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Netherlands vs Italy Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 04 Jul 2022
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 81-92
17-22 26-32 21-18 17-20
Position#77
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Italy 🏆
Position#17
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game89.8
EuropeWorld CupRound 6
Other2023
Meetings · Netherlands v Italy
04 Jul 2022
NETH81
ITAL92
01 Jul 2018
NETH81
ITAL66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Netherlands winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Italy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NetherlandsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turkey
#22
W
72-65
72
65
+7
A21/02
EuroBasket
Croatia
#12
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H24/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#27
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H27/11
EuroBasket
Turkey
#22
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H29/11
EuroBasket
Croatia
#12
W
65-57
65
57
+8
A20/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#27
L
59-74
59
74
-15
A22/02
EuroBasket
Iceland
#31
L
77-79
77
79
-2
H26/11
World Cup
Italy
#17
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A29/11
World Cup
Russia
#1
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A24/02
World Cup
Iceland
#31
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A01/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
23-21
13-16
18-11
21-18
14-20
16-9
8-22
15-18
23-24
18-12
22-22
14-24
23-17
18-14
16-18
11-19
16-16
22-13
16-9
17-23
20-16
16-18
6-17
19-23
22-21
17-18
19-17
18-22
21-25
11-13
23-15
17-16
19-19
15-27
18-18
20-16
15-5
16-26
15-20
140.4Avg total
68.9Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.275.2146.5-4.00%
Season at home (1)77.079.0156.0-2.00%
Season away (3)69.374.0143.3-4.70%
Last 10 (10)68.971.5140.4-2.630%
Last 5 (5)68.875.0143.8-6.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)71.073.9144.9-2.929%
vs Similar (4)74.888.8163.5-14.00%
vs Weaker (8)80.466.8147.1+13.662%
This opponent (Italy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dominican Republic
#14
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H03/07
Olympic Games
Serbia
#6
W
102-95
102
95
+7
A04/07
Olympic Games
Germany
#12
W
92-82
92
82
+10
A25/07
Olympic Games
Australia
#1
L
83-86
83
86
-3
H28/07
Olympic Games
Nigeria
#22
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H31/07
Olympic Games
France
#2
L
75-84
75
84
-9
H03/08
Olympic Games
Russia
#1
L
78-92
78
92
-14
A26/11
World Cup
Netherlands
#77
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H29/11
World Cup
Iceland
#31
L
105-107 OT
105
107
-2
A24/02
World Cup
Iceland
#31
W
95-87
95
87
+8
H27/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
20-16
24-8
13-21
28-22
29-23
23-18
22-32
22-32
21-14
25-26
24-10
25-25
20-19
17-21
21-21
29-17
11-22
16-24
24-8
25-20
17-23
12-21
21-20
14-15
23-22
22-27
19-28
22-18
25-21
13-11
15-23
18-21
15-23
26-21
26-20
27-28
26-17
21-17
21-25
170.0Avg total
86.4Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)88.289.8178.0-1.550%
Season at home (2)85.080.0165.0+5.0100%
Season away (2)91.599.5191.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)86.483.6170.0+2.860%
Last 5 (5)85.688.6174.2-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.084.2160.2-8.217%
vs Similar (6)85.881.0166.8+4.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)84.976.4161.4+8.572%
This opponent (Netherlands) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.2-0.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.2-0.2
NetherlandsItaly
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NetherlandsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turkey
#22
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A21/02
EuroBasket
Croatia
#12
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H24/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#27
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H27/11
EuroBasket
Turkey
#22
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H29/11
EuroBasket
Croatia
#12
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A20/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#27
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A22/02
EuroBasket
Iceland
#31
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H26/11
World Cup
Italy
#17
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A29/11
World Cup
Russia
#1
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A24/02
World Cup
Iceland
#31
W
35-21
35
21
+14
A01/07
World Cup
74.6Avg total
36.6Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)36.438.274.6-1.831%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.440.177.5-2.725%-
Last 30 away (14)35.536.672.1-1.136%-
Last 10 (10)36.638.074.6-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)37.637.274.8+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.638.575.1-1.929%-
vs Similar (4)34.043.577.5-9.50%-
vs Weaker (8)37.235.172.4+2.150%-
This opponent (Italy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ItalyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dominican Republic
#14
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H03/07
Olympic Games
Serbia
#6
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A04/07
Olympic Games
Germany
#12
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A25/07
Olympic Games
Australia
#1
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H28/07
Olympic Games
Nigeria
#22
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H31/07
Olympic Games
France
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H03/08
Olympic Games
Russia
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A26/11
World Cup
Netherlands
#77
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H29/11
World Cup
Iceland
#31
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A24/02
World Cup
Iceland
#31
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H27/02
World Cup
85.1Avg total
43.9Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.539.580.9+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.939.282.2+3.762%-
Last 30 away (14)39.839.779.5+0.143%-
Last 10 (10)43.941.285.1+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.441.684.0+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.542.782.2-3.233%-
vs Similar (6)41.838.079.8+3.883%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)42.038.980.9+3.150%-
This opponent (Netherlands) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Netherlands wins
2
Italy wins
DateGameScore
29/11/21Italy v Netherlands75-73
01/07/18Netherlands v Italy81-66
23/02/18Italy v Netherlands80-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/07/22AIceland66-67
24/02/22ARussia69-80
29/11/21AItaly73-75
26/11/21HIceland77-79
22/02/21ASweden59-74
20/02/21ACroatia65-57
29/11/20HTurkey71-73
27/11/20HSweden78-76
24/02/20HCroatia59-69
21/02/20ATurkey72-65
Italylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/22HIceland95-87
24/02/22AIceland105-107 OT
29/11/21HNetherlands75-73
26/11/21ARussia78-92
03/08/21HFrance75-84
31/07/21HNigeria80-71
28/07/21HAustralia83-86
25/07/21AGermany92-82
04/07/21ASerbia102-95
03/07/21HDominican Republic79-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Netherlands
World Cup 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game71.277.069.3
Allowed / game75.279.074.0
Point differential-4.0-2.0-4.7
Avg total146.5156.0143.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Italy
World Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game88.285.091.5
Allowed / game89.880.099.5
Point differential-1.5+5.0-8.0
Avg total178.0165.0191.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %25%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Zealand440100%97.557.2+40.2
2 Canada550100%100.470.0+30.4
3 Australia660100%85.560.8+24.7
4 Russia330100%87.070.7+16.3
5 Ivory Coast660100%73.763.5+10.2
6 South Sudan660100%71.561.3+10.2
7 Mexico330100%82.374.7+7.7
8 Latvia109190%83.770.6+13.1
9 Egypt65183%75.351.8+23.5
10 Venezuela65183%78.257.2+21.0
11 Brazil65183%88.868.5+20.3
12 Argentina65183%75.863.7+12.2
13 Kazakhstan65183%75.364.0+11.3
14 Germany65183%79.070.8+8.2
15 Lithuania65183%77.070.2+6.8
16 Finland65183%79.074.3+4.7
17 Lebanon54180%87.862.8+25.0
18 Spain54180%85.465.2+20.2
19 France54180%76.660.6+16.0
20 Greece54180%77.470.8+6.6
21 Montenegro97278%78.972.2+6.7
22 China64267%82.266.2+16.0
23 Iran64267%80.365.8+14.5
24 Angola64267%73.860.7+13.2
25 Belarus128467%80.267.2+13.0
26 Belgium64267%76.765.3+11.3
27 Nigeria64267%69.861.5+8.3
28 Jordan64267%74.566.8+7.7
29 Slovenia64267%84.380.3+4.0
30 Iceland1510567%83.479.7+3.7
31 Tunisia64267%64.361.5+2.8
32 Puerto Rico32167%73.370.7+2.7
33 Uruguay64267%74.072.3+1.7
34 D.R. Congo64267%53.852.5+1.3
35 Georgia64267%77.877.0+0.8
36 Dominican Republic53260%86.273.2+13.0
37 Saudi Arabia53260%73.069.2+3.8
38 Cape Verde53260%75.472.0+3.4
39 Ukraine53260%77.474.2+3.2
40 Hungary53260%71.877.6-5.8
41 Portugal158753%71.571.3+0.3
42 Sweden105550%85.876.7+9.1
43 Senegal63350%70.262.7+7.5
44 Israel63350%79.375.3+4.0
45 Serbia63350%74.773.2+1.5
46 Czech Republic63350%80.880.5+0.3
47 Switzerland42250%62.263.2-1.0
48 Italy42250%88.289.8-1.5
49 Philippines42250%72.580.2-7.8
50 Turkey52340%75.474.0+1.4
51 Bosnia & Herzegovina52340%79.282.6-3.4
52 Mali52340%42.047.2-5.2
53 Bahamas52340%79.694.4-14.8
54 Panama62433%67.769.0-1.3
55 Poland62433%74.077.0-3.0
56 Uganda62433%63.770.5-6.8
57 Estonia62433%69.278.3-9.2
58 Kosovo62433%75.885.2-9.3
59 Japan62433%69.580.5-11.0
60 Colombia62433%77.389.7-12.3
61 Bahrain62433%63.379.2-15.8
62 Slovakia1651131%68.976.7-7.8
63 Great Britain41325%71.882.8-11.0
64 Bulgaria51420%74.679.8-5.2
65 North Macedonia102820%64.375.8-11.5
66 Luxembourg102820%76.388.1-11.8
67 Cameroon61517%56.360.8-4.5
68 Croatia61517%77.083.2-6.2
69 Rwanda61517%56.765.2-8.5
70 Guinea61517%63.572.8-9.3
71 Chile61517%66.075.7-9.7
72 Syria61517%69.379.3-10.0
73 Central African Republic61517%61.275.2-14.0
74 Albania61517%65.282.2-17.0
75 Cyprus61517%59.080.2-21.2
76 Netherlands4040%71.275.2-4.0
77 Cuba4040%65.072.8-7.8
78 Denmark4040%69.584.5-15.0
79 Romania4040%69.889.5-19.8
80 United States Virgin Islands5050%64.292.8-28.6
81 Chinese Taipei6060%61.090.7-29.7
82 Indonesia6060%58.590.2-31.7
83 Paraguay6060%55.086.8-31.8
84 Kenya6060%42.574.8-32.3
85 India4040%58.290.8-32.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 85 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Netherlands1726211781
Italy2232182092
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