PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Valur vs Keflavik Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 111-91
30-24 25-20 32-24 24-23
Position#4
Record6-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game89.9
Valur 🏆
Iceland
vs
Position#5
Record7-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game94.6
Allowed / game86.9
IcelandPremier leagueRound 10· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda
Other2025-26
Meetings · Valur v Keflavik
18 Mar 2027
VALU v KEFL
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
VALU90
KEFL76
11 Apr 2026
VALU79
KEFL78
02 Apr 2026
VALU75
KEFL78
12 Jan 2026
VALU93
KEFL94
11 Dec 2025
VALU111
KEFL91
24 Oct 2024
VALU104
KEFL80
18 Jan 2024
VALU105
KEFL82
02 Dec 2022
VALU75
KEFL100
05 Mar 2022
VALU88
KEFL74
12 Feb 2021
VALU85
KEFL72
29 Jan 2020
VALU68
KEFL96
14 Dec 2018
VALU77
KEFL86
04 Jan 2018
VALU84
KEFL87
31 Oct 2013
VALU76
KEFL94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keflavik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#4
L
74-82
74
82
-8
62avg 82
A14/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
85-87
85
87
-2
77avg 82
H06/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
91-94
91
94
-3
85avg 82
A11/10
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
94-83
94
83
+11
95avg 82
H16/10
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
119-117 OT
119
117
+2
117avg 82
A23/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
55-90
55
90
-35
46avg 82
H30/10
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
83-81
83
81
+2
78avg 82
A06/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
W
92-80
92
80
+12
79avg 82
H14/11
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
99-91
99
91
+8
94avg 82
A20/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
94-86
94
86
+8
89avg 82
H05/12
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-13
23-24
15-22
12-23
21-25
20-26
20-13
24-23
34-26
12-27
20-22
25-19
26-18
18-23
20-23
30-19
17-25
27-26
27-25
28-23
13-21
14-22
15-25
13-22
24-22
25-16
15-22
19-21
25-27
16-14
27-13
24-26
28-28
24-19
24-24
23-20
24-29
26-22
24-22
20-13
177.7Avg total
88.6Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)90.289.9180.1+0.367%
Season at home (5)84.085.2169.2-1.260%
Season away (4)98.095.8193.8+2.275%
Last 10 (10)88.689.1177.7-0.560%
Last 5 (5)84.685.6170.2-1.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.586.3165.8-6.833%
vs Similar ◀ (13)88.183.6171.7+4.569%
vs Weaker (10)91.882.3174.1+9.590%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#1
L
75-100
75
100
-25
59avg 84
A10/04
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
92-83
92
83
+9
85avg 84
H02/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
81-101
81
101
-20
72avg 84
A09/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
W
92-71
92
71
+21
93avg 84
H17/10
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
107-94
107
94
+13
106avg 84
A23/10
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
86-82
86
82
+4
75avg 84
H30/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
92-104
92
104
-12
77avg 84
A07/11
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
96-72
96
72
+24
94avg 84
H13/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
W
101-90
101
90
+11
no box
H21/11
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
104-85
104
85
+19
104avg 84
H05/12
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
20-30
19-23
22-25
26-16
20-25
22-23
24-19
28-24
20-29
14-22
19-26
21-23
27-16
18-19
26-13
27-22
30-26
26-17
24-29
18-26
28-17
13-21
27-18
25-27
22-26
26-22
19-29
22-21
29-13
32-26
13-12
28-20
27-25
27-19
19-26
25-22
26-19
24-20
29-24
180.8Avg total
92.6Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)94.686.9181.4+7.778%
Season at home (6)95.280.5175.7+14.7100%
Season away (3)93.399.7193.0-6.333%
Last 10 (10)92.688.2180.8+4.470%
Last 5 (5)95.886.6182.4+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)90.596.0186.5-5.533%
vs Similar ◀ (11)94.594.6189.1-0.236%
vs Weaker (6)99.587.3186.8+12.2100%
This opponent (Valur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
ValurKeflavik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#4
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A14/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H06/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A11/10
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H16/10
Premier league
Thorl
#11
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A23/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H30/10
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A06/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H14/11
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A20/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H05/12
Premier league
89.4Avg total
44.1Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.243.287.4+1.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.843.288.0+1.640%-
Last 30 away (15)43.643.186.7+0.547%-
Last 10 (10)44.145.389.4-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)43.844.087.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.347.587.8-7.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)45.242.888.0+2.346%-
vs Weaker (10)45.640.986.5+4.760%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#1
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A10/04
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H02/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A09/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H17/10
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A23/10
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H30/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A07/11
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H13/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H21/11
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H05/12
Premier league
93.2Avg total
48.3Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.848.797.6+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (18)49.445.895.2+3.667%-
Last 30 away (12)48.053.2101.2-5.225%-
Last 10 (10)48.344.993.2+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)50.043.293.2+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)46.550.296.7-3.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)49.450.199.5-0.736%-
vs Weaker (6)52.344.096.3+8.3100%-
This opponent (Valur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.519.9
48.0%
54.6%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.511.3
35.9%
34.0%33.9
🏀 Free throws20.514.5
70.7%
74.2%14.5
They take 73.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 91.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.820.1
54.6%
54.6%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.110.3
32.1%
34.0%30.9
🏀 Free throws26.520.2
76.2%
74.2%20.2
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valur
WWWWLWWLLL
Keflavik
WWWLWWWLWL
#4
League position
#5
-0.2
Net rating
+4.5
109.8
Offensive rating
110.7
110.1
Defensive rating
106.2
50.5%
Effective FG%
51.6%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
16.2%
Turnover %
17.4%
34.1%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.38
35.9%
3-point %
32.1%
59.6%
Assist %
58.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.8 · 110.7Defence110.1 · 106.2Shooting50.5% · 51.6%3-point %35.9% · 32.1%Ball care16.2% · 17.4%Off. rebounds34.1% · 30.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Valur   ■ Keflavik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Valur wins
4
Keflavik wins
DateGameScore
19/03/25Keflavik v Valur67-91
24/01/25Keflavik v Valur70-81
24/10/24Valur v Keflavik104-80
18/01/24Valur v Keflavik105-82
19/10/23Keflavik v Valur87-86
10/03/23Keflavik v Valur80-111
02/12/22Valur v Keflavik75-100
05/03/22Valur v Keflavik88-74
19/11/21Keflavik v Valur79-78
07/05/21Keflavik v Valur101-82
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/25HNjardvik94-86
20/11/25AKR Basket99-91
14/11/25HAlftanes92-80
06/11/25AAkranes IA83-81
30/10/25HGrindavik55-90
23/10/25AThorl119-117 OT
16/10/25HArmann94-83
11/10/25AStjarnan91-94
06/10/25HTindastoll85-87
14/04/25AGrindavik74-82
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/25HKR Basket104-85
21/11/25HAlftanes101-90
13/11/25HAkranes IA96-72
07/11/25AGrindavik92-104
30/10/25HThorl86-82
23/10/25AArmann107-94
17/10/25HStjarnan92-71
09/10/25ATindastoll81-101
02/10/25HIR Reykjavik92-83
10/04/25ATindastoll75-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%60%75%
Points / game90.284.098.0
Allowed / game89.985.295.8
Point differential+0.3-1.2+2.2
Avg total180.1169.2193.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %11%0%25%
Keflavik
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %78%100%33%
Points / game94.695.293.3
Allowed / game86.980.599.7
Point differential+7.7+14.7-6.3
Avg total181.4175.7193.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grindavik98189%91.284.4+6.8
2 Tindastoll97278%96.784.8+11.9
3 Keflavik97278%94.686.9+7.7
4 Valur96367%90.289.9+0.3
5 Stjarnan94544%98.192.1+6.0
6 Alftanes94544%90.185.0+5.1
7 KR Basket94544%94.691.4+3.1
8 Njardvik94544%99.997.2+2.7
9 IR Reykjavik94544%89.294.2-5.0
10 Akranes IA93633%89.799.0-9.3
11 Thorl92722%89.199.1-10.0
12 Armann91811%85.3104.6-19.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valur30253224111
Keflavik2420242391
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.