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Iran vs Philippines Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 30 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 11:00
Scheduled
Position#28
Record5-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game67.8
vs
Position#45
Record4-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game76.8
EuropeWorld CupRound 4
Other2027
Meetings · Iran v Philippines
30 Nov 2026
IRAN v PHIL
upcoming
03 Oct 2023
IRAN83
PHIL84
08 Sep 2019
IRAN95
PHIL75
13 Sep 2018
IRAN81
PHIL73
25 Sep 2014
IRAN68
PHIL63
21 Sep 2012
IRAN77
PHIL60
16 Nov 2010
IRAN65
PHIL48
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iran win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Philippines win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IranLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Australia
#1
L
48-92
48
92
-44
A16/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H17/08
Asia Cup
Iraq
#90
W
94-68
94
68
+26
H27/11
World Cup
Iraq
#90
W
86-71
86
71
+15
A30/11
World Cup
Jordan
#26
L
60-73
60
73
-13
H27/02
World Cup
Syria
#76
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H29/06
World Cup
Jordan
#26
W
67-49
67
49
+18
A02/07
World Cup
Syria
#76
W
73-52
73
52
+21
A05/07
World Cup
New Zealand
#15
L
91-93 OT
91
93
-2
H28/08
World Cup
Philippines
#45
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A30/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
9-24
8-29
11-12
28-20
19-13
19-21
13-19
24-19
25-8
27-19
18-22
21-25
21-13
19-12
25-21
14-17
11-12
18-17
17-27
21-12
17-19
12-25
22-12
17-11
12-11
23-8
15-19
17-5
14-15
23-10
19-22
19-21
20-17
22-28
19-14
18-7
16-29
13-13
9-19
143.3Avg total
72.6Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)74.967.8142.6+7.162%
Season at home (4)79.275.5154.8+3.850%
Season away (4)70.560.0130.5+10.575%
Last 10 (10)72.670.7143.3+1.960%
Last 5 (5)71.866.0137.8+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)66.078.2144.2-12.212%
vs Similar (1)79.073.0152.0+6.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)79.161.0140.1+18.186%
This opponent (Philippines) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
95-88 OT
95
88
+7
A11/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
60-84
60
84
-24
A13/08
Asia Cup
Guam
#93
W
87-46
87
46
+41
A28/11
World Cup
Guam
#93
W
95-71
95
71
+24
H01/12
World Cup
New Zealand
#15
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H26/02
World Cup
Australia
#1
L
66-93
66
93
-27
H01/03
World Cup
New Zealand
#15
L
102-106 OT
102
106
-4
A03/07
World Cup
Australia
#1
L
49-92
49
92
-43
A06/07
World Cup
Jordan
#26
W
82-81 OT
82
81
+1
A28/08
World Cup
Iran
#28
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H30/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
15-22
20-22
19-20
12-29
16-19
22-21
10-15
17-17
23-12
24-7
23-10
32-15
18-21
22-19
23-16
21-25
16-12
9-20
20-12
13-14
20-24
20-30
13-25
17-23
22-21
25-19
19-20
14-33
13-8
10-22
12-29
14-28
25-16
15-14
18-14
7-18
29-16
13-13
19-9
155.6Avg total
77.0Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.976.8153.6+0.150%
Season at home (4)73.872.2146.0+1.550%
Season away (4)80.081.2161.2-1.250%
Last 10 (10)77.078.6155.6-1.650%
Last 5 (5)73.485.6159.0-12.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)73.382.8156.1-9.438%
vs Similar (6)91.882.0173.8+9.850%
vs Weaker (8)86.458.2144.6+28.1100%
This opponent (Iran) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.6+0.6
IranPhilippines
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IranLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Australia
#1
L
29-51
29
51
-22
A16/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H17/08
Asia Cup
Iraq
#90
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H27/11
World Cup
Iraq
#90
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A30/11
World Cup
Jordan
#26
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H27/02
World Cup
Syria
#76
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H29/06
World Cup
Jordan
#26
W
29-22
29
22
+7
A02/07
World Cup
Syria
#76
W
31-20
31
20
+11
A05/07
World Cup
New Zealand
#15
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H28/08
World Cup
Philippines
#45
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A30/08
World Cup
68.8Avg total
36.3Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.733.470.1+3.359%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.936.073.9+1.950%-
Last 30 away (13)35.230.265.5+5.069%-
Last 10 (10)36.332.568.8+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)34.229.463.6+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)31.837.969.6-6.125%-
vs Similar (1)47.033.080.0+14.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)38.131.669.8+6.570%-
This opponent (Philippines) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PhilippinesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A11/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A13/08
Asia Cup
Guam
#93
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A28/11
World Cup
Guam
#93
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H01/12
World Cup
New Zealand
#15
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H26/02
World Cup
Australia
#1
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H01/03
World Cup
New Zealand
#15
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A03/07
World Cup
Australia
#1
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A06/07
World Cup
Jordan
#26
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A28/08
World Cup
Iran
#28
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H30/08
World Cup
75.7Avg total
36.9Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.578.5-0.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.038.280.2+3.843%-
Last 30 away (16)36.340.777.0-4.431%-
Last 10 (10)36.938.875.7-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)34.840.275.0-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)35.142.777.8-7.612%-
vs Similar (6)41.540.381.8+1.233%-
vs Weaker (8)44.832.677.4+12.188%-
This opponent (Iran) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Irantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iran: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.2
52.1%
-36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.4
36.1%
-31.2
🏀 Free throws17.911.8
65.9%
-11.8
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Philippinestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Philippines: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.722.9
50.1%
-45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.4
31.9%
-25.2
🏀 Free throws16.812.0
71.4%
-12.0
They take 72.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Iran
LLWWWLWWWL
Philippines
WWLLLLWWLW
#28
League position
#45
+22.6
Net rating
+6.1
108.2
Offensive rating
110.9
85.5
Defensive rating
104.8
53.1%
Effective FG%
49.3%
43.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
16.8%
Turnover %
12.8%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
35.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.1%
3-point %
31.9%
64.7%
Assist %
64.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Iran   ■ Philippines
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Iran wins
3
Philippines wins
DateGameScore
30/08/26Philippines v Iran68-56
03/10/23Iran v Philippines83-84
08/09/19Iran v Philippines95-75
03/12/18Philippines v Iran70-78
13/09/18Iran v Philippines81-73
28/09/15Philippines v Iran87-73
25/09/14Iran v Philippines68-63
18/07/14Philippines v Iran55-76
11/08/13Philippines v Iran71-85
21/09/12Iran v Philippines77-60
Iranlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/08/26APhilippines56-68
28/08/26HNew Zealand91-93 OT
05/07/26ASyria73-52
02/07/26AJordan67-49
29/06/26HSyria72-68
27/02/26HJordan60-73
30/11/25AIraq86-71
27/11/25HIraq94-68
17/08/25HNew Zealand79-73
16/08/25AAustralia48-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/08/26HIran68-56
28/08/26AJordan82-81 OT
06/07/26AAustralia49-92
03/07/26ANew Zealand102-106 OT
01/03/26HAustralia66-93
26/02/26HNew Zealand66-69
01/12/25HGuam95-71
28/11/25AGuam87-46
13/08/25AAustralia60-84
11/08/25ASaudi Arabia95-88 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iran
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL62%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game74.979.270.5
Allowed / game67.875.560.0
Point differential+7.1+3.8+10.5
Avg total142.6154.8130.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%25%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %12%25%0%
Philippines
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game76.973.880.0
Allowed / game76.872.281.2
Point differential+0.1+1.5-1.2
Avg total153.6146.0161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %25%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia880100%101.870.0+31.8
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada880100%100.981.1+19.8
4 Turkey880100%91.972.6+19.2
5 Croatia1211192%99.273.5+25.8
6 France87188%85.171.6+13.5
7 Poland87188%95.882.2+13.5
8 Germany87188%93.682.1+11.5
9 Dominican Republic65183%93.377.8+15.5
10 Mexico65183%93.781.8+11.8
11 Senegal97278%86.370.6+15.8
12 South Sudan97278%82.068.6+13.4
13 Ivory Coast97278%88.276.1+12.1
14 Cameroon97278%76.471.6+4.9
15 New Zealand86275%97.279.8+17.5
16 Japan86275%91.074.8+16.2
17 Argentina86275%87.271.5+15.8
18 Lebanon86275%89.674.6+15.0
19 Brazil86275%90.878.1+12.6
20 Uruguay86275%84.473.4+11.0
21 Serbia86275%87.178.1+9.0
22 Ukraine129375%83.275.9+7.3
23 Angola96367%86.873.0+13.8
24 Guinea96367%75.266.1+9.1
25 Mali96367%81.478.0+3.4
26 Jordan85362%85.571.0+14.5
27 Spain85362%90.178.8+11.4
28 Iran85362%74.967.8+7.1
29 Italy85362%83.076.9+6.1
30 China85362%84.581.6+2.9
31 Georgia85362%85.582.6+2.9
32 Finland85362%80.679.2+1.4
33 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
34 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
35 Nigeria95456%79.976.9+3.0
36 Tunisia95456%71.769.9+1.8
37 Portugal84450%83.879.5+4.2
38 Hungary126650%80.977.9+3.0
39 Greece84450%77.174.5+2.6
40 Latvia84450%83.481.2+2.1
41 Lithuania84450%85.984.6+1.2
42 Bahamas84450%93.292.1+1.1
43 Switzerland168850%73.172.8+0.3
44 Slovenia84450%84.083.8+0.2
45 Philippines84450%76.976.8+0.1
46 South Korea84450%78.479.1-0.8
47 Sweden84450%81.183.5-2.4
48 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
49 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
50 Qatar84450%75.981.5-5.6
51 Montenegro84450%71.879.1-7.4
52 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
53 Egypt94544%75.973.1+2.8
54 Austria146843%83.084.9-1.9
55 Colombia73443%83.691.4-7.9
56 Netherlands125742%82.181.1+1.0
57 Bosnia & Herzegovina83538%78.177.1+1.0
58 Estonia83538%80.483.0-2.6
59 Saudi Arabia83538%76.479.6-3.2
60 Iceland83538%81.293.8-12.5
61 Cape Verde93633%75.681.3-5.8
62 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
63 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
64 Jamaica62433%86.3102.8-16.5
65 D.R. Congo93633%68.885.7-16.9
66 Chile72529%71.380.6-9.3
67 Israel82625%79.283.5-4.2
68 Puerto Rico82625%85.990.2-4.4
69 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
70 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
71 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
72 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
73 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
74 Panama82625%75.488.9-13.5
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Syria82625%66.889.9-23.1
77 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
78 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
79 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
80 Venezuela61517%79.087.5-8.5
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium6060%71.880.0-8.2
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua4040%72.095.5-23.5
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Cyprus6060%60.299.0-38.8
93 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.
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