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Irbis Almaty vs Aktobe Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 13 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record18-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game69.8
vs
Position#7
Record3-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.5
Allowed / game75.6
KazakhstanNational League
Other2024-25
Meetings · Irbis Almaty v Aktobe
13 Mar 2025
IRBI v AKTO
upcoming
12 Mar 2025
IRBI v AKTO
upcoming
04 May 2024
IRBI81
AKTO78
20 Apr 2024
IRBI78
AKTO93
19 Apr 2024
IRBI87
AKTO69
19 Dec 2023
IRBI77
AKTO67
18 Dec 2023
IRBI81
AKTO67
01 Dec 2022
IRBI71
AKTO79
30 Nov 2022
IRBI74
AKTO67
16 Oct 2022
IRBI70
AKTO104
15 Oct 2022
IRBI73
AKTO61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Irbis Almaty win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Aktobe win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Irbis AlmatyKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlmaty
Date
Competition
Astana 2
#3
L
82-99
82
99
-17
68avg 77
A08/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
105-74
105
74
+31
104avg 77
H15/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
96-64
96
64
+32
94avg 77
H16/01
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
71-77
71
77
-6
58avg 77
H22/01
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
71-68
71
68
+3
60avg 77
H23/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
94-81
94
81
+13
89avg 77
A03/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
74-61
74
61
+13
72avg 77
A04/03
National League
Almaty
#4
W
88-70
88
70
+18
93avg 77
H09/03
National League
Almaty
#4
W
84-75
84
75
+9
81avg 77
H10/03
National League
Almaty
#4
W
78-77
78
77
+1
61avg 77
A10/03
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
19-29
21-26
25-19
38-10
16-25
23-24
28-15
21-19
25-14
20-15
30-16
17-27
24-20
11-18
19-12
16-21
20-16
18-15
17-16
20-18
33-17
21-26
20-20
22-16
12-13
21-17
19-15
23-19
24-15
15-25
26-11
19-16
23-21
31-14
11-24
14-25
17-18
19-21
28-13
158.9Avg total
84.3Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.569.8151.3+11.782%
Season at home (10)82.964.7147.6+18.290%
Season away (12)80.374.0154.3+6.375%
Last 10 (10)84.374.6158.9+9.780%
Last 5 (5)83.672.8156.4+10.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)81.371.7153.0+9.677%
This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AktobeKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAktobe
Date
Competition
Astana 2
#3
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
H09/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
94-68
94
68
+26
95avg 73
H10/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
71-92
71
92
-21
59avg 73
A03/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
70-83
70
83
-13
60avg 73
A04/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
L
72-93
72
93
-21
60avg 73
H08/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
L
63-67
63
67
-4
60avg 73
H09/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
70-78
70
78
-8
62avg 73
H23/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
73-78
73
78
-5
63avg 73
H24/12
National League
Almaty
#4
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
A08/03
National League
Almaty
#4
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
A09/03
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-15
18-22
19-22
13-22
17-15
20-21
30-16
27-16
18-22
10-17
18-26
25-27
20-18
16-16
16-24
18-25
14-15
13-28
19-25
26-25
19-8
23-16
14-24
7-19
16-26
19-16
20-16
15-20
18-16
18-25
15-15
22-22
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
126.9Avg total
58.9Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)67.575.6143.1-8.119%
Season at home (10)77.680.1157.7-2.530%
Season away (6)50.768.2118.8-17.50%
Last 10 (10)58.968.0126.9-9.110%
Last 5 (5)41.252.693.8-11.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)70.876.8147.7-6.026%
vs Similar (9)85.082.0167.0+3.067%
vs Weaker (2)67.580.0147.5-12.50%
This opponent (Irbis Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +6.2+6.2Q4: -2.9-2.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +6.2+6.2Q4: -2.9-2.9
Irbis AlmatyAktobe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Irbis AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana 2
#3
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A08/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H15/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H16/01
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H22/01
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H23/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A03/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A04/03
National League
Almaty
#4
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H09/03
National League
Almaty
#4
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H10/03
National League
Almaty
#4
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A10/03
National League
80.4Avg total
42.0Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.637.078.6+4.567%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.936.077.9+5.964%-
Last 30 away (16)41.337.979.2+3.469%-
Last 10 (10)42.038.480.4+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.435.677.0+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)41.637.078.6+4.567%-
This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana 2
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H09/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H10/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A03/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A04/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H08/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H09/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H23/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H24/12
National League
72.6Avg total
35.6Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)39.941.481.2-1.536%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.240.880.0-1.535%-
Last 30 away (11)40.942.383.2-1.436%-
Last 10 (8)35.637.072.6-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.236.872.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)40.241.781.9-1.529%-
vs Similar (9)40.642.483.0-1.944%-
vs Weaker (2)34.533.568.0+1.050%-
This opponent (Irbis Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Irbis Almaty wins
3
Aktobe wins
DateGameScore
08/10/24Aktobe v Irbis Almaty62-75
07/10/24Aktobe v Irbis Almaty81-78
04/05/24Irbis Almaty v Aktobe81-78
28/04/24Aktobe v Irbis Almaty86-91
27/04/24Aktobe v Irbis Almaty75-73
20/04/24Irbis Almaty v Aktobe78-93
19/04/24Irbis Almaty v Aktobe87-69
19/12/23Irbis Almaty v Aktobe77-67
18/12/23Irbis Almaty v Aktobe81-67
26/11/23Aktobe v Irbis Almaty64-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/25AAlmaty78-77
10/03/25HAlmaty84-75
09/03/25HAlmaty88-70
04/03/25AKaspiy Aktau74-61
03/03/25AKaspiy Aktau94-81
23/01/25HAtyrau71-68
22/01/25HAtyrau71-77
16/01/25HPavlodar96-64
15/01/25HPavlodar105-74
08/01/25AAstana 282-99
Aktobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25AAlmaty0-20
08/03/25AAlmaty0-20
24/12/24HTobol Kostanay73-78
23/12/24HTobol Kostanay70-78
09/12/24HPavlodar63-67
08/12/24HPavlodar72-93
04/12/24AKaspiy Aktau70-83
03/12/24AKaspiy Aktau71-92
10/11/24HAstana 294-68
09/11/24HAstana 276-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Irbis Almaty
National League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWLWWW90%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %82%90%75%
Points / game81.582.980.3
Allowed / game69.864.774.0
Point differential+11.7+18.2+6.3
Avg total151.3147.6154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aktobe
National League 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL19%
HomeWLLLL30%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %19%30%0%
Points / game67.577.650.7
Allowed / game75.680.168.2
Point differential-8.1-2.5-17.5
Avg total143.1157.7118.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)20% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Irbis Almaty2218482%81.569.8+11.7
2 Tobol Kostanay2218482%87.377.0+10.3
3 Almaty2415962%77.273.0+4.2
4 Atyrau24141058%81.576.2+5.2
5 Kaspiy Aktau24101442%73.476.0-2.6
6 Astana 226101638%74.780.3-5.6
7 Aktobe1631319%67.575.6-8.1
8 Pavlodar2642215%70.885.2-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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