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Jacksonville State vs Georgia State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 83-66
Projected total 149.8
Scheduled
Position#214
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game75.5
Vs
93%
■ JACK 93%■ GEOR 7%
Pythia win probability
Position#299
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game77.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Jacksonville State v Georgia State
20 Nov 2026
JACK v GEOR
upcoming
13 Nov 2024
JACK72
GEOR67
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Jacksonville State host Georgia State in the NCAA. Pythia makes Jacksonville State the favourite at 93% and projects 83-66, about 150 points in all. Overtime chance: 2%. Jacksonville State are 2-2 this season (80.0 scored, 75.5 allowed a game), form LWLLW; Georgia State are 1-3 this season (85.8 scored, 77.2 allowed a game), form LLLWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jacksonville State win
92.9%fair 1.08
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Georgia State win
7.1%fair 14.02
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:36 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Jacksonville StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A21/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
80-70 OT
80
70
+10
H27/02
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
78-81
78
81
-3
H28/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
A06/03
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A07/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
63-68
63
68
-5
H11/03
NCAA
Hannibal-LaGrange
#512
W
123-59
123
59
+64
H03/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#257
L
80-83 OT
80
83
-3
A06/11
NCAA
Houston
#147
L
46-92
46
92
-46
A12/11
NCAA
UAB
#220
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-36
52-46
25-25
36-36
34-27
44-54
33-24
35-44
32-29
32-32
28-39
35-29
64-24
59-35
32-23
34-43
23-45
23-47
35-30
36-38
149.9Avg total
75.8Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.075.5155.5+4.550%
Season at home (2)97.063.5160.5+33.5100%
Season away (2)63.087.5150.5-24.50%
Last 10 (10)75.874.1149.9+1.740%
Last 5 (5)76.674.0150.6+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.583.5147.0-20.050%
vs Similar ◀ (18)72.272.0144.2+0.244%
vs Weaker (9)75.168.7143.8+6.444%
This opponent (Georgia State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#300
L
55-78
55
78
-23
A14/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H20/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H21/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H25/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H28/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A03/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#72
L
73-76
73
76
-3
H02/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#226
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A06/11
NCAA
Andrew Fighting Tigers
#486
W
111-61
111
61
+50
H07/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#143
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
A11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-36
29-42
37-27
29-37
26-40
39-40
28-30
43-46
42-36
31-45
38-36
37-48
34-34
39-42
33-35
34-42
48-32
63-29
38-39
40-39
152.0Avg total
74.8Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.877.2163.0+8.525%
Season at home (2)92.068.5160.5+23.550%
Season away (2)79.586.0165.5-6.50%
Last 10 (10)74.877.2152.0-2.420%
Last 5 (5)83.678.6162.2+5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)70.274.6144.8-4.537%
vs Similar ◀ (6)70.379.3149.7-9.00%
vs Weaker (4)86.575.2161.8+11.250%
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 147
Over 147
56.7%
Under 147
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 152
Over 152
44.1%
Under 152
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 157
Over 157
32.1%
Under 157
67.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Jacksonville State total 82
Over 82
55.9%
Under 82
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jacksonville State total 86
Over 86
39.2%
Under 86
60.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jacksonville State total 90
Over 90
24.3%
Under 90
75.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Georgia State total 62
Over 62
67.2%
Under 62
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Georgia State total 66
Over 66
51.1%
Under 66
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Georgia State total 70
Over 70
34.9%
Under 70
65.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Jacksonville State -3
JACK -3
90.0%
GEOR +3
10.0%
Best 5 market prices
JACK
No market prices yet.
GEOR
No market prices yet.
Spread Jacksonville State 0
JACK 0
92.9%
GEOR 0
7.1%
Best 5 market prices
JACK
No market prices yet.
GEOR
No market prices yet.
Spread Jacksonville State +3
JACK +3
95.4%
GEOR -3
4.6%
Best 5 market prices
JACK
No market prices yet.
GEOR
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: -2.6-2.6
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: -2.6-2.6
Jacksonville StateGeorgia State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Jacksonville StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A21/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H27/02
NCAA
Liberty
#26
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H28/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A06/03
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A07/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H11/03
NCAA
Hannibal-LaGrange
#512
W
64-24
64
24
+40
H03/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#257
W
32-23
32
23
+9
A06/11
NCAA
Houston
#147
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A12/11
NCAA
UAB
#220
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H15/11
NCAA
63.4Avg total
33.2Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.231.063.2+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.028.862.8+5.262%-
Last 30 away (14)30.133.663.7-3.436%-
Last 10 (10)33.230.263.4+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)36.432.268.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)27.039.566.5-12.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)31.331.362.6+0.150%-
vs Weaker (9)35.129.664.7+5.656%-
This opponent (Georgia State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#300
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A14/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H20/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H21/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H25/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H28/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A03/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#72
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H02/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#226
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A06/11
NCAA
Andrew Fighting Tigers
#486
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H07/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#143
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A11/11
NCAA
69.5Avg total
35.0Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.635.770.2-1.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.733.168.9+2.653%-
Last 30 away (15)33.438.271.6-4.820%-
Last 10 (10)35.034.569.5+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.235.273.4+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)32.634.967.5-2.432%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)34.237.271.3-3.050%-
vs Weaker (4)41.237.879.0+3.525%-
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Jacksonville State wins
1
Georgia State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HUAB71-68
12/11/26AHouston46-92
06/11/26ASouth Alabama80-83 OT
03/11/26HHannibal-LaGrange123-59
11/03/26HNew Mexico State63-68
07/03/26AUTEP64-61
06/03/26ANew Mexico State75-77 OT
28/02/26HLiberty78-81
27/02/26HDelaware80-70 OT
21/02/26ASam Houston St.78-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AFresno State92-95 OT
07/11/26HAndrew Fighting Tigers111-61
06/11/26ACharlotte67-77
02/11/26HBowling Green73-76
03/03/26ALouisiana Lafayette75-84
28/02/26HOld Dominion73-81
25/02/26HCoastal Carolina71-76
21/02/26HJames Madison65-80
20/02/26HGeorgia Southern66-64
14/02/26AOld Dominion55-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jacksonville State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game80.097.063.0
Allowed / game75.563.587.5
Point differential+4.5+33.5-24.5
Avg total155.5160.5150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %25%0%50%
Georgia State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game85.892.079.5
Allowed / game77.268.586.0
Point differential+8.5+23.5-6.5
Avg total163.0160.5165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %25%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kennesaw State440100%95.564.8+30.8
2 Missouri State330100%85.361.3+24.0
3 Florida International330100%91.771.0+20.7
4 Western Kentucky43175%84.263.5+20.8
5 Middle Tenn. St.43175%80.876.2+4.5
6 Liberty32167%81.364.0+17.3
7 UTEP32167%71.767.3+4.3
8 Louisiana Tech42250%69.863.2+6.5
9 Jacksonville State42250%80.075.5+4.5
10 Sam Houston St.42250%86.885.0+1.8
11 Delaware31233%76.762.7+14.0
12 New Mexico State31233%66.378.3-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State440100%89.862.8+27.0
2 Old Dominion550100%77.058.4+18.6
3 Appalachian State42250%69.060.2+8.8
4 Southern Miss42250%72.070.8+1.2
5 Arkansas State42250%80.279.5+0.8
6 Coastal Carolina42250%72.573.5-1.0
7 South Alabama52340%74.676.0-1.4
8 Louisiana Lafayette31233%59.060.3-1.3
9 James Madison31233%76.078.7-2.7
10 Georgia State41325%85.877.2+8.5
11 Marshall41325%78.276.0+2.2
12 Georgia Southern41325%77.882.8-5.0
13 Troy41325%66.078.0-12.0
14 Louisiana Monroe61517%75.087.7-12.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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