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Iceland vs Italy Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 24 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 107-105 (OT)
21-18 23-15 21-26 20-26 22-20
Position#31
Record8-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game77.4
Iceland 🏆
vs
Position#17
Record1-1
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game82.5
EuropeWorld CupRound 3
Other2023
Meetings · Iceland v Italy
02 Jul 2026
ICEL83
ITAL102
22 Nov 2024
ICEL71
ITAL95
24 Feb 2022
ICEL107
ITAL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iceland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Italy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Luxembourg
#64
W
90-76
90
76
+14
H26/11
World Cup
Kosovo
#56
W
86-62
86
62
+24
H28/11
World Cup
Slovakia
#57
W
94-79
94
79
+15
A18/02
World Cup
Luxembourg
#64
W
86-84
86
84
+2
A20/02
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
L
69-83
69
83
-14
A12/08
World Cup
Denmark
#78
W
91-70
91
70
+21
H13/08
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
L
80-82
80
82
-2
H16/08
World Cup
Denmark
#78
W
89-73
89
73
+16
A17/08
World Cup
Netherlands
#77
W
79-77
79
77
+2
A26/11
World Cup
Russia
#1
L
65-89
65
89
-24
A29/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
11-14
32-21
24-17
21-17
24-12
22-14
19-19
20-20
23-19
36-16
15-24
29-23
28-20
14-26
15-15
8-16
25-23
20-21
16-23
22-23
21-16
22-12
26-19
25-27
21-14
25-20
9-21
26-18
21-21
23-12
19-22
23-19
21-22
18-17
17-19
4-17
14-25
18-35
29-12
160.4Avg total
82.9Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.577.4159.9+5.167%
Season at home (5)86.072.8158.8+13.280%
Season away (7)80.080.7160.7-0.757%
Last 10 (10)82.977.5160.4+5.470%
Last 5 (5)80.878.2159.0+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.184.6157.7-11.520%
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.080.9162.9+1.133%
vs Weaker (11)85.673.1158.7+12.591%
This opponent (Italy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Macedonia
#15
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A21/02
EuroBasket
Puerto Rico
#24
W
90-83
90
83
+7
H01/07
Olympic Games
Dominican Republic
#14
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H03/07
Olympic Games
Serbia
#6
W
102-95
102
95
+7
A04/07
Olympic Games
Germany
#12
W
92-82
92
82
+10
A25/07
Olympic Games
Australia
#1
L
83-86
83
86
-3
H28/07
Olympic Games
Nigeria
#22
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H31/07
Olympic Games
France
#2
L
75-84
75
84
-9
H03/08
Olympic Games
Russia
#1
L
78-92
78
92
-14
A26/11
World Cup
Netherlands
#77
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H29/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-20
22-21
13-26
13-20
18-24
19-20
27-14
26-25
22-14
20-16
24-8
13-21
28-22
29-23
23-18
22-32
22-32
21-14
25-26
24-10
25-25
20-19
17-21
21-21
29-17
11-22
16-24
24-8
25-20
17-23
12-21
21-20
14-15
23-22
22-27
19-28
22-18
25-21
13-11
15-23
164.4Avg total
83.2Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)76.582.5159.0-6.050%
Season at home (1)75.073.0148.0+2.0100%
Season away (1)78.092.0170.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)83.281.2164.4+2.060%
Last 5 (5)78.281.2159.4-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.084.2160.2-8.217%
vs Similar ◀ (4)78.873.0151.8+5.875%
vs Weaker (20)85.574.4159.9+11.175%
This opponent (Iceland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
IcelandItaly
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IcelandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Luxembourg
#64
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H26/11
World Cup
Kosovo
#56
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H28/11
World Cup
Slovakia
#57
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A18/02
World Cup
Luxembourg
#64
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A20/02
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A12/08
World Cup
Denmark
#78
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H13/08
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H16/08
World Cup
Denmark
#78
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A17/08
World Cup
Netherlands
#77
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A26/11
World Cup
Russia
#1
L
18-42
18
42
-24
A29/11
World Cup
80.0Avg total
41.0Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.337.878.1+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.335.576.8+5.780%-
Last 30 away (15)39.340.179.4-0.933%-
Last 10 (10)41.039.080.0+2.070%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.480.0-0.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.040.276.2-4.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.139.281.3+2.944%-
vs Weaker (11)42.634.577.2+8.182%-
This opponent (Italy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ItalyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Macedonia
#15
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A21/02
EuroBasket
Puerto Rico
#24
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H01/07
Olympic Games
Dominican Republic
#14
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H03/07
Olympic Games
Serbia
#6
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A04/07
Olympic Games
Germany
#12
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A25/07
Olympic Games
Australia
#1
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H28/07
Olympic Games
Nigeria
#22
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H31/07
Olympic Games
France
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H03/08
Olympic Games
Russia
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A26/11
World Cup
Netherlands
#77
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H29/11
World Cup
85.0Avg total
44.2Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.738.580.1+3.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.438.681.0+3.962%-
Last 30 away (14)40.838.479.1+2.450%-
Last 10 (10)44.240.885.0+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)42.240.482.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.542.782.2-3.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)41.234.876.0+6.5100%-
vs Weaker (20)42.438.080.3+4.455%-
This opponent (Iceland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Iceland wins
0
Italy wins
No previous meetings.
Icelandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/21ARussia65-89
26/11/21ANetherlands79-77
17/08/21ADenmark89-73
16/08/21HMontenegro80-82
13/08/21HDenmark91-70
12/08/21AMontenegro69-83
20/02/21ALuxembourg86-84
18/02/21ASlovakia94-79
28/11/20HKosovo86-62
26/11/20HLuxembourg90-76
Italylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/21HNetherlands75-73
26/11/21ARussia78-92
03/08/21HFrance75-84
31/07/21HNigeria80-71
28/07/21HAustralia83-86
25/07/21AGermany92-82
04/07/21ASerbia102-95
03/07/21HDominican Republic79-59
01/07/21HPuerto Rico90-83
21/02/21ANorth Macedonia78-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iceland
World Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWLWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %67%80%57%
Points / game82.586.080.0
Allowed / game77.472.880.7
Point differential+5.1+13.2-0.7
Avg total159.9158.8160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%60%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Italy
World Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game76.575.078.0
Allowed / game82.573.092.0
Point differential-6.0+2.0-14.0
Avg total159.0148.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Zealand110100%101.046.0+55.0
2 Canada220100%114.075.0+39.0
3 Dominican Republic220100%93.560.5+33.0
4 Argentina220100%87.555.0+32.5
5 Brazil220100%79.054.0+25.0
6 China220100%92.568.0+24.5
7 Spain330100%90.366.7+23.7
8 France330100%81.759.0+22.7
9 Venezuela220100%74.054.5+19.5
10 Russia330100%87.070.7+16.3
11 Belgium220100%78.063.0+15.0
12 Ivory Coast330100%76.363.0+13.3
13 Uruguay220100%82.572.0+10.5
14 Lithuania330100%80.370.7+9.7
15 Israel220100%74.065.0+9.0
16 Kazakhstan330100%79.371.3+8.0
17 Mexico110100%90.086.0+4.0
18 Slovenia220100%85.081.5+3.5
19 Montenegro76186%79.470.4+9.0
20 Latvia65183%90.776.5+14.2
21 Lebanon32167%89.758.7+31.0
22 Sweden64267%90.071.5+18.5
23 Iran32167%83.767.7+16.0
24 Angola32167%69.754.7+15.0
25 Belarus128467%80.267.2+13.0
26 Saudi Arabia32167%76.066.0+10.0
27 Nigeria32167%79.372.7+6.7
28 Bosnia & Herzegovina32167%86.381.0+5.3
29 Iceland128467%82.577.4+5.1
30 Mali32167%70.065.3+4.7
31 Jordan32167%68.765.3+3.3
32 Georgia32167%80.080.7-0.7
33 Portugal138562%73.071.6+1.4
34 Puerto Rico21150%77.575.0+2.5
35 Turkey21150%77.075.5+1.5
36 Greece21150%73.072.5+0.5
37 Germany21150%69.069.0+0.0
38 Switzerland42250%62.263.2-1.0
39 Serbia21150%85.086.5-1.5
40 Finland21150%69.571.5-2.0
41 Estonia21150%69.072.5-3.5
42 Great Britain21150%72.576.5-4.0
43 Italy21150%76.582.5-6.0
44 Slovakia125742%71.473.8-2.4
45 Cape Verde31233%70.370.7-0.3
46 Ukraine31233%78.379.0-0.7
47 Syria31233%75.076.3-1.3
48 Bulgaria31233%74.381.3-7.0
49 Guinea31233%68.075.3-7.3
50 Kosovo62433%75.885.2-9.3
51 Uganda31233%70.781.7-11.0
52 Hungary31233%67.378.7-11.3
53 North Macedonia72529%66.675.1-8.6
54 Luxembourg102820%76.388.1-11.8
55 Albania61517%65.282.2-17.0
56 Cyprus61517%59.080.2-21.2
57 Croatia2020%72.576.5-4.0
58 Netherlands3030%73.078.0-5.0
59 Poland2020%65.070.5-5.5
60 Czech Republic3030%75.383.3-8.0
61 Cuba1010%60.069.0-9.0
62 Colombia2020%72.082.5-10.5
63 Denmark4040%69.584.5-15.0
64 Panama2020%54.574.0-19.5
65 Romania4040%69.889.5-19.8
66 Central African Republic3030%61.082.0-21.0
67 Bahrain3030%64.787.3-22.7
68 Japan2020%68.092.5-24.5
69 Chile2020%54.079.0-25.0
70 Paraguay2020%55.087.5-32.5
71 United States Virgin Islands2020%60.593.5-33.0
72 Bahamas2020%75.0114.0-39.0
73 Indonesia3030%56.0100.3-44.3
74 India1010%46.0101.0-55.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 74 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Iceland2123212022107
Italy1815262620105
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