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Iowa vs Penn State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#151
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game64.7
vs
Position#179
Record3-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game75.6
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Iowa v Penn State
23 Jan 2027
IOWA v PENN
upcoming
24 Jan 2025
IOWA76
PENN75
27 Feb 2024
IOWA90
PENN81
22 Jan 2022
IOWA68
PENN51
21 Feb 2021
IOWA74
PENN68
29 Feb 2020
IOWA77
PENN68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iowa win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Penn State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IowaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#21
L
75-84 OT
75
84
-9
A08/03
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H11/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A12/03
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
67-61
67
61
+6
A20/03
NCAA
Florida
#28
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A22/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A26/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A28/03
NCAA
Lipscomb
#182
W
76-54
76
54
+22
H04/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#323
W
91-47
91
47
+44
H07/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#45
L
88-93 OT
88
93
-5
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-30
44-40
25-26
50-38
30-34
39-38
32-25
35-36
33-31
40-41
43-46
34-25
32-28
27-43
38-29
38-25
41-20
50-27
40-41
39-38
143.9Avg total
75.0Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.064.7149.7+20.367%
Season at home (3)85.064.7149.7+20.367%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.068.9143.9+6.160%
Last 5 (5)78.267.2145.4+11.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.272.2139.5-5.025%
vs Similar (12)71.270.8142.0+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)79.162.8141.9+16.479%
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#21
L
64-87
64
87
-23
A21/02
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H28/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
62-94
62
94
-32
H05/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A08/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A10/03
NCAA
Canisius
#236
W
97-57
97
57
+40
H03/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#212
W
97-93
97
93
+4
H05/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#58
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H09/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#202
L
46-89
46
89
-43
A11/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#317
W
72-57
72
57
+15
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
20-38
44-49
34-38
37-31
21-45
41-49
21-43
41-31
32-34
34-42
47-26
50-31
54-31
43-62
38-42
38-40
16-54
30-35
33-29
39-28
149.1Avg total
71.3Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.675.6153.2+2.060%
Season at home (4)85.572.2157.8+13.275%
Season away (1)46.089.0135.0-43.00%
Last 10 (10)71.377.8149.1-6.540%
Last 5 (5)77.675.6153.2+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)70.082.3152.3-12.323%
vs Similar (6)77.783.0160.7-5.333%
vs Weaker (2)84.557.0141.5+27.5100%
This opponent (Iowa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: -6.4-6.42nd half2nd half: +4.5+4.52nd half: -0.1-0.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: -6.4-6.42nd half2nd half: +4.5+4.52nd half: -0.1-0.1
IowaPenn State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IowaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#21
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A08/03
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H11/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A12/03
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A20/03
NCAA
Florida
#28
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A22/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A26/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A28/03
NCAA
Lipscomb
#182
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H04/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#323
W
41-20
41
20
+21
H07/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#45
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H11/11
NCAA
65.0Avg total
34.0Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.030.465.5+4.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.827.863.5+8.062%-
Last 30 away (14)34.233.567.7+0.757%-
Last 10 (10)34.031.065.0+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.832.871.6+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)29.831.060.8-1.250%-
vs Similar (12)34.932.066.9+2.958%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)36.628.965.6+7.764%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#21
L
20-38
20
38
-18
A21/02
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H28/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
21-45
21
45
-24
H05/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
21-43
21
43
-22
A08/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A10/03
NCAA
Canisius
#236
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H03/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#212
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H05/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#58
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H09/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#202
L
16-54
16
54
-38
A11/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#317
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H12/11
NCAA
69.6Avg total
31.6Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.239.872.0-7.633%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.335.870.1-1.450%-
Last 30 away (12)29.045.874.8-16.88%-
Last 10 (10)31.638.069.6-6.430%-
Last 5 (5)37.636.474.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)31.740.872.5-9.127%-
vs Similar (6)31.540.071.5-8.533%-
vs Weaker (2)40.027.567.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Iowa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Iowa wins
5
Penn State wins
DateGameScore
28/02/26Penn State v Iowa71-69
25/01/25Iowa v Penn State76-75
28/02/24Iowa v Penn State90-81
09/02/24Penn State v Iowa89-79
01/01/23Penn State v Iowa83-79
01/02/22Penn State v Iowa90-86 OT
22/01/22Iowa v Penn State68-51
21/02/21Iowa v Penn State74-68
29/02/20Iowa v Penn State77-68
04/01/20Penn State v Iowa89-86
Iowalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HVirginia Tech88-93 OT
07/11/26HEastern Illinois91-47
04/11/26HLipscomb76-54
28/03/26AIllinois59-71
26/03/26ANebraska77-71
22/03/26AFlorida73-72
20/03/26AClemson67-61
12/03/26AOhio State69-72
11/03/26HMaryland75-64
08/03/26ANebraska75-84 OT
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HMercyhurst Lakers72-57
11/11/26ALafayette46-89
09/11/26HPittsburgh76-82
05/11/26HChattanooga Mocs97-93
03/11/26HCanisius97-57
10/03/26ANorthwestern66-76
08/03/26ARutgers62-74
05/03/26HOhio State62-94
28/02/26HIowa71-69
21/02/26ANebraska64-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iowa
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWWL67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game85.085.0-
Allowed / game64.764.7-
Point differential+20.3+20.3-
Avg total149.7149.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %33%33%-
Penn State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %60%75%0%
Points / game77.685.546.0
Allowed / game75.672.289.0
Point differential+2.0+13.2-43.0
Avg total153.2157.8135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA330100%101.358.3+43.0
2 Nebraska330100%89.060.7+28.3
3 Rutgers330100%84.756.3+28.3
4 Michigan State440100%93.066.2+26.8
5 Oregon330100%95.068.7+26.3
6 Indiana440100%89.068.0+21.0
7 Wisconsin330100%79.058.0+21.0
8 Minnesota440100%78.858.5+20.2
9 USC330100%88.371.3+17.0
10 Washington220100%83.570.0+13.5
11 Illinois43175%104.571.2+33.2
12 Purdue43175%78.569.0+9.5
13 Northwestern43175%70.861.8+9.0
14 Iowa32167%85.064.7+20.3
15 Michigan32167%81.774.3+7.3
16 Penn State53260%77.675.6+2.0
17 Ohio State42250%81.079.2+1.8
18 Maryland31233%84.380.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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