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Italy vs Georgia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Aug 2022
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 91-84
25-19 18-19 23-28 25-18
Position#17
Record4-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game88.2
Italy 🏆
vs
Position#32
Record5-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game75.4
EuropeWorld CupRound 8
Other2023
Meetings · Italy v Georgia
30 Aug 2025
ITAL78
GEOR62
27 Aug 2022
ITAL91
GEOR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Georgia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nigeria
#22
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H31/07
Olympic Games
France
#2
L
75-84
75
84
-9
H03/08
Olympic Games
Russia
#1
L
78-92
78
92
-14
A26/11
World Cup
Netherlands
#77
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H29/11
World Cup
Iceland
#31
L
105-107 OT
105
107
-2
A24/02
World Cup
Iceland
#31
W
95-87
95
87
+8
H27/02
World Cup
Netherlands
#77
W
92-81
92
81
+11
A04/07
World Cup
Serbia
#1
L
86-90
86
90
-4
H19/08
DBB Supercup
Czech Republic
#4
W
96-80
96
80
+16
H20/08
DBB Supercup
Ukraine
#34
W
97-89
97
89
+8
A24/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-17
11-22
16-24
24-8
25-20
17-23
12-21
21-20
14-15
23-22
22-27
19-28
22-18
25-21
13-11
15-23
18-21
15-23
26-21
26-20
27-28
26-17
21-17
21-25
22-17
32-26
18-21
20-17
23-24
30-20
19-21
14-25
25-18
24-18
26-23
21-21
19-19
15-26
38-22
25-22
173.3Avg total
87.9Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)90.388.2178.5+2.267%
Season at home (2)85.080.0165.0+5.0100%
Season away (4)93.092.2185.2+0.850%
Last 10 (10)87.985.4173.3+2.560%
Last 5 (5)93.285.4178.6+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.485.0162.4-7.614%
vs Similar ◀ (7)87.482.1169.6+5.371%
vs Weaker (16)88.177.1165.1+11.081%
This opponent (Georgia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeorgiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Switzerland
#31
W
91-84
91
84
+7
A30/11
EuroBasket
Serbia
#3
L
66-92
66
92
-26
H19/02
EuroBasket
Finland
#16
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H21/02
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#34
W
88-83
88
83
+5
H26/11
World Cup
Spain
#7
L
61-89
61
89
-28
A29/11
World Cup
North Macedonia
#63
W
91-70
91
70
+21
H24/02
World Cup
North Macedonia
#63
W
79-65
79
65
+14
A27/02
World Cup
Ukraine
#34
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A01/07
World Cup
Spain
#7
W
82-76 OT
82
76
+6
H04/07
World Cup
Netherlands
#77
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H24/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
19-15
19-15
26-30
10-13
21-24
20-28
15-27
17-30
13-19
27-8
13-21
28-24
17-22
19-20
24-17
15-23
16-24
10-17
20-25
24-18
22-13
22-16
23-23
18-21
25-14
15-17
21-13
20-23
14-24
10-13
22-19
15-14
22-17
7-16
23-20
18-18
17-17
21-9
21-22
155.3Avg total
77.1Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.775.4153.1+2.371%
Season at home (4)84.573.8158.2+10.8100%
Season away (3)68.777.7146.3-9.033%
Last 10 (10)77.178.2155.3-1.160%
Last 5 (5)79.071.2150.2+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.684.7159.3-10.131%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.676.8157.3+3.875%
vs Weaker (3)82.367.0149.3+15.3100%
This opponent (Italy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
ItalyGeorgia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ItalyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nigeria
#22
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H31/07
Olympic Games
France
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H03/08
Olympic Games
Russia
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A26/11
World Cup
Netherlands
#77
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H29/11
World Cup
Iceland
#31
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A24/02
World Cup
Iceland
#31
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H27/02
World Cup
Netherlands
#77
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A04/07
World Cup
Serbia
#1
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H19/08
DBB Supercup
Czech Republic
#4
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H20/08
DBB Supercup
Ukraine
#34
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A24/08
World Cup
85.7Avg total
44.2Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.439.882.2+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.538.481.9+5.169%-
Last 30 away (14)41.141.382.4-0.143%-
Last 10 (10)44.241.585.7+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)48.642.691.2+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.442.984.3-1.443%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)40.739.079.7+1.771%-
vs Weaker (16)43.638.882.3+4.856%-
This opponent (Georgia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeorgiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Switzerland
#31
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A30/11
EuroBasket
Serbia
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H19/02
EuroBasket
Finland
#16
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H21/02
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#34
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H26/11
World Cup
Spain
#7
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A29/11
World Cup
North Macedonia
#63
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H24/02
World Cup
North Macedonia
#63
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A27/02
World Cup
Ukraine
#34
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A01/07
World Cup
Spain
#7
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H04/07
World Cup
Netherlands
#77
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H24/08
World Cup
77.5Avg total
37.8Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)38.739.077.8-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.738.175.8-0.540%-
Last 30 away (13)39.940.180.0-0.262%-
Last 10 (10)37.839.777.5-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.035.874.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.341.778.0-5.438%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.737.578.2+3.258%-
vs Weaker (3)41.333.775.0+7.767%-
This opponent (Italy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Italy wins
0
Georgia wins
DateGameScore
25/08/17Georgia v Italy65-73
Italylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/08/22AUkraine97-89
20/08/22HCzech Republic96-80
19/08/22HSerbia86-90
04/07/22ANetherlands92-81
27/02/22HIceland95-87
24/02/22AIceland105-107 OT
29/11/21HNetherlands75-73
26/11/21ARussia78-92
03/08/21HFrance75-84
31/07/21HNigeria80-71
Georgialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/08/22HNetherlands77-66
04/07/22HSpain82-76 OT
01/07/22AUkraine66-79
27/02/22ANorth Macedonia79-65
24/02/22HNorth Macedonia91-70
29/11/21ASpain61-89
26/11/21HUkraine88-83
21/02/21HFinland70-78
19/02/21HSerbia66-92
30/11/20ASwitzerland91-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy
World Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game90.385.093.0
Allowed / game88.280.092.2
Point differential+2.2+5.0+0.8
Avg total178.5165.0185.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %17%0%25%
Georgia
World Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%100%33%
Points / game77.784.568.7
Allowed / game75.473.877.7
Point differential+2.3+10.8-9.0
Avg total153.1158.2146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Zealand550100%94.058.8+35.2
2 Canada770100%102.072.0+30.0
3 Australia770100%88.159.3+28.9
4 Russia330100%87.070.7+16.3
5 Ivory Coast770100%74.363.9+10.4
6 Latvia1110191%86.271.9+14.3
7 Egypt87188%75.655.8+19.9
8 Spain87188%84.665.4+19.2
9 Lithuania87188%80.071.5+8.5
10 Lebanon76186%87.765.0+22.7
11 Venezuela76186%79.360.6+18.7
12 Germany76186%77.367.9+9.4
13 South Sudan76186%70.762.4+8.3
14 Finland76186%79.074.1+4.9
15 Puerto Rico54180%78.474.2+4.2
16 France86275%81.162.4+18.8
17 Angola86275%74.060.5+13.5
18 Montenegro129375%79.072.6+6.4
19 Brazil75271%86.469.4+17.0
20 China75271%80.164.7+15.4
21 Iran75271%80.166.1+14.0
22 Belgium75271%76.064.1+11.9
23 Dominican Republic75271%84.172.4+11.7
24 Jordan75271%75.366.4+8.9
25 Argentina75271%77.468.7+8.7
26 Kazakhstan75271%72.664.6+8.0
27 Slovenia75271%87.180.7+6.4
28 Georgia75271%77.775.4+2.3
29 Belarus128467%80.267.2+13.0
30 Greece64267%80.275.7+4.5
31 Italy64267%90.388.2+2.2
32 Uruguay64267%74.072.3+1.7
33 Nigeria85362%71.864.6+7.1
34 Iceland1610662%81.880.1+1.6
35 Mexico53260%84.682.8+1.8
36 Senegal74357%70.063.1+6.9
37 Cape Verde74357%71.467.6+3.9
38 Serbia74357%78.376.1+2.1
39 Tunisia74357%63.962.3+1.6
40 D.R. Congo74357%56.055.1+0.9
41 Portugal168850%70.971.6-0.7
42 Switzerland42250%62.263.2-1.0
43 Bosnia & Herzegovina84450%79.683.0-3.4
44 Hungary84450%69.979.5-9.6
45 Sweden115645%82.575.8+6.7
46 Israel73443%78.475.9+2.6
47 Ukraine73443%78.977.9+1.0
48 Saudi Arabia73443%70.073.7-3.7
49 Colombia73443%79.689.6-10.0
50 Mali52340%42.047.2-5.2
51 Philippines52340%74.281.2-7.0
52 Czech Republic83538%78.082.5-4.5
53 Poland62433%74.077.0-3.0
54 Turkey62433%77.080.2-3.2
55 Kosovo62433%75.885.2-9.3
56 Slovakia1651131%68.976.7-7.8
57 Panama72529%66.769.1-2.4
58 Uganda72529%63.472.4-9.0
59 Estonia72529%71.182.0-10.9
60 Japan72529%69.380.3-11.0
61 Bahamas72529%79.992.3-12.4
62 Bahrain72529%61.482.7-21.3
63 Cameroon82625%60.465.0-4.6
64 North Macedonia102820%64.375.8-11.5
65 Great Britain51420%68.880.6-11.8
66 Luxembourg102820%76.388.1-11.8
67 Bulgaria61517%74.379.2-4.8
68 Croatia61517%77.083.2-6.2
69 Rwanda61517%56.765.2-8.5
70 Chile61517%66.075.7-9.7
71 Syria61517%69.379.3-10.0
72 Central African Republic61517%61.275.2-14.0
73 Albania61517%65.282.2-17.0
74 Cyprus61517%59.080.2-21.2
75 Guinea81712%62.473.9-11.5
76 Cuba4040%65.072.8-7.8
77 Netherlands7070%70.979.4-8.6
78 Denmark4040%69.584.5-15.0
79 Romania4040%69.889.5-19.8
80 India5050%59.488.6-29.2
81 Chinese Taipei6060%61.090.7-29.7
82 United States Virgin Islands6060%64.796.2-31.5
83 Indonesia6060%58.590.2-31.7
84 Paraguay6060%55.086.8-31.8
85 Kenya6060%42.574.8-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 85 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy2518232591
Georgia1919281884
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