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Italy vs Georgia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 78-62
18-10 14-22 21-15 25-15
Position#7
Record0-1
FormWLWLL
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game75.0
Italy 🏆
vs
Position#14
Record1-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game69.0
EuropeEuroBasketRound 2· Spyros Kyprianou Arena
Other2025
Meetings · Italy v Georgia
30 Aug 2025
ITAL78
GEOR62
27 Aug 2022
ITAL91
GEOR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Georgia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormItaly
Date
Competition
Puerto Rico
#10
W
73-57
73
57
+16
no box
H03/09
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
82-87
82
87
-5
no box
H07/09
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
85-89
85
89
-4
no box
H09/09
World Cup
Turkey
#20
W
87-80
87
80
+7
no box
H22/02
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
W
83-62
83
62
+21
no box
A25/02
EuroBasket
Iceland
#25
W
95-71
95
71
+24
90avg 68
A22/11
EuroBasket
Iceland
#25
L
74-81
74
81
-7
62avg 68
H25/11
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
W
80-67
80
67
+13
75avg 68
A20/02
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
L
67-71
67
71
-4
60avg 68
H23/02
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
66-75
66
75
-9
54avg 68
A28/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
14-21
12-11
22-10
26-18
16-28
18-21
22-20
18-15
23-27
19-28
25-19
24-24
26-15
18-17
19-24
17-15
19-22
28-9
19-16
27-12
22-13
16-29
30-17
9-22
20-10
27-26
18-23
17-12
31-19
12-19
20-17
10-13
17-19
23-10
17-29
12-22
20-14
13-20
21-19
153.2Avg total
79.2Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)66.075.0141.0-9.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)66.075.0141.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)79.274.0153.2+5.250%
Last 5 (5)76.473.0149.4+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)82.480.3162.7+2.157%
vs Similar (13)82.681.6164.2+1.054%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)84.771.1155.8+13.680%
This opponent (Georgia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeorgiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGeorgia
Date
Competition
Venezuela
#43
W
70-59
70
59
+11
no box
H30/08
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
73-100
73
100
-27
no box
A01/09
World Cup
Australia
#5
L
84-100
84
100
-16
no box
A03/09
World Cup
Denmark
#27
L
69-75
69
75
-6
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
L
63-76
63
76
-13
no box
H26/02
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
W
90-83
90
83
+7
86avg 71
A21/11
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
W
81-64
81
64
+17
77avg 71
H24/11
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
62-60
62
60
+2
54avg 71
H21/02
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
L
54-63
54
63
-9
52avg 71
A24/02
EuroBasket
Spain
#15
W
83-69
83
69
+14
79avg 71
H28/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
18-4
17-21
11-15
16-22
25-21
16-27
16-30
17-23
20-31
30-25
17-21
23-12
14-16
16-22
16-25
12-21
19-17
21-22
11-16
20-25
23-23
19-15
28-20
17-21
21-19
17-13
26-11
19-21
18-4
11-20
14-15
17-13
14-14
10-17
13-19
20-17
17-18
20-14
26-20
147.8Avg total
72.9Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)83.069.0152.0+14.0100%
Season at home (1)83.069.0152.0+14.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.974.9147.8-2.050%
Last 5 (5)74.067.8141.8+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)72.380.2152.5-7.833%
vs Similar (11)76.678.8155.5-2.236%
vs Weaker (7)83.774.3158.0+9.486%
This opponent (Italy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -1.4-1.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -1.4-1.4
ItalyGeorgia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ItalyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Puerto Rico
#10
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H03/09
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H07/09
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H09/09
World Cup
Turkey
#20
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H22/02
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A25/02
EuroBasket
Iceland
#25
W
49-25
49
25
+24
A22/11
EuroBasket
Iceland
#25
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H25/11
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A20/02
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H23/02
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A28/08
EuroBasket
74.9Avg total
39.3Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.638.279.8+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.637.879.4+3.857%-
Last 30 away (16)41.638.680.2+2.956%-
Last 10 (10)39.335.674.9+3.740%-
Last 5 (5)37.031.268.2+5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.341.182.4+0.143%-
vs Similar (13)39.839.579.3+0.254%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.134.578.6+9.670%-
This opponent (Georgia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeorgiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezuela
#43
W
42-23
42
23
+19
H30/08
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A01/09
World Cup
Australia
#5
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A03/09
World Cup
Denmark
#27
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A23/02
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H26/02
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A21/11
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H24/11
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H21/02
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A24/02
EuroBasket
Spain
#15
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H28/08
EuroBasket
73.5Avg total
37.4Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.638.375.9-0.737%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.337.875.1-0.431%-
Last 30 away (14)37.938.976.9-1.043%-
Last 10 (10)37.436.173.5+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.235.072.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)34.738.272.8-3.542%-
vs Similar (11)39.538.377.7+1.236%-
vs Weaker (7)39.738.678.3+1.129%-
This opponent (Italy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Italytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Italy: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.0
50.4%
52.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.4
36.1%
33.4%28.3
🏀 Free throws16.411.4
69.6%
73.1%11.4
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Georgiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Georgia: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.817.8
45.9%
52.4%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.47.0
34.3%
33.4%21.0
🏀 Free throws21.816.6
76.1%
73.1%16.6
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/5 games with a box score before 30 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Italy
LLWLWWWLLW
Georgia
WLWWWLLLLW
#7
League position
#14
+8.7
Net rating
+9.4
109.6
Offensive rating
104.2
100.9
Defensive rating
94.8
51.9%
Effective FG%
47.8%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
43.6%
16.3%
Turnover %
18.1%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
34.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.37
36.1%
3-point %
34.3%
70.9%
Assist %
65.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.6 · 104.2Defence100.9 · 94.8Shooting51.9% · 47.8%3-point %36.1% · 34.3%Ball care16.3% · 18.1%Off. rebounds32.1% · 34.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Italy   ■ Georgia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Italy wins
0
Georgia wins
DateGameScore
14/11/22Georgia v Italy84-85
27/08/22Italy v Georgia91-84
25/08/17Georgia v Italy65-73
Italylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/08/25AGreece66-75
23/02/25HHungary67-71
20/02/25ATurkey80-67
25/11/24HIceland74-81
22/11/24AIceland95-71
25/02/24AHungary83-62
22/02/24HTurkey87-80
09/09/23HSlovenia85-89
07/09/23HLatvia82-87
03/09/23HPuerto Rico73-57
Georgialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/08/25HSpain83-69
24/02/25ASerbia54-63
21/02/25HDenmark62-60
24/11/24HFinland81-64
21/11/24AFinland90-83
26/02/24HSerbia63-76
23/02/24ADenmark69-75
03/09/23AAustralia84-100
01/09/23AGermany73-100
30/08/23HVenezuela70-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game66.0-66.0
Allowed / game75.0-75.0
Point differential-9.0--9.0
Avg total141.0-141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Georgia
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game83.083.0-
Allowed / game69.069.0-
Point differential+14.0+14.0-
Avg total152.0152.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France110100%92.064.0+28.0
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina110100%91.064.0+27.0
3 Germany330100%106.082.3+23.7
4 Serbia220100%89.066.5+22.5
5 Turkey220100%92.575.5+17.0
6 Finland220100%101.084.5+16.5
7 Georgia110100%83.069.0+14.0
8 Israel110100%83.071.0+12.0
9 Poland110100%105.095.0+10.0
10 Greece110100%75.066.0+9.0
11 Lithuania32167%92.081.3+10.7
12 Portugal21150%65.565.0+0.5
13 Latvia21150%72.581.5-9.0
14 Estonia31233%74.381.7-7.3
15 Italy1010%66.075.0-9.0
16 Slovenia1010%95.0105.0-10.0
17 Iceland1010%71.083.0-12.0
18 Sweden2020%86.599.0-12.5
19 Czech Republic3030%67.781.0-13.3
20 Spain1010%69.083.0-14.0
21 Cyprus1010%64.091.0-27.0
22 Great Britain2020%74.5101.5-27.0
23 Belgium1010%64.092.0-28.0
24 Montenegro2020%71.5100.0-28.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy1814212578
Georgia1022151562
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