IR Reykjavik will host Keflavik on 5 November 2026 in the Premier league, with the model favouring Keflavik and projecting a close 98-101 win for the visitors; the home side has a 41% chance of winning, while Keflavik enjoys a 59% probability, and the spread of 5.5 points gives a 60% chance the home team will cover, with the over on the 197.5 line at 51%. IR Reykjavik finished the season 1-3, scoring 94.2 points per game and conceding 105.0, and are ninth in the standings, while Keflavik are 3-1, averaging 109.0 points and allowing 102.2, positioned fifth; the last five games for Reykjavik were 1-4, including losses to Stjarnan, Hottur and Alftanes, whereas Keflavik went 3-2, with wins over Hottur and Sindri and a loss to Alftanes. Their head-to-head record is even at 4-4, though Reykjavik last beat Keflavik 89-86 on 4 January 2026. The projected total of 198.6 points sits just above the 197.5 line, and there is a 5% chance the game will go into overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 94.2 | 105.0 | 199.2 | -10.8 | 25% |
| Season at home (1) | 88.0 | 119.0 | 207.0 | -31.0 | 0% |
| Season away (3) | 96.3 | 100.3 | 196.7 | -4.0 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 94.1 | 102.1 | 196.2 | -8.0 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 92.8 | 109.0 | 201.8 | -16.2 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (15) | 90.8 | 102.7 | 193.5 | -11.9 | 20% |
| vs Similar (8) | 93.0 | 87.5 | 180.5 | +5.5 | 75% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 92.2 | 85.7 | 177.8 | +6.5 | 50% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 109.0 | 102.2 | 211.2 | +6.8 | 75% |
| Season at home (2) | 109.0 | 94.5 | 203.5 | +14.5 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 109.0 | 110.0 | 219.0 | -1.0 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 92.4 | 90.3 | 182.7 | +2.1 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 102.4 | 99.8 | 202.2 | +2.6 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 102.0 | 109.0 | 211.0 | -7.0 | 33% |
| vs Similar (17) | 92.1 | 92.1 | 184.2 | -0.1 | 47% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (9) | 97.9 | 88.8 | 186.7 | +9.1 | 67% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 100.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 45.9 | 48.6 | 94.4 | -2.7 | 33% | 27% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 46.1 | 48.7 | 94.8 | -2.6 | 38% | 23% |
| Last 30 away (17) | 45.7 | 48.5 | 94.2 | -2.8 | 29% | 29% |
| Last 10 (10) | 48.9 | 50.2 | 99.1 | -1.3 | 40% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 49.4 | 51.0 | 100.4 | -1.6 | 20% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (15) | 45.5 | 51.8 | 97.3 | -6.3 | 13% | 33% |
| vs Similar (8) | 49.4 | 44.4 | 93.8 | +5.0 | 88% | 25% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 42.5 | 46.3 | 88.8 | -3.8 | 17% | 17% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 100.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 46.9 | 47.7 | 94.6 | -0.9 | 43% | 20% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 47.1 | 46.4 | 93.6 | +0.7 | 57% | 21% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 46.6 | 48.9 | 95.5 | -2.2 | 31% | 19% |
| Last 10 (10) | 47.7 | 48.0 | 95.7 | -0.3 | 50% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 55.4 | 54.0 | 109.4 | +1.4 | 60% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 52.7 | 56.3 | 109.0 | -3.7 | 33% | 67% |
| vs Similar (17) | 43.5 | 46.0 | 89.5 | -2.5 | 29% | 6% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (9) | 51.1 | 49.4 | 100.6 | +1.7 | 67% | 33% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IR Reykjavik +10 | 75.2% | 1.54 | 1.54 | - | - | - | - | +14.7pp | Push |
| IR Reykjavik +11.5 | 78.5% | 1.44 | 1.44 | - | - | - | - | +14.0pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik +9 | 72.1% | 1.58 | 1.60 | 1.56 | - | - | - | +13.9pp | Lost |
| IR Reykjavik +9.5 | 73.0% | 1.48 | 1.57 | 1.52 | 1.36 | - | - | +13.2pp | Lost |
| IR Reykjavik +16.5 | 88.7% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +12.6pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik +10.5 | 75.9% | 1.41 | 1.52 | 1.30 | - | - | - | +11.0pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik +15.5 | 87.1% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +10.9pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik +21.5 | 94.6% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +9.6pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik over 85.5 | 88.5% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +8.9pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik +20.5 | 93.7% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +8.7pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik over 89.5 | 79.0% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +8.1pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik over 87.5 | 84.2% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +8.0pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik over 86.5 | 86.4% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +7.6pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik over 83.5 | 91.8% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +7.4pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik over 81.5 | 94.4% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik over 84.5 | 90.2% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | +7.2pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik over 91.5 | 73.0% | 1.37 | 1.41 | 1.33 | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Lost |
| IR Reykjavik over 90.5 | 76.1% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Lost |
| IR Reykjavik over 80.5 | 95.4% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik over 82.5 | 93.2% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| Under 214.5 | 83.1% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| Keflavik over 81.5 | 96.7% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Keflavik over 82.5 | 95.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Under 209.5 | 75.1% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Keflavik +19.5 | 96.6% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| Keflavik over 83.5 | 94.9% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Keflavik +18.5 | 96.0% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Keflavik over 85.5 | 92.6% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +3.9pp | Won |
| Over 174.5 | 92.4% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Keflavik +14.5 | 92.5% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik under 109.5 | 86.1% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | +3.0pp | Won |
| Keflavik over 87.5 | 89.5% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +2.3pp | Won |
| Keflavik +13.5 | 91.3% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +2.3pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik under 107.5 | 81.7% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +2.2pp | Won |
| Over 179.5 | 87.0% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +2.0pp | Won |
| Keflavik over 89.5 | 85.5% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +1.7pp | Won |
| Over 184.5 | 79.4% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +1.6pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik under 105.5 | 76.5% | 1.23 | 1.23 | - | - | - | - | +1.2pp | Won |
| Keflavik over 91.5 | 80.6% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +1.1pp | Won |
| Keflavik +9.5 | 84.8% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +0.4pp | Won |
| Keflavik over 92.5 | 77.8% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +0.0pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik under 103.5 | 70.4% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | -0.1pp | Won |
| Keflavik over 93.5 | 74.8% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | -1.4pp | Won |
| Keflavik +8.5 | 82.7% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | -1.7pp | Won |
| Keflavik +4.5 | 71.8% | 1.23 | 1.23 | - | - | - | - | -3.5pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 41.3 | 22.5 | 56.2% | 45.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.9 | 11.6 | 33.0% | 34.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.3 | 13.9 | 73.9% | 13.9 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 41.1 | 22.7 | 56.2% | 45.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.5 | 8.4 | 33.0% | 25.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 27.3 | 21.4 | 73.9% | 21.4 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 04/01/26 | IR Reykjavik v Keflavik | 89-86 |
| 02/10/25 | Keflavik v IR Reykjavik | 92-83 |
| 06/02/25 | Keflavik v IR Reykjavik | 81-90 |
| 08/11/24 | IR Reykjavik v Keflavik | 79-91 |
| 23/03/23 | IR Reykjavik v Keflavik | 92-85 |
| 15/12/22 | Keflavik v IR Reykjavik | 108-88 |
| 27/01/22 | Keflavik v IR Reykjavik | 77-94 |
| 21/10/21 | IR Reykjavik v Keflavik | 73-89 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10/26 | A | Stjarnan | 96-102 |
| 22/10/26 | A | Hottur | 96-108 |
| 15/10/26 | H | Alftanes | 88-119 |
| 08/10/26 | A | Sindri | 97-91 |
| 11/04/26 | A | Tindastoll | 87-125 |
| 07/04/26 | H | Tindastoll | 90-98 |
| 02/04/26 | A | Tindastoll | 99-108 |
| 26/03/26 | A | Valur | 93-82 |
| 19/03/26 | H | KR Basket | 102-99 |
| 12/03/26 | A | Alftanes | 93-89 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLL | 25% |
| Home | L | 0% |
| Away | WLL | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Win % | 25% | 0% | 33% |
| Points / game | 94.2 | 88.0 | 96.3 |
| Allowed / game | 105.0 | 119.0 | 100.3 |
| Point differential | -10.8 | -31.0 | -4.0 |
| Avg total | 199.2 | 207.0 | 196.7 |
| Over 198.75 | 50% | 100% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLW | 75% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | WL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Points / game | 109.0 | 109.0 | 109.0 |
| Allowed / game | 102.2 | 94.5 | 110.0 |
| Point differential | +6.8 | +14.5 | -1.0 |
| Avg total | 211.2 | 203.5 | 219.0 |
| Over 198.75 | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 117.0 | 95.0 | +22.0 | |
| 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 97.5 | 82.2 | +15.2 | |
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 87.8 | 80.0 | +7.8 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 94.2 | 85.5 | +8.8 | |
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 109.0 | 102.2 | +6.8 | |
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 89.0 | 91.8 | -2.8 | |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 96.8 | 104.2 | -7.5 | |
| 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 92.2 | 96.8 | -4.5 | |
| 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 94.2 | 105.0 | -10.8 | |
| 10 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 84.5 | 91.5 | -7.0 | |
| 11 | Sindri | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 88.5 | 97.0 | -8.5 |
| 12 | Armann | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 83.5 | 103.0 | -19.5 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 28 | 17 | 23 | 90 | |
| 24 | 16 | 29 | 31 | 100 |
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