Irbis Almaty vs Aktobe Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 May 2024

Tip-off: 13:00

Final 81-78

20-25 22-16 16-19 23-18

Position#1

Record32-3

FormWWLLW

Points / game88.6

Allowed / game72.0

Irbis Almaty 🏆

Aktobe

Position#3

Record22-14

FormWLWWL

Points / game84.2

Allowed / game81.1

National LeagueNational League - Semi-finals

Other2023-24

Meetings · Irbis Almaty v Aktobe

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Irbis Almaty winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Aktobe winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Irbis Almaty Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAlmaty

Date

Competition

Pavlodar

106-74

106

+32

106avg 86

A11/03

National League

Almaty

94-71

+23

86avg 86

H16/03

National League

Almaty

105-103

105

103

95avg 86

H17/03

National League

Pavlodar

94-65

+29

88avg 86

H25/03

National League

Pavlodar

88-59

+29

85avg 86

H26/03

National League

Pavlodar

93-54

+39

92avg 86

A27/03

National League

Aktobe

87-69

+18

82avg 86

H19/04

National League

Aktobe

78-93

-15

70avg 86

H20/04

National League

Aktobe

73-75

-2

65avg 86

A27/04

National League

Aktobe

91-86

91avg 86

A28/04

National League

34-16

25-18

32-23

15-17

21-12

22-20

27-24

24-15

24-23

20-32

29-20

32-28

27-15

20-14

31-15

16-21

32-19

21-6

19-12

16-22

26-15

27-18

25-14

15-7

28-19

23-14

19-14

17-22

20-17

14-37

25-16

19-23

23-22

23-15

21-15

6-23

15-13

33-24

16-21

27-28

165.8Avg total

90.9Scored

74.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (35)	88.6	72.0	160.6	+16.6	91%
Season at home (18)	86.6	70.6	157.2	+15.9	94%
Season away (17)	90.7	73.5	164.2	+17.2	88%
Last 10 (10)	90.9	74.9	165.8	+16.0	80%
Last 5 (5)	84.4	75.4	159.8	+9.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	87.8	70.8	158.6	+17.0	90%

This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Aktobe

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAktobe

Date

Competition

Tobol Kostanay

95-88

88avg 78

H13/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

87-91

-4

69avg 78

H14/03

National League

Astana 2

74-66

71avg 78

H02/04

National League

Astana 2

82-86

-4

69avg 78

H03/04

National League

Astana 2

71-68

66avg 78

A09/04

National League

Astana 2

85-70

+15

89avg 78

A10/04

National League

Irbis Almaty

69-87

-18

57avg 78

A19/04

National League

Irbis Almaty

93-78

+15

85avg 78

A20/04

National League

Irbis Almaty

75-73

67avg 78

H27/04

National League

Irbis Almaty

86-91

-5

84avg 78

H28/04

National League

19-21

28-18

25-30

23-19

23-25

22-20

24-22

18-24

7-21

22-21

22-16

23-8

12-29

19-19

17-14

34-24

20-14

17-19

10-12

24-23

22-20

22-17

24-16

17-17

19-28

14-23

14-19

22-17

17-20

37-14

16-25

23-19

22-23

15-23

15-21

23-6

13-15

24-33

21-16

28-27

161.5Avg total

81.7Scored

79.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (36)	84.2	81.1	165.4	+3.1	61%
Season at home (18)	86.1	84.1	170.2	+2.0	61%
Season away (18)	82.4	78.1	160.5	+4.3	61%
Last 10 (10)	81.7	79.8	161.5	+1.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.6	79.8	161.4	+1.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	80.3	87.2	167.5	-6.8	33%
vs Similar (8)	82.9	77.6	160.5	+5.2	75%
vs Weaker (10)	90.2	76.1	166.3	+14.1	80%

This opponent (Irbis Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Irbis AlmatyAktobe

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.8	17.4	41.2	+6.4	83%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.2	17.0	40.2	+6.2	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.4	17.8	42.2	+6.6	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.0	17.1	42.1	+7.9	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	17.2	39.6	+5.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	23.8	17.4	41.2	+6.4	83%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.3	41.7	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	22.4	42.9	-1.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	20.1	40.3	+0.0	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	21.6	39.0	-4.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.2	39.8	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.6	24.4	44.0	-4.8	17%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.2	19.9	38.1	-1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.9	18.8	41.7	+4.1	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	18.2	41.0	+4.5	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	17.8	38.9	+3.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.7	18.7	43.4	+6.0	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	19.8	42.6	+3.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	21.6	45.6	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	22.8	18.2	41.0	+4.5	77%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	20.7	43.3	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	23.2	45.4	-0.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.9	17.9	40.8	+4.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	20.7	42.7	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	22.0	44.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	21.9	22.9	44.8	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	25.1	18.1	43.2	+7.0	80%	-

Irbis AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pavlodar

59-34

+25

A11/03

National League

Almaty

43-32

+11

H16/03

National League

Almaty

44-55

-11

H17/03

National League

Pavlodar

47-29

+18

H25/03

National League

Pavlodar

53-25

+28

H26/03

National League

Pavlodar

53-33

+20

A27/03

National League

Aktobe

51-33

+18

H19/04

National League

Aktobe

34-54

-20

H20/04

National League

Aktobe

46-37

A27/04

National League

Aktobe

48-37

+11

A28/04

National League

84.7Avg total

47.8Scored

36.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.6	35.6	82.2	+11.0	87%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.3	34.8	79.1	+9.5	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	49.1	36.5	85.6	+12.6	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.8	36.9	84.7	+10.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	38.8	85.2	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	46.6	35.6	82.2	+11.0	87%	-

This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tobol Kostanay

47-39

H13/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

45-45

H14/03

National League

Astana 2

29-42

-13

H02/04

National League

Astana 2

31-48

-17

H03/04

National League

Astana 2

37-33

A09/04

National League

Astana 2

44-37

A10/04

National League

Irbis Almaty

33-51

-18

A19/04

National League

Irbis Almaty

54-34

+20

A20/04

National League

Irbis Almaty

37-46

-9

H27/04

National League

Irbis Almaty

37-48

-11

H28/04

National League

81.7Avg total

39.4Scored

42.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.9	42.1	84.9	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.8	45.6	88.3	-2.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.0	38.1	81.1	+4.9	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	42.3	81.7	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	43.2	84.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	41.5	47.3	88.8	-5.8	17%	-
vs Similar (8)	38.5	40.6	79.1	-2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	48.0	36.9	84.9	+11.1	100%	-

This opponent (Irbis Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	16.6	38.8	+5.6	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	16.5	39.4	+6.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	16.6	38.1	+4.8	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.4	17.4	41.8	+7.0	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	16.0	37.2	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	22.2	16.6	38.8	+5.6	73%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.8	39.8	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	19.8	40.7	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	19.9	38.7	-1.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.1	37.9	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	19.4	37.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	17.6	20.8	38.4	-3.2	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.2	18.6	38.9	+1.6	62%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.5	19.6	42.1	+2.9	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.6	37.6	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	18.4	37.4	+0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.6	39.3	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	20.6	37.4	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	19.0	18.6	37.6	+0.4	47%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	18.6	39.5	+2.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	19.1	40.3	+2.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	18.0	38.5	+2.5	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	18.4	41.9	+5.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	17.2	39.8	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	20.4	18.2	38.7	+2.2	67%	-
vs Similar (8)	23.0	17.9	40.9	+5.1	75%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.7	19.6	39.3	+0.1	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	35.2	76.4	+6.0	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.9	35.3	77.2	+6.6	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.4	35.1	75.5	+5.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	38.0	81.1	+5.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	36.6	74.6	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	41.2	35.2	76.4	+6.0	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	38.4	79.2	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.1	38.9	81.0	+3.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.4	37.9	77.2	+1.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	37.5	79.8	+4.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	36.6	77.2	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	38.0	39.1	77.1	-1.1	42%	-
vs Similar (8)	43.2	36.5	79.8	+6.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (10)	42.2	39.2	81.4	+3.0	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Irbis Almaty wins

Aktobe wins

Date	Game	Score
28/04/24	Aktobe v Irbis Almaty	86-91
27/04/24	Aktobe v Irbis Almaty	75-73
20/04/24	Irbis Almaty v Aktobe	78-93
19/04/24	Irbis Almaty v Aktobe	87-69
19/12/23	Irbis Almaty v Aktobe	77-67
18/12/23	Irbis Almaty v Aktobe	81-67
26/11/23	Aktobe v Irbis Almaty	64-86
25/11/23	Aktobe v Irbis Almaty	95-114
06/03/23	Aktobe v Irbis Almaty	84-90
05/03/23	Aktobe v Irbis Almaty	84-99

Irbis Almatylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/04/24	A	Aktobe	91-86
27/04/24	A	Aktobe	73-75
20/04/24	H	Aktobe	78-93
19/04/24	H	Aktobe	87-69
27/03/24	A	Pavlodar	93-54
26/03/24	H	Pavlodar	88-59
25/03/24	H	Pavlodar	94-65
17/03/24	H	Almaty	105-103
16/03/24	H	Almaty	94-71
11/03/24	A	Pavlodar	106-74

Aktobelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/04/24	H	Irbis Almaty	86-91
27/04/24	H	Irbis Almaty	75-73
20/04/24	A	Irbis Almaty	93-78
19/04/24	A	Irbis Almaty	69-87
10/04/24	A	Astana 2	85-70
09/04/24	A	Astana 2	71-68
03/04/24	H	Astana 2	82-86
02/04/24	H	Astana 2	74-66
14/03/24	H	Tobol Kostanay	87-91
13/03/24	H	Tobol Kostanay	95-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Irbis Almaty

National League 2023-24

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	91%
Home	WWWWL	94%
Away	WWWLW	88%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	35	18	17
Win %	91%	94%	88%
Points / game	88.6	86.6	90.7
Allowed / game	72.0	70.6	73.5
Point differential	+16.6	+15.9	+17.2
Avg total	160.6	157.2	164.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	77%	78%	76%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Aktobe

National League 2023-24

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	61%
Home	LWLWL	61%
Away	WWWLW	61%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	36	18	18
Win %	61%	61%	61%
Points / game	84.2	86.1	82.4
Allowed / game	81.1	84.1	78.1
Point differential	+3.1	+2.0	+4.3
Avg total	165.4	170.2	160.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	28%	44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	56% (9)	43% (7)	100% (2)
Overtime %	6%	11%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Irbis Almaty	35	32	3	91%	88.6	72.0	+16.6
2	Atyrau	35	25	10	71%	82.2	73.2	+9.0
3	Tobol Kostanay	35	23	12	66%	89.7	82.2	+7.6
4	Aktobe	36	22	14	61%	84.2	81.1	+3.1
5	Astana 2	32	14	18	44%	76.4	76.6	-0.2
6	Almaty	31	10	21	32%	81.8	87.0	-5.2
7	Kaspiy Aktau	31	6	25	19%	72.6	89.3	-16.7
8	Pavlodar	31	1	30	3%	73.4	92.4	-19.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Irbis Almaty	20	22	16	23	81
Aktobe	25	16	19	18	78

← all games of the day

Irbis Almaty vs Aktobe Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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