-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.875.2144.0-6.420%
vs Similar ◀ (21)75.471.4146.9+4.067%
vs Weaker (4)79.869.2149.0+10.575%
This opponent (Ohio State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.7+5.71st half: -2.3-2.32nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: +2.8+2.8
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.7+5.71st half: -2.3-2.32nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: +2.8+2.8
Ohio StatePenn State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ohio StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#163
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H03/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H07/12
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A09/12
NCAA
UCLA
#219
L
22-23
22
23
-1
A16/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
W
31-17
31
17
+14
H21/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A31/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H04/01
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A07/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H11/01
NCAA
Michigan
#347
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A15/01
NCAA
63.7Avg total
34.7Scored
29.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.130.965.1+3.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.429.364.7+6.162%-
Last 30 away (14)32.732.865.5-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)34.729.063.7+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)34.433.467.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.540.071.5-8.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)34.131.665.7+2.553%-
vs Weaker (9)34.827.662.3+7.278%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#215
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A07/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H09/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H16/12
NCAA
Le Moyne
#233
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H22/12
NCAA
Rider
#237
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H29/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
26-51
26
51
-25
A05/01
NCAA
Michigan
#347
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H07/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H10/01
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A13/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H17/01
NCAA
71.9Avg total
34.8Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.733.067.8+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.030.667.6+6.467%-
Last 30 away (15)32.535.567.9-3.033%-
Last 10 (10)34.837.171.9-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)33.642.275.8-8.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.839.869.6-10.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)35.131.666.7+3.657%-
vs Weaker (4)38.832.271.0+6.550%-
This opponent (Ohio State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Ohio State wins
4
Penn State wins
Ohio Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/24AMichigan65-73
11/01/24HWisconsin60-71
07/01/24AIndiana65-71
04/01/24HRutgers76-72
31/12/23AWest Virginia78-75 OT
21/12/23HNew Orleans78-36
16/12/23AUCLA67-60
09/12/23APenn State80-83
07/12/23HMiami (Ohio)84-64
03/12/23HMinnesota84-74
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/24HWisconsin87-83
13/01/24APurdue78-95
10/01/24HNorthwestern72-76
07/01/24HMichigan79-73
05/01/24AMichigan State61-92
29/12/23HRider90-63
22/12/23HLe Moyne72-55
16/12/23HGeorgia Tech81-82 OT
09/12/23HOhio State83-80
07/12/23AMaryland75-81 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ohio State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL71%
HomeWWWWL82%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %71%82%50%
Points / game76.377.873.5
Allowed / game66.564.869.7
Point differential+9.8+13.0+3.8
Avg total142.8142.6143.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%64%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%17%
Penn State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18126
Win %50%75%0%
Points / game76.978.473.8
Allowed / game74.166.888.5
Point differential+2.8+11.6-14.7
Avg total150.9145.2162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %11%8%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue1816289%85.169.3+15.8
2 Wisconsin1814478%76.567.3+9.2
3 Illinois1713476%82.167.8+14.3
4 Northwestern1713476%72.967.0+5.9
5 Oregon1713476%78.272.4+5.9
6 Nebraska1813572%78.570.1+8.4
7 Ohio State1712571%76.366.5+9.8
8 Minnesota1812667%77.268.4+8.8
9 Iowa1711665%87.177.6+9.5
10 Indiana1912763%74.274.3-0.1
11 Michigan State1811761%77.165.6+11.5
12 Maryland1811761%70.864.0+6.8
13 Washington1811761%80.375.0+5.3
14 Rutgers1710759%68.665.4+3.3
15 Penn State189950%76.974.1+2.8
16 USC1881044%76.274.8+1.4
17 UCLA1881044%64.963.9+1.0
18 Michigan1871139%79.377.6+1.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ohio State334679
Penn State194867
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