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Italy vs Iceland Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 95-87
27-28 26-17 21-17 21-25
Position#17
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game90.7
Italy 🏆
vs
Position#31
Record9-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game79.5
EuropeWorld CupRound 4
Other2023
Meetings · Italy v Iceland
27 Nov 2025
ITAL76
ICEL81
25 Nov 2024
ITAL74
ICEL81
27 Feb 2022
ITAL95
ICEL87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iceland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Puerto Rico
#24
W
90-83
90
83
+7
H01/07
Olympic Games
Dominican Republic
#14
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H03/07
Olympic Games
Serbia
#6
W
102-95
102
95
+7
A04/07
Olympic Games
Germany
#12
W
92-82
92
82
+10
A25/07
Olympic Games
Australia
#1
L
83-86
83
86
-3
H28/07
Olympic Games
Nigeria
#22
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H31/07
Olympic Games
France
#2
L
75-84
75
84
-9
H03/08
Olympic Games
Russia
#1
L
78-92
78
92
-14
A26/11
World Cup
Netherlands
#77
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H29/11
World Cup
Iceland
#31
L
105-107 OT
105
107
-2
A24/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
19-20
27-14
26-25
22-14
20-16
24-8
13-21
28-22
29-23
23-18
22-32
22-32
21-14
25-26
24-10
25-25
20-19
17-21
21-21
29-17
11-22
16-24
24-8
25-20
17-23
12-21
21-20
14-15
23-22
22-27
19-28
22-18
25-21
13-11
15-23
18-21
15-23
26-21
26-20
169.1Avg total
85.9Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.090.7176.7-4.733%
Season at home (1)75.073.0148.0+2.0100%
Season away (2)91.599.5191.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)85.983.2169.1+2.760%
Last 5 (5)82.685.4168.0-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.084.2160.2-8.217%
vs Similar ◀ (5)84.079.8163.8+4.260%
vs Weaker (19)85.875.1160.8+10.774%
This opponent (Iceland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kosovo
#56
W
86-62
86
62
+24
H28/11
World Cup
Slovakia
#57
W
94-79
94
79
+15
A18/02
World Cup
Luxembourg
#64
W
86-84
86
84
+2
A20/02
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
L
69-83
69
83
-14
A12/08
World Cup
Denmark
#78
W
91-70
91
70
+21
H13/08
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
L
80-82
80
82
-2
H16/08
World Cup
Denmark
#78
W
89-73
89
73
+16
A17/08
World Cup
Netherlands
#77
W
79-77
79
77
+2
A26/11
World Cup
Russia
#1
L
65-89
65
89
-24
A29/11
World Cup
Italy
#17
W
107-105 OT
107
105
+2
H24/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
24-12
22-14
19-19
20-20
23-19
36-16
15-24
29-23
28-20
14-26
15-15
8-16
25-23
20-21
16-23
22-23
21-16
22-12
26-19
25-27
21-14
25-20
9-21
26-18
21-21
23-12
19-22
23-19
21-22
18-17
17-19
4-17
14-25
18-35
29-12
21-18
23-15
21-26
20-26
165.0Avg total
84.6Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)84.479.5163.9+4.869%
Season at home (6)89.578.2167.7+11.383%
Season away (7)80.080.7160.7-0.757%
Last 10 (10)84.680.4165.0+4.270%
Last 5 (5)84.085.2169.2-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.684.1157.7-10.622%
vs Similar ◀ (10)84.583.3167.8+1.240%
vs Weaker (11)85.673.1158.7+12.591%
This opponent (Italy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
ItalyIceland
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ItalyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Puerto Rico
#24
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H01/07
Olympic Games
Dominican Republic
#14
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H03/07
Olympic Games
Serbia
#6
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A04/07
Olympic Games
Germany
#12
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A25/07
Olympic Games
Australia
#1
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H28/07
Olympic Games
Nigeria
#22
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H31/07
Olympic Games
France
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H03/08
Olympic Games
Russia
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A26/11
World Cup
Netherlands
#77
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H29/11
World Cup
Iceland
#31
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A24/02
World Cup
83.4Avg total
42.3Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.338.880.1+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.338.981.1+3.460%-
Last 30 away (15)40.338.779.0+1.547%-
Last 10 (10)42.341.183.4+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.840.480.2-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.542.782.2-3.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)39.636.676.2+3.080%-
vs Weaker (19)42.338.280.4+4.153%-
This opponent (Iceland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IcelandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kosovo
#56
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H28/11
World Cup
Slovakia
#57
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A18/02
World Cup
Luxembourg
#64
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A20/02
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A12/08
World Cup
Denmark
#78
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H13/08
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H16/08
World Cup
Denmark
#78
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A17/08
World Cup
Netherlands
#77
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A26/11
World Cup
Russia
#1
L
18-42
18
42
-24
A29/11
World Cup
Italy
#17
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H24/02
World Cup
80.5Avg total
42.0Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.737.678.4+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.435.476.8+6.181%-
Last 30 away (14)39.940.280.1-0.336%-
Last 10 (10)42.038.580.5+3.580%-
Last 5 (5)39.839.279.0+0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.740.377.0-3.744%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.338.680.9+3.750%-
vs Weaker (11)42.634.577.2+8.182%-
This opponent (Italy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Italy wins
1
Iceland wins
DateGameScore
24/02/22Iceland v Italy107-105 OT
Italylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/22AIceland105-107 OT
29/11/21HNetherlands75-73
26/11/21ARussia78-92
03/08/21HFrance75-84
31/07/21HNigeria80-71
28/07/21HAustralia83-86
25/07/21AGermany92-82
04/07/21ASerbia102-95
03/07/21HDominican Republic79-59
01/07/21HPuerto Rico90-83
Icelandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/22HItaly107-105 OT
29/11/21ARussia65-89
26/11/21ANetherlands79-77
17/08/21ADenmark89-73
16/08/21HMontenegro80-82
13/08/21HDenmark91-70
12/08/21AMontenegro69-83
20/02/21ALuxembourg86-84
18/02/21ASlovakia94-79
28/11/20HKosovo86-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy
World Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game86.075.091.5
Allowed / game90.773.099.5
Point differential-4.7+2.0-8.0
Avg total176.7148.0191.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %33%0%50%
Iceland
World Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW69%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayWLWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %69%83%57%
Points / game84.489.580.0
Allowed / game79.578.280.7
Point differential+4.8+11.3-0.7
Avg total163.9167.7160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Zealand220100%94.554.5+40.0
2 Canada440100%101.868.8+33.0
3 Australia220100%89.062.5+26.5
4 Venezuela440100%79.053.8+25.2
5 China220100%92.568.0+24.5
6 Spain330100%90.366.7+23.7
7 Brazil330100%81.058.0+23.0
8 France440100%78.558.2+20.2
9 Kazakhstan440100%83.265.5+17.8
10 Russia330100%87.070.7+16.3
11 Ivory Coast330100%76.363.0+13.3
12 Lithuania440100%79.567.0+12.5
13 South Sudan330100%71.362.7+8.7
14 Mexico220100%86.079.0+7.0
15 Latvia76186%87.174.9+12.3
16 Lebanon43175%87.561.0+26.5
17 Iran43175%82.867.8+15.0
18 Argentina43175%74.559.8+14.8
19 Jordan43175%75.065.0+10.0
20 Montenegro86275%80.072.6+7.4
21 Georgia43175%79.876.8+3.0
22 Sweden75271%87.170.4+16.7
23 Iceland139469%84.479.5+4.8
24 Dominican Republic32167%88.768.7+20.0
25 Senegal32167%77.358.0+19.3
26 Egypt32167%74.759.0+15.7
27 Angola32167%69.754.7+15.0
28 Belarus128467%80.267.2+13.0
29 Belgium32167%73.764.0+9.7
30 Nigeria32167%79.372.7+6.7
31 Israel32167%71.767.0+4.7
32 Mali32167%70.065.3+4.7
33 Serbia32167%81.778.7+3.0
34 Finland32167%75.073.0+2.0
35 D.R. Congo32167%59.758.3+1.3
36 Germany32167%69.768.3+1.3
37 Greece32167%72.772.0+0.7
38 Uruguay32167%77.076.3+0.7
39 Estonia32167%71.072.0-1.0
40 Slovenia32167%82.083.0-1.0
41 Portugal148657%71.871.4+0.4
42 Saudi Arabia42250%74.069.8+4.2
43 Puerto Rico21150%77.575.0+2.5
44 Philippines21150%75.576.0-0.5
45 Switzerland42250%62.263.2-1.0
46 Bosnia & Herzegovina42250%78.880.0-1.2
47 Tunisia21150%59.561.5-2.0
48 Great Britain21150%72.576.5-4.0
49 Hungary42250%72.580.0-7.5
50 Slovakia135838%70.873.9-3.2
51 Cameroon31233%58.758.0+0.7
52 Turkey31233%75.074.3+0.7
53 Cape Verde31233%70.370.7-0.3
54 Ukraine31233%78.379.0-0.7
55 Italy31233%86.090.7-4.7
56 Guinea31233%68.075.3-7.3
57 Kosovo62433%75.885.2-9.3
58 Uganda31233%70.781.7-11.0
59 Chile31233%66.078.0-12.0
60 Bahamas31233%78.7100.7-22.0
61 Syria41325%73.277.2-4.0
62 Czech Republic41325%77.282.5-5.2
63 Bulgaria41325%75.881.8-6.0
64 Panama41325%62.068.0-6.0
65 North Macedonia82625%66.475.6-9.2
66 Japan41325%69.084.0-15.0
67 Luxembourg102820%76.388.1-11.8
68 Albania61517%65.282.2-17.0
69 Cyprus61517%59.080.2-21.2
70 Croatia3030%69.774.3-4.7
71 Netherlands3030%73.078.0-5.0
72 Poland3030%67.072.0-5.0
73 Cuba2020%66.075.5-9.5
74 Colombia3030%73.385.0-11.7
75 Rwanda2020%50.562.5-12.0
76 Denmark4040%69.584.5-15.0
77 Romania4040%69.889.5-19.8
78 Central African Republic3030%61.082.0-21.0
79 Chinese Taipei2020%66.087.0-21.0
80 Bahrain4040%60.589.2-28.8
81 United States Virgin Islands4040%60.291.8-31.5
82 Paraguay4040%54.288.2-34.0
83 Kenya3030%54.090.3-36.3
84 India2020%55.094.5-39.5
85 Indonesia4040%58.098.8-40.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 85 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy2726212195
Iceland2817172587
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