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Israel vs Latvia Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 30 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#67
Record2-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Position#40
Record4-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game81.2
EuropeWorld CupRound 4
Other2027
Meetings · Israel v Latvia
30 Nov 2026
ISRA v LATV
upcoming
03 Aug 2014
ISRA94
LATV86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Israel win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Latvia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IsraelLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#8
L
96-106
96
106
-10
H04/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A07/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
69-89
69
89
-20
A28/11
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
71-85
71
85
-14
H01/12
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
94-54
94
54
+40
H27/02
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
83-54
83
54
+29
A01/03
World Cup
Germany
#8
L
86-92
86
92
-6
H03/07
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
75-103
75
103
-28
A06/07
World Cup
Poland
#7
L
86-106
86
106
-20
H27/08
World Cup
Latvia
#40
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A30/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
21-30
22-23
31-27
22-28
19-22
18-17
20-17
22-26
9-24
22-19
16-20
25-25
17-22
14-24
15-14
32-15
26-8
13-16
23-15
24-12
21-17
23-13
15-12
15-23
22-22
18-31
31-16
12-25
19-22
20-27
24-29
15-23
27-32
18-25
26-26
22-21
19-20
17-26
12-18
166.7Avg total
80.9Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.283.5162.8-4.225%
Season at home (4)84.284.2168.5+0.025%
Season away (4)74.282.8157.0-8.525%
Last 10 (10)80.985.8166.7-4.920%
Last 5 (5)80.088.0168.0-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)77.289.1166.4-11.912%
vs Similar (9)80.880.4161.2+0.344%
vs Weaker (13)85.072.9157.9+12.169%
This opponent (Latvia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LatviaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Czech Republic
#23
W
109-75
109
75
+34
A03/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A06/09
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#56
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H28/11
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
86-68
86
68
+18
A01/12
World Cup
Poland
#7
L
82-84
82
84
-2
H27/02
World Cup
Poland
#7
L
72-92
72
92
-20
A01/03
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A03/07
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
112-66
112
66
+46
H06/07
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
80-115
80
115
-35
A27/08
World Cup
Israel
#67
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H30/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-24
28-20
28-12
23-19
18-28
19-19
17-19
25-22
12-26
17-22
21-17
28-21
20-24
20-13
29-17
17-14
23-21
25-21
14-24
20-18
16-23
20-31
18-16
18-22
18-26
23-7
11-21
20-15
22-22
32-20
30-9
28-15
14-23
27-37
16-25
23-30
21-22
20-19
26-17
18-12
166.8Avg total
85.5Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.481.2164.6+2.150%
Season at home (4)89.276.5165.8+12.850%
Season away (4)77.586.0163.5-8.550%
Last 10 (10)85.581.3166.8+4.250%
Last 5 (5)84.282.4166.6+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.688.8170.3-7.222%
vs Similar (8)79.884.1163.9-4.438%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)87.869.6157.5+18.2100%
This opponent (Israel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +3.2+3.2
IsraelLatvia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IsraelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#8
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H04/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A07/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A28/11
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H01/12
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
58-23
58
23
+35
H27/02
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A01/03
World Cup
Germany
#8
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H03/07
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A06/07
World Cup
Poland
#7
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H27/08
World Cup
Latvia
#40
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A30/08
World Cup
85.4Avg total
41.1Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.140.080.1+0.045%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.339.280.5+2.250%-
Last 30 away (17)39.240.679.8-1.541%-
Last 10 (10)41.144.385.4-3.220%-
Last 5 (5)39.243.482.6-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.646.484.0-8.80%-
vs Similar (9)39.338.077.3+1.367%-
vs Weaker (12)42.237.379.6+4.958%-
This opponent (Latvia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LatviaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Czech Republic
#23
W
58-44
58
44
+14
A03/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A06/09
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#56
L
29-48
29
48
-19
H28/11
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A01/12
World Cup
Poland
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H27/02
World Cup
Poland
#7
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A01/03
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A03/07
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H06/07
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
41-60
41
60
-19
A27/08
World Cup
Israel
#67
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H30/08
World Cup
87.3Avg total
42.5Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.242.084.1+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.241.884.9+1.454%-
Last 30 away (17)41.442.183.5-0.747%-
Last 10 (10)42.544.887.3-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)42.646.088.6-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)42.945.688.4-2.744%-
vs Similar (8)37.844.081.8-6.212%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.438.282.6+6.277%-
This opponent (Israel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Israeltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Israel: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.8
53.1%
-39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.8
37.0%
-26.4
🏀 Free throws20.916.2
77.5%
-16.2
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Latviatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Latvia: 53.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀36%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers19.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers17.69.6
54.5%
-19.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.08.0
36.4%
-24.0
🏀 Free throws12.610.1
80.2%
-10.1
They take 39.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 56% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Israel
LLLLWWLLLL
Latvia
WLWWLLWLLW
#67
League position
#40
+3.9
Net rating
+1.1
113.1
Offensive rating
117.9
109.2
Defensive rating
116.8
54.0%
Effective FG%
54.5%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
17.9%
Turnover %
14.2%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.0%
3-point %
36.4%
59.1%
Assist %
69.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Israel   ■ Latvia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Israel wins
1
Latvia wins
DateGameScore
30/08/26Latvia v Israel85-70
03/08/14Israel v Latvia94-86
Israellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/08/26ALatvia70-85
27/08/26HPoland86-106
06/07/26ACroatia75-103
03/07/26HGermany86-92
01/03/26ACyprus83-54
27/02/26HCyprus94-54
01/12/25HCroatia71-85
28/11/25AGermany69-89
07/09/25AGreece79-84
04/09/25HSlovenia96-106
Latvialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/08/26HIsrael85-70
27/08/26ACroatia80-115
06/07/26HAustria112-66
03/07/26ANetherlands72-69
01/03/26APoland72-92
27/02/26HPoland82-84
01/12/25AAustria86-68
28/11/25HNetherlands78-86
06/09/25ALithuania79-88
03/09/25ACzech Republic109-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Israel
World Cup 2027
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL25%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game79.284.274.2
Allowed / game83.584.282.8
Point differential-4.2+0.0-8.5
Avg total162.8168.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Latvia
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game83.489.277.5
Allowed / game81.276.586.0
Point differential+2.1+12.8-8.5
Avg total164.6165.8163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia880100%101.870.0+31.8
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada880100%100.981.1+19.8
4 Turkey880100%91.972.6+19.2
5 Croatia1211192%99.273.5+25.8
6 France87188%85.171.6+13.5
7 Poland87188%95.882.2+13.5
8 Germany87188%93.682.1+11.5
9 Dominican Republic65183%93.377.8+15.5
10 Mexico65183%93.781.8+11.8
11 Senegal97278%86.370.6+15.8
12 South Sudan97278%82.068.6+13.4
13 Ivory Coast97278%88.276.1+12.1
14 Cameroon97278%76.471.6+4.9
15 New Zealand86275%97.279.8+17.5
16 Japan86275%91.074.8+16.2
17 Argentina86275%87.271.5+15.8
18 Lebanon86275%89.674.6+15.0
19 Brazil86275%90.878.1+12.6
20 Uruguay86275%84.473.4+11.0
21 Serbia86275%87.178.1+9.0
22 Ukraine129375%83.275.9+7.3
23 Angola96367%86.873.0+13.8
24 Guinea96367%75.266.1+9.1
25 Mali96367%81.478.0+3.4
26 Jordan85362%85.571.0+14.5
27 Spain85362%90.178.8+11.4
28 Iran85362%74.967.8+7.1
29 Italy85362%83.076.9+6.1
30 China85362%84.581.6+2.9
31 Georgia85362%85.582.6+2.9
32 Finland85362%80.679.2+1.4
33 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
34 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
35 Nigeria95456%79.976.9+3.0
36 Tunisia95456%71.769.9+1.8
37 Portugal84450%83.879.5+4.2
38 Hungary126650%80.977.9+3.0
39 Greece84450%77.174.5+2.6
40 Latvia84450%83.481.2+2.1
41 Lithuania84450%85.984.6+1.2
42 Bahamas84450%93.292.1+1.1
43 Switzerland168850%73.172.8+0.3
44 Slovenia84450%84.083.8+0.2
45 Philippines84450%76.976.8+0.1
46 South Korea84450%78.479.1-0.8
47 Sweden84450%81.183.5-2.4
48 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
49 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
50 Qatar84450%75.981.5-5.6
51 Montenegro84450%71.879.1-7.4
52 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
53 Egypt94544%75.973.1+2.8
54 Austria146843%83.084.9-1.9
55 Colombia73443%83.691.4-7.9
56 Netherlands125742%82.181.1+1.0
57 Bosnia & Herzegovina83538%78.177.1+1.0
58 Estonia83538%80.483.0-2.6
59 Saudi Arabia83538%76.479.6-3.2
60 Iceland83538%81.293.8-12.5
61 Cape Verde93633%75.681.3-5.8
62 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
63 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
64 Jamaica62433%86.3102.8-16.5
65 D.R. Congo93633%68.885.7-16.9
66 Chile72529%71.380.6-9.3
67 Israel82625%79.283.5-4.2
68 Puerto Rico82625%85.990.2-4.4
69 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
70 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
71 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
72 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
73 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
74 Panama82625%75.488.9-13.5
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Syria82625%66.889.9-23.1
77 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
78 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
79 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
80 Venezuela61517%79.087.5-8.5
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium6060%71.880.0-8.2
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua4040%72.095.5-23.5
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Cyprus6060%60.299.0-38.8
93 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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